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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT *TB at SF
*GB at MIN *BUF at CIN *CLE at JAC *IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL *SEA at NO NYG at PHI
*UPDATED *ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL *DEN at SD

Prediction: ARI 10, KC 27

Update: Tony Moeaki has not practiced because of his concussion and should not be relied on.

The Cardinals come off a thumping by divisional rival Seattle and have lost their last four games. They are 1-4 in road games with their only win the season opener in St. Louis. The Chiefs were ambushed in Denver last week and have lost their last two games but are 4-0 at home.

Arizona Cardinals (3-6)
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @STL W 17-13 10 SEA L 18-36
2 @ATL L 7-41 11 @KC -
3 OAK W 24-23 12 SF -
4 @SD L 10-41 13 STL -
5 NO W 30-20 14 DEN -
6 Bye - 15 @CAR -
7 @SEA L 10-22 16 DAL -
8 TB L 35-38 17 @SF -
9 @MIN L 24-27 - - -
Cardinals Report | Statistics | Roster
ARIZONA at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Derek Anderson - - 220,1
RB Beanie Wells 30 - -
RB Tim Hightower 30 10 -
WR Larry Fitzgerald - 80,1 -
WR Steve Breaston - 40 -
WR Early Doucet - 50 -
PK Jay Feely 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Whatever moral gains that were made in the close losses to the Bucs and Vikes have been erased by the Seahawks who made the season an official lost cause for the Cards. The schedule for the rest of the year is about as easy as any other team and yet the Cardinals have struggled to take advantage of it so far. It is too early to give up on the Cardinals in a fantasy sense but the offense has yet to take any step forward.

QUARTERBACK: Derek Anderson comes off his best game of the year with 322 passing yards and one score against the Seahawks but he has been stuck with sub-200 yard showings in almost every other game and has only thrown for six scores over nine games with 13 interceptions. It isn't that Anderson gives the Cardinals the best chance to win. It is just that he keeps them from losing by so much.

The Chiefs have been weaker against the pass but the Cardinals are ranked near the bottom for all passing categories. No visitor to Kansas City has passed for less than 220 yards and all have scored at least once but both those figures are high side games for Anderson.

RUNNING BACKS: Beanie Wells continues to be hampered by his balky knee and after only having one carry in week nine he was actually not active for last Sunday. It's not that the offense is losing a major punch here but Wells is a better runner than Tim Hightower.

Hightower scored once in the Seattle game but only ended with 39 yards on 13 carries and even his role as a receiver has been nearly nonexistent this year. I will project for Hightower to take the start again this week until Wells shows he is a better choice.

The Chiefs at home have never allowed a rushing score or more than 78 rushing yards. No reason to start either Cardinals runner this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Larry Fitzgerald remains remarkably effective despite the general state of the team around him. He has scored in only one game since week three but has been turning in 70+ yards in each of the last three games. The problem this week is that almost all of his worst efforts came in road games. Steve Breaston has been more productive in recent weeks as well but always when the team is at home. All combined the wideouts have only scored seven touchdowns on the season.

The Chiefs are weakest against wide receivers and chances are high that this game will see the Cards playing catch up via the pass for the entire second half. The one passing score should end up here and that has to favor Fitzgerald. He has been the lone wideout who still has decent games on the road.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 31 29 16 30 31 1
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 24 20 19 7 10 4
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) ARI -7 -9 3 -23 -21 3


Kansas City Chiefs (5-4)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD W 21-14 10 @DEN L 29-49
2 @CLE W 16-14 11 ARI --
3 SF W 31-10 12 @SEA --
4 Bye - 13 DEN --
5 @IND L 9-19 14 @SD --
6 @HOU L 31-35 15 @STL --
7 JAC W 42-20 16 TEN --
8 BUF W 13-10 17 OAK --
9 @OAK L 20-23 - - -
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY vs ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel - - 170,1
RB Jamaal Charles 100,1 20 -
RB Thomas Jones 60,1 - -
TE Tony Moeaki - 40 -
WR Chris Chambers - 30 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 70,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: After getting pummeled by the Broncos on Sunday, this game should be just what the doctor ordered. The Cardinals rank dead last in the league in points allowed and are ranked 30th against running backs. The loss last week was a setback for the Chiefs but they still are tied with the Raiders for the division lead. The Chiefs may be favored in every game left on the schedule other than in San Diego.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Cassel had been stuck around 200 to 250 yards in most games this year and he did score in the last five but in Denver he had a personal best with 469 yards and four scores in a losing bid. He threw 53 passes with 33 completions and had never had more than 20 completions in any other game. Back at home is where Cassel has been least productive because the rushing has been best.

The Cardinals have never allowed less than one score in a road game and most end up with two or more. Favre had a monster game with them in week ten but all others ended up around that 220 mark that Cassel already likes. Figure on just an average game from Cassel this week because the running game should take off.

RUNNING BACKS: Last week saw the dynamic duo held to only 18 rushes but that mostly came out of Thomas Jones' share since he only had four carries. Jamaal Charles rushed for a season low 41 yards on 14 carries but added a season best five receptions for 80 yards and one touchdown. This week should be a chance for both runners to have fantasy value and potentially very nice stats.

In week nine, Adrian Peterson rolled up 144 total yards and two scores on this defense and the Seahawks gained130 yards on 33 carries on them. It was 171 yards and two scores by the Chargers. Charles is a must start this week with a great outlook and even Jones should get enough action to merit being a flex play this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Dexter McCluster remains out with a high ankle sprain since week seven though the team merely calls him questionable every week. Dwayne Bowe had a season best game of 13 catches for 183 yards and two scores when the Broncos went up 35-0 and Champ Bailey backed up and gave away the shorter stuff. That was more catches than Bowe had over the last three game combined and reflected the surreal nature of the ambush. Bowe has now scored eight times in the last five games though his yardage has been as low as 16 yards. Bowe is an every week starter by now but last week was an aberration of the extreme order. Bowe only had three catches for 41 yards in the other two games in Denver against Champ Bailey.

This week Bowe faces a very soft secondary and should continue his scoring streak with at least decent yardage. Even with the success of the rushing game, Cassel is getting into a habit of scoring with Bowe. No other wideout here is worthy of a fantasy start.

TIGHT ENDS: Tony Moeaki was injured in the Denver game but no word was given as to what it was or the extent. He was hurt on an onside kick attempt at the end of the game but assumedly will be okay to play. Moeaki has not scored since week three and he has been solid in yardage though with around 40 to 60 yards in most games. It was a surprise when he only managed one catch for 34 yards in Denver during the big aerial show by Cassel.

This week should be more about rushing but Moeaki has pegged right around 40 yards in every home game this year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 21 3 20 21 19 16
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 25 32 24 22 32 32
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) KC 4 29 4 1 13 16

WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT TB at SF
GB at MIN BUF at CIN CLE at JAC IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL SEA at NO NYG at PHI
  ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL DEN at SD
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