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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI *MIA at OAK
NO at DAL *JAC at NYG *MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ *CAR at CLE *GB at ATL *SD at IND
*UPDATED TEN at HOU PIT at BUF *KC at SEA SF at ARI

Prediction: CAR 10, CLE 31

Update: Jonathan Stewart and Jimmy Clausen are both over their concussions and are back to full practices as is Brandon LaFell. HC John Fox has declined to name a starting running back since Mike Goodson did just a good job by himself but the assumption has to be that Stewart takes over as the primary and Goodson becomes the second half of the committee.

Update #2: Colt McCoy is out with his high ankle sprain and Jake Delhomme will start. Josh Cribbs may still play but willl be very limited.

This is the sort of game you like to see - bound to have some good fantasy points and one team gets a sorely needed win. Since the Panthers are apparently only getting worse and are 0-4 on the road, the Browns are due a decent win here that would actually make them 3-3 in home games.

Carolina Panthers (1-9)
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG L 18-31 10 @TB L 16-31
2 TB L 7-20 11 BAL L 13-37
3 CIN L 7-20 12 @CLE --
4 @NO L 14-16 13 @SEA --
5 CHI L 6-23 14 ATL --
6 Bye - 15 ARI --
7 SF W 23-20 16 @PIT --
8 @STL L 10-20 17 @ATL --
9 NO L 3-34   - -
Panthers Report | Statistics | Roster
CAROLINA at CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Jimmy Clausen - - 170,1
RB Mike Goodson 30 10 -
RB Jonathan Stewart 70 10 -
WR Brandon LaFell - 40,1 -
WR Steve Smith - 50 -
WR David Gettis - 40 -
PK John Kasay 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: No need to spend much time here.The Panthers are the lowest scoring team in the NFL and has scored more than one touchdown in a game only twice this year. The best running back is on IR and the best quarterback apparently never showed up. Throw in a defense that has allowed over 30 points in each of the last three games and the Browns should really like this game.

QUARTERBACK: Brian St. Pierre suffered a sore shoulder after the Ravens game and may not be able to play this week. Jimmy Clausen remains out with a concussion but may be back. The Panthers may go out and sign yet another quarterback. I will project for Clausen to start and change as needed but no one has any business starting a Panthers quarterback any week this year.

RUNNING BACKS: Jonathan Stewart remains out with a concussion and his status for the week is not yet known since he has not been medically cleared to play. That leaves Mike Goodson as the probable starter again this week and he has stitched together two 100 rushing yard games in a row both in Tampa Bay and last week against the Ravens. Granted - the Panthers were getting destroyed in both games so the run was not something that the defenses really cared about. But in fantasy terms those trash time yards count just as much.

The Browns defense has not allowed any visitors to rush in a touchdown and only Michael Turner topped 100 yards. The Browns are not likely to take anyone lightly so expected a lesser effort by Goodson this week. Then again - he's exceeded all expectations for two weeks.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There is no reason for any fantasy expectations here and that decent game by David Gettis last week - 92 yards and one score came on only two catches and one was the fluke 88-yard touchdown. Steve Smith flounders with around 45 yards each week and has not scored since week two. He's worth starting only in very deep leagues because even the notion that he has upside in any game is hard to imagine by now.

The Browns are weak against the pass so I like one passing score here. I am giving it to LaFell but it could go anywhere.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 32 28 29 29 28 26
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 25 11 23 28 9 18
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CAR -7 -17 -6 -1 -19 -8


Cleveland Browns (3-7)
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TB L 14-17 10 NYJ L 20-26
2 KC L 14-16 11 @JAC L 20-24
3 @BAL L 17-24 12 CAR --
4 CIN W 23-20 13 @MIA --
5 ATL L 10-20 14 @BUF --
6 @PIT L 10-28 15 @CIN --
7 @NO W 30-17 16 BAL --
8 Bye - 17 PIT --
9 NE W 34-14 - - -
Browns Report | Statistics | Roster
CLEVELAND vs CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Colt McCoy - - 180,1
QB Jake Delhomme - - 180,1
RB Peyton Hillis 130,2 30 -
TE Evan Moore - 30,1 -
WR Mohamed Massaquoi - 40 -
WR Josh Cribs - 30 -
WR Chansi Stuckey - 20 -
PK Phil Dawson 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Browns are losing games in painful ways with the last two losses being last minute and had they won those they would be 5-5. The rest of the schedule is going to be brutal with three road games and then hosting the Ravens and Steelers. It won't get any better for the Browns than this week but there still is no player worth starting outside of Peyton Hillis.

I like a defensive score in this game.

QUARTERBACK: The Browns may have a quarterback problem this week since Colt McCoy suffered what may be a high ankle sprain and was wearing a boot after the Jaguars game. Jake Delhomme or Seneca Wallace could end up replacing him but in no case would any of them be worthy of a fantasy start. I will put up McCoy for now and adjust later since even the secretive Browns have to say more on Wednesday about healthy status and we will have practice reports by then as well.

The Panthers have allowed at least one passing score in every road game and no matter who is the quarterback, he'll probably end up with one score. Where that touchdown ends up will be a challenge to predict, but one passing score should keep in line with what both teams generally end up with in a game.

RUNNING BACKS: Peyton Hillis still has scored in every game this year except at Pittsburgh. He has eight rushing touchdowns and two via passes. Last week was a season high 95 yards on six catches and Hillis is not only the lead rusher for the Browns, he is the lead receiver as well. It may be rushing yards, it may be receiving yards but in the end, he always scores and usually has 100 or more total yards.

Hillis faces a decent rush defense but one that has allowed ten scores to opposing running backs and healthy yardage. Since Hillis doesn't have to share with anyone you can expect - by now call it a demand - that Hillis has a great game. This will be his softest opposing defense of the year so expect big things.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There is no reliable fantasy value here from a squad that has only scored three touchdowns and never had more than 74 yards by a wideout in any game this year. In almost every week, the tight ends and Hillis dominate the receivers. This is one area that the Browns have to improve upon next year.

TIGHT ENDS: Ben Watson injured his ankle last week and had no catches while Evan Moore had three receptions for 69 yards. I will assume that Watson remains out this week until updates are needed. The Panthers have already allowed five scores to the tight ends so I like Evan Moore to notch one here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 30 14 32 8 22 10
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 10 24 3 30 30 32
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CLE -20 10 -29 22 8 22

WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI MIA at OAK
NO at DAL JAC at NYG MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ CAR at CLE GB at ATL SD at IND
  TEN at HOU PIT at BUF KC at SEA SF at ARI
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