The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT *TB at SF
*GB at MIN *BUF at CIN *CLE at JAC *IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL *SEA at NO NYG at PHI
*UPDATED *ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL *DEN at SD

Prediction: DET 20, DAL 24

Update: Jahvid Best has been held out of practice on Wednesday and Thursday to rest his foot but is still expected to play.

The Lions come off their NFL record 25th consecutive road loss and head to Dallas where the Cowboys are still tipsy after beating the Giants in New York. The Cowboys have yet to actually win in Cowboys Stadium so this game comes as a gift they best accept and win.

Detroit Lions (2-7)
Homefield: Ford Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CHI L 14-19 10 @BUF L 12-14
2 PHI L 32-35 11 @DAL --
3 @MIN L 10-24 12 NE --
4 @GB L 26-28 13 CHI --
5 STL W 44-6 14 GB --
6 @NYG L 20-28 15 @TB --
7 Bye - 16 @MIA --
8 WAS W 37-25 17 MIN --
9 NYJ L 20-23 - - -
Lions Report | Statistics | Roster
DETROIT at DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Shaun Hill - - 290,2
RB Jahvid Best 40 30 -
TE Brandon Pettigrew - 50,1 -
WR Calvin Johnson - 110,1 -
WR Bryant Johnson - 20 -
WR Nate Burleson - 70 -
PK Dave Rayner 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: Once again, a close loss on the road and the Lions have redefined futility in road games. Shaun Hill has returned from his fractured forearm but the rushing game has yet to make an appearance and the defense is bent on being just not quite good enough in any game away from home. This week will certainly be the best chance for a road win for the rest of the season but the Lions have the bad luck to catch the Cowboys at a very rare bad time.

QUARTERBACK: Shaun Hill has been a more than adequate replacement for Matt Stafford and his last two games on the road resulted in 331 yards and two scores in Green Bay and 323 yards and a score in Buffalo last week. Sure, he throws for a couple of interceptions per game but he's good enough to connect well with Calvin Johnson and that's about all a quarterback here needs to do.

The Cowboys have been horrible against the pass and even the big win against the Giants had Eli Manning passing for 373 yards and two scores. In just four home games this year, the Cowboys have allowed 13 touchdowns and three games with more than 260 yards. Given that the rushing attack of the Lions has never materialized, Hill should have some nice yards and scores in this game - everyone else has. Two touchdowns should be a minimum.

RUNNING BACKS: By this point we have to accept that the Lions are never going to assemble a decent rushing attack this year. Jahvid Best claims his dual turf toe injuries are not a factor but he just left the #32 defense in Buffalo with only 35 yards on 17 carries. And that's better than Kevin Smith. Best serves the role as the runner in this offense but he has not cracked 60 yards in any game since week two and has not scored since then. His role as a receiver has allowed him at least marginal fantasy value.

The Cowboys rushing defense has been poor this year but so has the Lions runners. No reason to expect a change to the fortunes of the Lions after last week. The faster carpet in Dallas may be a small help but Best doesn't do much when at home anyway.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Calvin Johnson has been nearly unstoppable to all but the very best defenses and has already scored nine times along with three of his last four games topping 100 yards. Nate Burleson has also grown into at least a moderate factor with around 50 yards in most games and three scores in the last five games. Shaun Hill has been able to keep this offense moving with these two wideouts and that should once again be the case in Dallas.

The Cowboys have only had four home games and yet allowed nine passing scores to wideouts there this year. This should be a very nice game for Johnson and even Burleson could show up with some significance as well.

