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David Dorey
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WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI *MIA at OAK
NO at DAL *JAC at NYG *MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ *CAR at CLE *GB at ATL *SD at IND
*UPDATED TEN at HOU PIT at BUF *KC at SEA SF at ARI

Prediction: CIN 14, NYJ 27

The Bengals are on a horrible seven game losing streak and could not even come up with a win over the visiting Bills last week despite leading in the game 31-14 at the half. The Jets are tied for the best record in the NFL at 8-2 and apparently cannot help but win a game. The last two weeks have been nail biters down to the wire. This is the late Thursday game but should provide enough fireworks to keep the tryptophan from taking over.

The Bengals lost 0-37 in New York in the final game of 2009.

Cincinnati Bengals (2-8)
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NE L 24-38 10 @IND L 17-23
2 BAL W 15-10 11 BUF L 31-49
3 @CAR W 20-7 12 @NYJ --
4 @CLE L 20-23 13 NO --
5 TB L 21-24 14 @PIT --
6 Bye - 15 CLE --
7 @ATL L 32-39 16 SD --
8 MIA L 14-22 17 @BAL --
9 PIT L 21-27 - - -
Bengals Report | Statistics | Roster
CINCINNATI at NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer - - 240,2
RB Cedric Benson 60 10 -
TE Jermaine Gresham - 70,1 -
WR Chad Ochocinco - 60 -
WR Terrell Owens - 40 -
WR Jordan Shipley - 40,1 -
PK Aaron Pettrey - 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: In fantasy terms the Bengals offer value every week. In NFL terms, they are teetering on collapse after seven straight losses and none as bad as when the Bills came in last week. The rest of the schedule may have only the Cleveland game where the Bengals are favored and there is no guarantee of that. The defense of 2009 is a distant memory and the offense to 2010 cannot keep up with opponents even when they have a 17 point lead.

QUARTERBACK: Sure, the Bengals are unable to win a game but if they only played fantasy football too they'd enjoy this more. Carson Palmer has thrown for two or more scores in seven straight games and has never had less than 290 passing yards in a road game all year. Being behind constantly helps.

The Jets have been much better versus the pass since they got Darrelle Revis back healthy. The last two games in New York were against Aaron Rodgers (170 yds, 0 TD) and Matt Schaub (254 yds, 1 TD). Expecting even his two standard touchdowns in a tall order this week and the Jets have yet to allow over 260 yards in a home game.

RUNNING BACKS: As expected, Cedric Benson had his best fantasy game of the year when the Bills showed up and gave him 124 rushing yards and one touchdown with three catches for 22 more yards. But Benson has been held to less than 70 total yards in all road games other than Carolina. He's struggled against all but the weakest defenses.

The Jets gave up a very uncharacteristic two scores to Aaron Foster last week but had only allowed one other score to any visiting runners and Benson has been less than stellar away from Cincy. Figure on just another mediocre showing this week that matches with his previous work.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The bad news is that Darrelle Revis already has said he is going to cover Terrell Owens and leave Antonio Cromartie on Chad Ochocinco. That has been silencing the opponent's #1 wideout since Revis got healthy again and just last week Andre Johnson left with just four catches for 32 yards. Calvin Johnson had one catch. Owens has been effective almost every week but this time should be considered lucky if he ends up with only mediocre numbers. Ochocinco had a sore shoulder but played with no signs of limitation last week.

Considering the great likelihood that the Bengals need to throw and that Owens if not Ochocinco are kept in check, Jordan Shipley becomes at least marginally more interesting this week. Owens is likely a nonfactor and Ochocinco is a risk but I like Shipley for one score.

