The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT *TB at SF
*GB at MIN *BUF at CIN *CLE at JAC *IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL *SEA at NO NYG at PHI
*UPDATED *ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL *DEN at SD

Prediction: IND 23, NE 24

Update: Joseph Addai was held out on Wednesday and then limited on Thursday. He may end up as a game time decision and I am lowering his projections. Addai's final status will feed into Donald Brown's workload so depending on the backfield is going to be risky. Addai is still the better bet but is no lock. Austin Collie had a full practice and is more likely to play. I will replace Blair White with Collie but check on his status late to ensure he was cleared to play and has not suffered any setbacks from his concussion.

Update #2 - Austin Collie should get his final clearance to play on Saturday but that may not be known until Sunday morning. Joseph Addai was held out of practice on Friday and is a very risky play this week. Donald Brown is in line to get the carries if Addai cannot play and it is obvious that Addai won't be nearly healthy if he does suit up. Blair White would get much more playing time if Collie ends up not playing.

Always an entertaining game that magically appears on every season schedule if not a rematch in the playoffs. The difference this time around is that the Colts have hosted the last four of these games. They actually have won five of the last six though these have always gone down to the wire and the last four matchups were decided by 4 points or less. But the Colts have never seemed so mortal and they are only 2-3 on the road this year. The Pats are 4-0 at home.

The Colts squeaked past the visiting Pats in 2009, winning 35-34.

Indianapolis Colts (6-3)
Homefield: Lucas Oil Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU L 24-34 10 CIN W 23-17
2 NYG W 38-14 11 @NE --
3 @DEN W 27-13 12 SD --
4 @JAC L 28-31 13 DAL --
5 KC W 19-9 14 @TEN --
6 @WAS W 27-24 15 JAC --
7 Bye - 16 @OAK --
8 HOU W 30-17 17 TEN --
9 @PHI L 24-26 - - -
Colts Report | Statistics | Roster
INDIANAPOLIS at NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning - - 290,2
RB Joseph Addai 40 10 -
TE Jacob Tamme - 70,1 -
WR Reggie Wayne - 80 -
WR Austin Collie - 40 -
WR Blair White - 40,1 -
WR Pierre Garcon - 40,1 -
PK Adam Vinatieri 3 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Colts have battled more injuries this year and it shows with a constantly changing cast of receivers each week that may change yet again. But several injured players - Joseph Addai and and Austin Collie in particular - may be back this week. Hard to get consistency down when the offense is a constantly changing landscape and even His Highness Peyton Manning is not enough to spackle all the holes every week.

QUARTERBACK: Peyton Manning comes off his worst game in several years when he only passed for 185 yards and no touchdowns against the visiting Bengals. His stats had been in decline already with only five scores over the last five games against 11 in his first four matchups of the year. Manning is still posting good numbers in most games, it is just that he has not been turning in any great games. Getting back injured players will make a tremendous difference.

Manning passed for 327 yards and four touchdowns when the Pats visited last year.

The Patriots defense has been plenty soft but they have played better at home where no opponent has passed for more than two scores. Manning himself has not thrown for more than two in the last six games so expect that as the likely outcome. If Collie can return it would be a potential game changer.

RUNNING BACKS: Joseph Addai has been out since week six but has aimed to return for this game. He was still listed as doubtful last week with his shoulder still an issue. I will assume that he returns at least in a limited role this week and update as needed. With a bad shoulder to protect, the Colts could continue to use Javarris James as the goal line back. Donald Brown remains in the mix as well but if Addai can prove to be healthy, he'll get the big workload again and add a much needed element to the offense.

Addai ran for 41 yards and one score on 10 carries versus the Pats last season.

The Patriots have been good against the run at home where only two runners have score and none have turned in a 100+ yard game including Adrian Peterson (25-92, TD). Addai has been effective on the road and five of his six scores were away from Indy. But again - a short score is more likely to end up with James. This first week back makes it hard to rely on any rushing score for Addai.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Reggie Wayne has really suffered during this time of so many injuries. Being the only healthy receiver has brought on even more attention and Wayne has only scored once since week two. He still gets as many as 16 passes thrown his way but his stats have take a noticeable and prolonged downturn this season. His better games have been away from home because Manning has needed to force more passes his way. Pierre Garcon had one decent game against the Redskins but otherwise is stuck around 40 or so yards per week along with at least one drop. Blair White missed last week with a shoulder injury he suffered in practice but he may be back this week. Austin Collie was out with his concussion but too could return if he passes all the tests.tial touchdown late in the game.

Wayne turned in 10 catches for 126 yards and two scores on the Pats last year. Pierre Garcon had 50 yards and one score on three receptions.

Both of the scores are likely to end up here if not a third one thanks to Tamme nursing a sore back. This could change by Friday but I am assuming Wayne and Garcon start and that White can play a limited role. Garcon should snag a score here if he can hang onto the ball. Wayne has typically had big games against the Pats and is a must start every week but expecting a score is getting more and more unlikely. If Collie returns it helps significantly.

