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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI *MIA at OAK
NO at DAL *JAC at NYG *MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ *CAR at CLE *GB at ATL *SD at IND
*UPDATED TEN at HOU PIT at BUF *KC at SEA SF at ARI

Prediction: KC 27, SEA 16

Update: Mike Williams has not practiced this week but has not yet been ruled out. You should prepare to use someone else this week since Williams is going to be limited in the game from his foot in the best of all scenarios which doesn't seem likely.

Update #2: Williams did not practice on Friday and will be looked at in pregame warmups to decide if he is going to be active or not. He is not a safe start.

The Chiefs arrive in Seattle with a 1-4 road record including each of the last four away games. The Seahawks are 3-1 at home so far but the only winning record team they faced there was the Giants who creamed them last week. This should finally get the Chiefs over that road hump.

Kansas City Chiefs (6-4)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD W 21-14 10 @DEN L 29-49
2 @CLE W 16-14 11 ARI W 31-13
3 SF W 31-10 12 @SEA --
4 Bye - 13 DEN --
5 @IND L 9-19 14 @SD --
6 @HOU L 31-35 15 @STL --
7 JAC W 42-20 16 TEN --
8 BUF W 13-10 17 OAK --
9 @OAK L 20-23 - - -
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY at SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel - - 220,2
RB Jamaal Charles 80 50,1 -
RB Thomas Jones 30,1 - -
WR Chris Chambers - 30 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 80,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 2 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Chiefs have struggled to win games on the road and if they cannot win here, then any dreams of post season play need to be tempered with the reality that the Chiefs won't last long in January. The offense has been better in recent weeks and the problem is the defense when they leave Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs will end up controlling their own destiny in the AFC West with what they do in San Diego in week 14 because the Chargers look like a team ready to make a late season push.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Cassel has been at least decent each week since Dwayne Bowe decided to actually catch passes and there has been only one game in the last six weeks where there wasn't at least two scores if not more. Cassel has 18 scores on the season already though his yardage generally lags because of all the rushing success.

The Seahawks secondary is very weak and allowed six passers to turn in double digit scores and eight opponents have ended with 290+ passing yards. That won't happen here because the Chiefs will run too much and have success on the ground.

RUNNING BACKS: In the never-ending confusion on just how HC Todd Haley decides which runner to use. Jamaal Charles had almost no carries in the first half last week. And when he did, he had 88 yards on just 12 runs while giving up the short scores to Thomas Jones twice in that game. Jones has no role as a receiver and has been no help in road games other than against the Texans. This week should showcase Charles a bit more both as a runner and a receiver.

The Seahawks have allowed nine rushing scores this year though no visitor to Seattle has gained more than 78 rushing yards. I like Charles to figure in this game both as a runner and a receiver and for Jones to snake one more rushing score. The Seahawks only rank 28th against the position but at home are better.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Dwayne Bowe has gone from a pass-dropping flop to superstar this year with 11 touchdowns on the season and at least one in six straight games. If four of those weeks - he had two touchdowns. No other wideout here matters in the least and they rarely have more than one catch. But Bowe has seen the light and become a top wideout in the league. Dexter McCluster has been out since week seven with an ankle injury.

The Seahawks have allowed 12 touchdowns to this position and last week both Colston and Meachem turned in two scores each. Almost every game has featured one wideout with 80+ yards against them. Bowe is a must start each week and now faces the #28 pass defense against wideouts.

TIGHT ENDS: Tony Moeaki missed last week with a concussion and has a history of them in college so I am not projecting for him until he clears all tests and practices. In his place last week, Leonard Pope had no catches.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 21 4 19 23 18 19
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 26 28 28 10 18 17
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) KC 5 24 9 -13 0 -2


Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF W 31-6 10 @ARI W 36-18
2 @DEN L 14-31 11 @NO L 19-34
3 SD W 27-20 12 KC --
4 @STL L 3-20 13 CAR --
5 Bye - 14 @SF --
6 @CHI W 23-20 15 ATL --
7 ARI W 22-10 16 @TB --
8 @OAK L 3-33 17 STL --
9 NYG L 7-41 - - -
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck - - 190,1
RB Justin Forsett 60 30 -
RB Marshawn Lynch 30 - -
WR Mike Williams - 40 -
WR Deon Butler - 50 -
WR Ben Obomanu - 60,1 -
PK Olindo Mare 3 FG 1 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks have been inconsistent this year, as good as beating the Bears in Chicago and yet as bad as losing 3-20 to the Rams. This week has Marshawn Lynch in a dog house and Mike Williams injured and that will be a major issue trying to stay up with the Chiefs this week. In the end it probably does not matter because with the Panthers, 49ers and Rams left to play the Seahawks should end up no worse than 8-8 and that will win this division in 2010.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Hasselbeck has thrown for big yardage lately but still never scores more than one passing touchdown per game since the season opener. He struggled to rise above 200 pass yards per week until the last two games thanks only to Mike Williams who is nursing a bad foot now.

The Chiefs are only average at best against the pass but the Seahawks should be well below average without Williams. Figure on Hasselbeck being a marginal play this week.

RUNNING BACKS: Marshawn Lynch lost two fumbles last week and was benched but he has never been more than a marginal runner in Seattle and Justin Forsett needs a very soft defense before he can matter as a runner. Forsett boosts his meager fantasy stock with three to five receptions per week but has never had more than 33 yards as a receiver.

The Chiefs have been weaker against the run in road games but have improved in recent weeks and the Seahawks have the #32 ranked rushing attack anyway.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Mike Williams has topped 100 yards in each of his last two games but now is nursing a sore foot that so far has defied prognosis and with that I will assume he plays only a limited role this week. Williams is the only truly working part of the passing offense and his absence would be deeply felt. Ben Obomanu has scored in two of the last three games but has been less consistent with his yardage. Golden Tate may return this week and the expectation is that he will assume the #2 role as a wideout.

This defense is average at best and has been victimized by elite wideouts whenever they are faced. But the Seahawks do not have that and even Mike Williams is banged up. Expect moderate performances and one score to favor Obamanu this week. He already has two touchdowns in the last three games.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 27 32 16 27 11 9
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 21 17 20 5 12 4
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SEA -6 -15 4 -22 1 -5

WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI MIA at OAK
NO at DAL JAC at NYG MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ CAR at CLE GB at ATL SD at IND
  TEN at HOU PIT at BUF KC at SEA SF at ARI
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