TIGHT ENDS: Jermaine Gresham had his best game when they played at Indy and the wideouts went against a better secondary. He ended with 85 yards on nine catches in that freak high game but he could surprise again this week going against a defense that has allowed four scores to the opposing tight ends. Joel Dreessen just had 106 yards and a score there last week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 11 26 6 25 19 20
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 15 2 18 19 6 3
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CIN 4 -24 12 -6 -13 -17


New York Jets (8-2)
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BAL L 9-10 10 @CLE W 26-20
2 NE W 28-14 11 HOU W 30-27
3 @MIA W 31-23 12 CIN --
4 @BUF W 38-14 13 @NE --
5 MIN W 29-20 14 MIA --
6 @DEN W 24-20 15 @PIT --
7 Bye - 16 @CHI --
8 GB L 0-9 17 BUF --
9 @DET W 23-20 - - -
Jets Report | Statistics | Roster
NY JETS vs CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Sanchez - - 260,2
RB Shonn Greene 50,1 - -
RB LaDainian Tomlinson 70 40 -
TE Dustin Keller - 20 -
WR Braylon Edwards - 60,1 -
WR Santonio Holmes - 100,1 -
PK Nick Folk 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: Can't say the Jets do not know how to win a close, exciting game. Then again - do they know how to avoid getting into that every week? That won't likely matter on Thursday but the next four games are all going to be a challenge and three come on the road against other division leaders. The Jets are having more problems rushing the ball the later in the year they get but at least Mark Sanchez has been there when needed the last two weeks.

QUARTERBACK: For the last three weeks, Mark Sanchez had passed for 299+ yards each week with multiple touchdowns. He's been a surprisingly effective and productive passer who had a three game stretch at midseason with only one touchdown in total and low weekly yardage. The loss of Jerricho Cotchery has been more than compensated for by the presence of Santonio Holmes.

The Bengals have given up three scores or more three times already this year to opposing quarterbacks and yet three times the opponent had none - because they were busy running all over the Bengals. Have to believe the Jets look to the rushing game this week and that depresses what Sanchez will need to do.

RUNNING BACKS: LaDainian Tomlinson remains the starter and he has continued to turn in over 100 total yards per week but lately that has mostly been as a receiver. He has not broken 60 rushing yards in the last five games and he has not scored since week six. Tomlinson is just not running as effectively as he did earlier in the season and against DET, CLE and HOU combined he only produced 148 yards on 45 carries for a 3.2 YPC.

Shonn Greene is getting more work in recent weeks but not doing much with it either. in those three last games, he totaled only 160 yards on 45 carries. He only has one touchdown on the season.

The Bengals have been rather kind to opponents with ten rushing touchdowns given up and plentiful rushing yards to teams who went after it. Look for a decent game this week that suffers from the split workload. I'll give the score to Greene but Tomlinson could take it as easily.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Jerricho Cotchery missed last week with a second degree tear of the groin and since this is a Thursday game, chances are he will miss this one as well. Brad Smith has filled in for him. Braylon Edwards comes off one of his best games with 86 yards and a score last week and that gives him a team high six receiving touchdowns. Santonio Holmes has three touchdowns in the last two weeks as the apparent weekly savior for the Jets either catching the winning score or turning in a long reception which leads to the winning score. Holmes and Sanchez have developed very nice chemistry and made that final 38 second drive for the winning score against the Texans look ridiculously easy.

If the Bengals are not getting gouged by a runner, they are handing out big games and touchdowns to opposing wideouts who have scored 13 times on them already this year. Consider both Edwards and Holmes as very attractive plays this week.

TIGHT ENDS: The slide of Dustin Keller continues and he dropped a pass badly in the Texans game and ended up with only two receptions for seven yards for a season low. Since Holmes showed up, Keller has been a relative nonfactor and even the absence of Cotchery last week did not spark any more action for him.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 17 10 12 13 4 21
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 7 18 24 12 26 26
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NYJ -10 8 12 -1 22 5

WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI MIA at OAK
NO at DAL JAC at NYG MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ CAR at CLE GB at ATL SD at IND
  TEN at HOU PIT at BUF KC at SEA SF at ARI
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