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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT *TB at SF
*GB at MIN *BUF at CIN *CLE at JAC *IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL *SEA at NO NYG at PHI
*UPDATED *ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL *DEN at SD

Prediction: WAS 16, TEN 27

The Redskins are on a short week after being humiliated by the Eagles on national television last Monday. They thought losing to the Lions was as bad as it could get and they were wrong. The Skins now crawl to Tennessee with a 2-2 road record and a 1-3 mark in the last four games. The Titans are only 5-4 but trail the Colts by one game. This would be a trap game for the Skins to win it.

Washington Redskins (4-5)
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL W 13-7 10 PHI L 28-59
2 HOU L 27-30 11 @TEN --
3 @STL L 16-30 12 MIN --
4 @PHI W 17-12 13 @NYG --
5 GB W 16-13 14 TB --
6 IND L 24-27 15 @DAL --
7 @CHI W 17-14 16 @JAC --
8 @DET L 25-37 17 NYG --
9 Bye - - - -
Redskins Report | Statistics | Roster
WASHINGTON at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb - - 250,1
RB Keiland Williams 40 30 -
TE Chris Cooley - 50,1 -
WR Santana Moss - 50 -
WR Anthony Armstrong - 90 -
PK Graham Gano 3 FG 1 XP -

Pregame Notes: Donovan McNabb signed a new contract and had a chance to take some homefield advantage over his old team but it never happened. The Skins were hopelessly behind before most fans found their seats and that comes on the heels of the Detroit loss. The offense was already struggling to keep a healthy running back or break 20 points in most games and now the defense has given up 96 points in just two games. It could have been even higher on Monday. This is a rebuilding year to be sure but all the parts they need do not seem to be on the current team.

QUARTERBACK: At least now they know how to break Donovan McNabb from his seven straight weeks addicted to throwing just one touchdown - make the Eagles so hopelessly behind that the defense doesn't care that he has two scores. And only two scores in a game they lost by 31 points while facing the prevent defense starting sometime in the early second quarter. The pieces of a good passing game are not all here and that means McNabb is locked into one score per week.

That matches up well with the four passing scores allowed in the four home games by the Titans. McNabb may end up with decent yardage yet again if only from late game trash time.

RUNNING BACKS: Ryan Torain was unable to play on Monday when his hamstring tightened up in the pregame warm ups and riding a bike could not solve the problem. He said after the game that he would consult with a doctor about it so it sounds almost certain that he will remain out this week as well.

Clinton Portis remains out with his own nagging groin injury so once again it boils down to Keiland Williams as the last man standing. He was actually very productive with 89 rushing yards and two scores and 50 yards on four catches for another score thanks to the Eagles being so astronomically ahead even they were wondering "why in the hell are they running the ball?" The defense was playing so far back they had to watch the Jumbotron to see when the ball was snapped.

A dose of reality this week in Tennessee where no runner has rushed in a score or managed to produce even a moderately good game since the season opener. Williams is a very mediocre start this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS:Santana Moss has been in a decline for five straight weeks and when the Skins needed him most, he only had three catches for 28 yards against the Eagles. He only had a season low five passes thrown to him. Moss has only scored twice this year and continues to actually get worse. The only upside wideout on the team is Anthony Armstrong who has scored just once but turned in games of 3-92 and 3-83 in these last two weeks of losses. There is no way that the best receiver for 2011 is on this team now.

The Titans are solid against wide receivers and even more so at home. With just Moss and Armstrong to worry about, any big performance here means a lot of trash time had to be filled.

TIGHT ENDS: Even Chris Cooley has been on a decline though less pronounced than Santana Moss. Cooley has not scored since week four though he has remained good with at least moderate yardage in most weeks. Fred Davis pulled down a catch for a 71-yard gain last week but has done nearly nothing otherwise. I like the one passing score to a tight end where the Titans are weakest and that has to favor Cooley.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 18 9 28 10 16 10
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 16 15 7 23 31 12
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) WAS -2 6 -21 13 15 2


Tennessee Titans (5-4)
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 OAK W 38-13 10 @MIA L 17-29
2 PIT L 11-19 11 WAS --
3 @NYG W 29-10 12 @HOU --
4 DEN L 20-26 13 JAC --
5 @DAL W 34-27 14 IND --
6 @JAC W 30-3 15 HOU --
7 PHI W 37-19 16 @KC --
8 @SD L 25-33 17 @IND --
9 Bye - - - -
Titans Report | Statistics | Roster
TENNESSEE vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 10 - 180,2
RB Chris Johnson 120,1 20 -
TE Bo Scaife - 20 -
WR Justin Gage - 20 -
WR Nate Washington - 30,1 -
WR Randy Moss - 60,1 -
PK Rob Bironas 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The most recent debut of Randy Moss went far less productively but the Titans lost a quarterback in the process and really - by your third "tada!" for the year it gets kinda old anyway. What Moss did do was help to stretch back that defense so that Chris Johnson could have a good game. And thanks to the crash of the Skins on Monday night, the Titans get to greet the #31 ranked defense against both quarterbacks and wide receivers. That should help getting Randy some of that Titan love.

QUARTERBACK: Kerry Collins will miss several games with a calf injury so Vince Young again takes the helm. Young continues to score in games when he plays but his yardage is something that Randy Moss will have to get used to seeing. Young always scored once if not twice per game and he never runs in scores anymore, but he also has topped 175 passing yards just once this year. Maybe they all go to Moss from now on, but this has never been a team about the pass.

As mentioned, the Skins rank at the bottom of the defenses for quarterbacks in part because of what Vick did to them but they had already allowed 14 passing scores in their first eight games including four to Matthew Stafford and three for Matt Schaub. Expect an average passing game by Young but a decent chance that he can produce two touchdowns this week.

RUNNING BACKS: Chris Johnson has already been one of the most successful runners again this year with nine rushing scores and five games over 100 rushing yards. But the addition of Moss really could spark bigger gains for Johnson who only needs some space to turn a short gain into a streak down the side line. What has been most curious is that this three games without a score or decent yardage all came at home. Facing PIT, DEN and PHI would be a challenge anyway but it oddly made the otherwise wildly productive runner turn in mediocre games. The home town fans have not witnessed a score or even a long gaining run since week one.

The addition of Moss is going to help that and the Skins come dragging in on a short week likely to allow a few nice runs. He is a must start anyway but this week should finally see a decent home game performance.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Kenny Britt remains out with his hamstring strain and Randy Moss only came down with one catch for 26 yards last week. He only had four passes thrown his way but should be better this week against a very soft secondary. Nate Washington has scored in each of the last two games but the addition of Moss will put a new slant on this unit as will relying on Vince Young.

What this game should provide is some long passes to Moss with Young's big arm coming into play. Moss is always a play because of his upside but he has a better situation this week.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 23 12 15 22 7 4
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 31 18 31 13 19 23
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) TEN 8 6 16 -9 12 19

WEEK 11
2010
CHI at MIA BAL at CAR OAK at PIT TB at SF
GB at MIN BUF at CIN CLE at JAC IND at NE
WAS at TEN DET at DAL SEA at NO NYG at PHI
  ARI at KC HOU at NYJ ATL at STL DEN at SD
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