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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI *MIA at OAK
NO at DAL *JAC at NYG *MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ *CAR at CLE *GB at ATL *SD at IND
*UPDATED TEN at HOU PIT at BUF *KC at SEA SF at ARI

Prediction: GB 24, ATL 20

Update: Roddy White was held out of practice to rest his knee but has returned and is expected to play without limitation this week.

This should end up as one of the best games of the weekend. The 7-3 Packers are on a four game winning streak and are tied for the lead in the NFC North. They are 3-2 on the road but have only allowed 10 points over the last three games. The Falcons are 8-2 and 5-0 at home and are also on a four game winning streak. This is a coin flip game and a must watch event with plenty of fantasy notables in it.

Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @PHI W 27-20 10 Bye -
2 BUF W 34-7 11 @MIN W 31-3
3 @CHI L 17-20 12 @ATL --
4 DET W 28-26 13 SF --
5 @WAS L 13-16 14 @DET --
6 MIA L 20-23 15 @NE --
7 MIN W 28-24 16 NYG --
8 @NYJ W 9-0 17 CHI --
9 DAL W 45-7 - - -
Packers Report | Statistics | Roster
GREEN BAY at ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers - - 300,3
RB Brandon Jackson 50 20 -
WR Greg Jennings - 100,2 -
WR Jordy Nelson - 50 -
WR Donald Driver - 40 -
WR James Jones - 80,1 -
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Packers offense went through obvious transition with the losses of Ryan Grant and Jermichael Finley but Aaron Rodgers has figured out how to make to do judging on the 76 points scored over the last two games. But that isn't even the real story because the Packers defense has been outstanding. In their last two road games, they only allowed a total of one field goal. Aaron Rodgers has all the flash, but that defense is where the team is making the cash.

QUARTERBACK: Aaron Rodgers already scored 19 passing touchdowns on the season and three more via a run. He has topped 290 passing yards in six of the last eight games and not thrown an interception since week seven. He's been on fire and was never better than when he schooled Brett Favre last week with a 301 yard game with four touchdowns.

The Falcons at home have allowed eight passing scores over the last three home games and that was only to Carson Palmer (3), Josh Freeman (2) and Joe Flacco (3). Palmer ended up with 412 yards though teams settled for much less. Rodgers is a must start every week and should be forced into passing this week with success.

RUNNING BACKS: John Kuhn has given way to Dimitri Nance as the short yardage back but there is no fantasy value there and even Kuhn never scored after week one or had yardage of any significance. Brandon Jackson has been effective though he has never scored in a road game and typically done less away from home. His value as a receiver props up his meager fantasy value in PPR leagues because he usually has three or four receptions per game.

The Falcons have only allowed two rushing touchdowns all season and most backs struggle to break 60 rushing yards on them. Expect only a moderate game at best from Jackson with likely no score.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Donald Driver returned after missing one game with a calf injury but Driver has really slowed down this year and has been almost without any value since week four. James Jones is taking over and has scored in each of the last two games. Jones needs to prove himself this week since he has yet to gain more than 65 yards in any away game. Greg Jennings had already been on a tear since Jermichael Finley moved away and Aaron Rodgers fell back in love with his split end. Jennings had a career game in Minnesota when he caught seven passes for 152 yards and three touchdowns. He now has nine scores on the season and is a lock for 75 yards or more every week.

The Falcons are weak in the secondary where they have given up 14 touchdowns to wide receivers. Over the three most recent home games, they allowed seven touchdowns and four players gained 88 yards or more. Expect a nice game here from Jennings and Jones.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 4 30 7 16 13 2
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 22 3 27 18 2 5
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) GB 18 -27 20 2 -11 3


Atlanta Falcons (8-2)
Homefield: Georgia Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @PIT L 9-15 10 BAL W 26-21
2 ARI W 41-7 11 @STL W 34-17
3 @NO W 27-24 12 GB --
4 SF W 16-14 13 @TB --
5 @CLE W 20-10 14 @CAR --
6 @PHI L 17-31 15 @SEA --
7 CIN W 39-32 16 NO --
8 Bye - 17 CAR --
9 TB W 27-21 - - -
Falcons Report | Statistics | Roster
ATLANTA vs GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Ryan - - 240,2
RB Michael Turner 50 10 -
TE Tony Gonzalez - 40 -
WR Michael Jenkins - 60 -
WR Roddy White - 90,1 -
WR Harry Douglas - 20 -
PK Matt Bryant 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Falcons opened their season beating bad teams and losing to the good ones but wins over Tampa Bay and Baltimore recently have made this team much more legit and a 8-2 record should turn into no worse than a 11-5 and could end up running the board the rest of the way, This game is a good measuring stick since the Ravens were the only good defense that they were able to beat.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Ryan has scored in every game since week one and now stands at 19 touchdowns against only five interceptions and he has only been sacked twice in the last four games. Ryan has six games with more than one scoring pass and has passed for 250+ yards in four of the last five weeks.

The Packers defense has only allowed nine passing scores all year though and only two touchdowns over the last four games. This will be a challenge for Ryan who relies so heavily on Roddy White and rarely anyone else. Expect moderate yardage and one passing score with a chance for two.

RUNNING BACKS: Michael Turner has been hot lately with three of his last four game all topping 100 rushing yards and scoring five times in those matchups. But the one time he did not score was the visiting Ravens who held him to only 39 yards on 17 carries. Against the Eagles he only gained 45 rushing yards on 15 carries. Turner has been a monster when a weaker defense shows up but has been less successful against a really good defense.

The Packers have only allowed one rushing touchdown in the last eight games and that went to Adrian Peterson who was the only player to rush for more than 74 yards on the Packers all year. Expect a very moderate game by Turner that could even be as bad as the Ravens game.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Role call does not take long here because only Roddy White matters. He has seven touchdowns and seven games of 80+ yards. All other wideouts combined for only one decent yardage game and four scores. Michael Jenkins has been around 50 or 60 yards per week but never scores. Brian FInneran has scored three times but has almost no yardage in any game besides the one catch. If any yardage is to happen, it would have to be for White.

The Packers secondary is very good and have only given up seven touchdowns to the position all year long. Roddy White is a must start though even if he only does damage late in games when it doesn't matter. Even against the Ravens he ended up with 138 yards and two scores. No other wideout here is worth starting and the second touchdown will probably end up either with White, or with Snelling or one of the other wideouts.

TIGHT ENDS: Tony Gonzalez has been on the slow down most of the season and has not scored since week six and only once since then been above 46 yards. He is no longer a safe start for tight end beyond a handful of yards every week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 13 6 11 11 3 18
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 8 4 8 14 10 7
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) ATL -5 -2 -3 3 7 -11

WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI MIA at OAK
NO at DAL JAC at NYG MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ CAR at CLE GB at ATL SD at IND
  TEN at HOU PIT at BUF KC at SEA SF at ARI
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