TIGHT ENDS: Jacob Tamme has stepped into Dallas Clark's shoes and actually been even better. In three games played he has scored twice and has not turned in less than six catches or 64 yards. He has been a boon to every lucky free agent hound who snapped him up but he injured his back in the Eagles game and then strained it again last week against the Bengals. Tamme is expected to be questionable this week and will likely be rested. I will assume he can play nearly 100% and adjust late week based on what his progress is.

Clark ended with 65 yards on four catches against the Pats last year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 9 17 6 7 3 12
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 29 24 25 21 16 3
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) IND 20 7 19 14 13 -9


New England Patriots (7-2)
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN W 38-24 10 @PIT W 39-26
2 @NYJ L 14-28 11 IND --
3 BUF W 38-30 12 @DET --
4 @MIA W 41-14 13 NYJ --
5 Bye - 14 @CHI --
6 BAL W 23-20 15 GB --
7 @SD W 23-20 16 @BUF --
8 MIN W 28-18 17 MIA --
9 @CLE L 14-34 - - -
Patriots Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ENGLAND Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady - - 250,2
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis 70,1 - -
RB Danny Woodhead 40 30 -
TE Rob Gronkowski   10,1  
TE Aaron Hernandez - 40 -
WR Brandon Tate - 50 -
WR Deion Branch - 70,1 -
WR Wes Welker - 60 -
PK Shayne Graham 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Patriots have the highest scoring offense in the league with 258 points scored for an average of almost 29 points per game but most of that stemmed from the first four weeks. The big win in Pittsburgh was one of several big upsets last week and came in reaction to being punked in Cleveland. Last week was the first time that the Patriots offense showed much spark since Randy Moss left. This week will show if that was for real or just a one game event.

QUARTERBACK: Tom Brady passed for a season high 350 yards and three scores and that was completely out of character for what he had done since week three. Brady was stuck on a string of four straight games with only one score and moderate yardage before throwing for two scores and 224 yards on the Browns. Disregard last week and the Colts will be a major challenge for this offense that is without their biggest weapon against them in the past - Randy Moss.

Brady passed for 375 yards and three scores at Indy last year.

The Colts have only allowed 11 passing scores over ten games and never more than two touchdowns by any one team. Brady had been on a very mediocre stretch prior to the PIT game and the Colts on the road are still easier to run against. I'll project for two scores but that may prove high side if the rushing game really gets into gear.

RUNNING BACKS : BenJarvus Green-Ellis has not scored in two games but had six touchdowns over five consecutive games before that and he till turned in 87 yards on 18 carries in Pittsburgh. Danny Woodhead has been de-emphasized in recent games but his best two performances of the season came in his last two home games. Woodhead was thrown five catches in both of those games and around 50 yards. He's been as good as 63 yards on 11 carries in a home game before (Baltimore) but both of these runners are going to figure in if not even more depending on the whims of Bill Belichick.

The Pats rushed for 110 yards and one score on 25 carries against the Colts.

On the road, the Colts have allowed eight touchdowns to running backs and around 100 total yards or more to each team. That will get split up in this offense but Green-Ellis should be a lock for one score this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Brandon Tate is the deep ball receiver and caught a 45-yard gainer last week but only had one other catch for five yards. He had 101 yards and a score in the last home game but his entire value is whether or not he can catch the two to three bombs that are thrown his way every game. With only one touchdown on the season - mostly doesn't catch it.

Deion Branch looked healthy again last week when he turned in seven receptions for 71 yards as did Wes Welker when he to played unlike the previous five weeks and snagged eight passes for 89 yards. The entire game was out of the norm for these receivers who have struggled to produce even moderate stats since Moss left. Welker still has no scores since week two and his three previous games saw him with less than 40 yards each week. This happened in Pittsburgh where it would be least likely but is it truly turning the corner or just a really good game for once? in his last home game, Welker only produced three catches for 24 yards.

Randy Moss caught nine passes for 179 yards and two scores in Indy last year. That would be nice to have once again. Welker ended with 94 yards on nine receptions back when he would do that sort of thing all the time.

The Colts secondary has been very good and yet the normal wideout to score against them is the opponent's #1 guy. In this case, it matches up to Deion Branch more than Wes Welker in the slot. Again - you have to expect only moderate yardage in this game because last week is just a big exception so far.

TIGHT ENDS: There is no mistaking that the Patriots like their tight ends with five touchdowns over the last two games to the position. But that was Aaron Hernandez with 48 yards and two scores on five catches in week nine when Rob Gronkowski was held to 47 yards on four catches. But last week Hernandez had no catches while Gronkowski gathered in five completions for 72 yards and three touchdowns. So far it all depends on the packages they opt for on offense as to which tight end is there. Gronkowski has been very marginal in yardage with rarely more than one or two catches until these last two road efforts. Hernandez had been consistent in yardage each week until getting blanked.

Relying on either player is a calculated risk. You know each week one of them at least has a decent game if not a big one. But getting it right each time is the hard part.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NE 13 11 25 2 11 6
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 14 23 16 1 18 1
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NE 1 12 -9 -1 7 -5

WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT TB at SF
GB at MIN BUF at CIN CLE at JAC IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL SEA at NO NYG at PHI
  ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL DEN at SD
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t