TIGHT ENDS: Brandon Pettigrew has become a factor in the passing game this year and even more so in road games when the Lions are even more likely to pass. He has 25 catches in just the last four trips away from home and faces a secondary that gave up two scores to Marcedes Lewis in the most recent game in Dallas. Pettigrew should do no worse than decent yardage but has a good shot at a score as well.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 6 24 17 6 21 3
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 28 14 29 17 25 26
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) DET 22 -10 12 11 4 23


Dallas Cowboys (2-7)
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @WAS L 7-13 10 @NYG W 33-20
2 CHI L 20-27 11 DET --
3 @HOU W 27-13 12 NO --
4 Bye - 13 @IND --
5 TEN L 27-34 14 PHI --
6 @MIN L 21-24 15 WAS --
7 NYG L 35-41 16 @ARI --
8 JAC L 17-35 17 @PHI --
9 @GB L 7-45 - - -
Cowboys Report | Statistics | Roster
DALLAS vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Jon Kitna - - 250,2
RB Marion Barber 40,1 - -
RB Felix Jones 50 20 -
TE Jason Witten - 40,1 -
WR Roy Williams - 20 -
WR Dez Bryant - 90,1 -
WR Miles Austin - 60 -
PK David Buehler 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The win in New York was huge to the Cowboys who ended a five game losing streak and made the debut of interim HC Jason Garrett something to smile about. The Cowboys showed up playing with emotion and focus that immediately forced the question "where has that been?". Then again - it was just one game and in many ways could just have been a trap for the Giants. This week should be another win but the rest of the season has no easy games and if the Cowboys have turned any corner at all, they will have to prove it every week forward.

QUARTERBACK: Jon Kitna had been only average in his first three efforts but in New York came to life with 312 passing yards and three touchdowns. He even had what could pass for a rushing game to support him for the first time this year. It went so well in New York that even Miles Austin showed up with a score. Kitna has been back to starting long enough to shake off the rust and last week was very encouraging but until he can string two such efforts together the jury is still out.

The Lions have always allowed at least one passing score in every road game this year and most end up with two or three touchdowns. The pass yards have tended to be lower in most weeks because the rushing defense has been so bad. Look for a couple of scores from Kitna this week and more likely only moderate pass yardage if the Dallas backfield can show up again this week.

RUNNING BACKS: In the least likely spot on the schedule, the Cowboys found a rushing game when Marion Barber gained 47 yards on eight carries and Felix Jones ran for 51 yards on 14 runs. Jones also added 85 yards on three catches with a long touchdown reception to his credit. What to think? This has been the worst rushing attack in the entire league so far and have posted only two rushing touchdowns all season long. Barber still cannot break 55 yards on the ground in a game and Jones saving grace was really the long touchdown catch.

The Lions are very weak against the position though and the Cowboys are at home in what should be an exciting game for the fans who have yet to witness Dallas win a game. The yardage is hard to rely on but I like Barber to bull in one score. The Lions have already allowed 13 touchdowns to running backs.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The Jon Kitna to Dez Bryant connection still works with Bryant scoring his fifth touchdown in the last five games and totaling 104 yards for his first trip across the century mark. Bryant has remained above 80 yards for three straight weeks. Miles Austin caught a score in New York for the first time since week five but he still had only two catches for 68 yards and remains well behind his early season pace. Roy Williams has completely returned under the same rock he used last year.

The Lions secondary has been better lately but can be beaten and should see Bryant continue to dominant for the Cowboys. Austin should have decent stats here as well but has been inconsistently used and has become harder to rely on. Austin did end with 117 yards against the Jags in the only other home game with Kitna.

TIGHT ENDS: Jason Witten has been very quiet in the last two weeks but he had his best game of the year in week eight with Kitna in that only home game since Romo left. Witten turned in 10 catches for 97 yards and a score in that game but has since been little used on the road. The Lions have been good against this position but allowed a score to a tight end in the last two away games. Witten is less likely for a big yardage game this week but has a very good chance of snagging one score.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 4 32 5 9 27 17
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 17 31 14 3 7 19
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) DAL 13 -1 9 -6 -20 2

WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT TB at SF
GB at MIN BUF at CIN CLE at JAC IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL SEA at NO NYG at PHI
  ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL DEN at SD
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t