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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI *MIA at OAK
NO at DAL *JAC at NYG *MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ *CAR at CLE *GB at ATL *SD at IND
*UPDATED TEN at HOU PIT at BUF *KC at SEA SF at ARI

Prediction: PHI 23, CHI 20

This is an important game between two 7-3 teams that lead their division. The Eagles are 4-1 on the road and have become the most recent darlings of the NFC thanks to Michael Vick. The Bears are 3-2 at home. Both teams are on three game winning streaks. The Bears defense has been their saving grace while the Eagles are more balanced.

The Eagles won 24-20 in Chicago last year.

Philadelphia Eagles (7-3))
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 GB L 20-27 10 @WAS W 59-28
2 @DET W 35-32 11 NYG W 27-17
3 @JAC W 28-3 12 @CHI --
4 WAS L 12-17 13 HOU --
5 @SF W 27-24 14 @DAL --
6 ATL W 31-17 15 @NYG --
7 @TEN L 19-37 16 MIN --
8 Bye - 17 DAL --
9 IND W 26-24 - - -
Eagles Report | Statistics | Roster
PHILADELPHIA at CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Michael Vick 50,1 - 230,1
RB LeSean McCoy 50 30 -
WR DeSean Jackson - 60,1 -
WR Jason Avant - 40 -
WR Jeremy Maclin - 70 -
PK David Akers 3 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Eagles have been on a roll since their bye in week eight and beating the Giants puts them in the driver's seat in the NFC East with a one game lead and already beating them once. This week will be the toughest remaining defense left on the schedule other than perhaps the Giants in New York in week 15. Chances are that the Eagles could win the next three games, then beat the Giants again and potentially not even need to win in week 17 if not 16 though playoff seeding would still be at stake.

QUARTERBACK: Last week Michael Vick did not score six times or have 300+ yards. But he passed for an effective 258 yards and has not thrown an interception all season. He also scored on a run for the third straight week. When the going gets tough, Vick gets running and he's still as hard to catch as he ever was.

The Eagles passed for 244 yards and two scores in Chicago last year.

The Bears have been outstanding on defense and only allowed six passing scores in all of 2010. No quarterback has thrown for more than one including Aaron Rodgers and Tony Romo. This game is shaping up similar to last week with Vick needing to be accurate and efficient on passes and rack up some yardage if not scores with his legs.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy comes off one of his best games of the year when he rushed for 111 yards and a score on the Giants and had five catches for 29 yards. McCoy has been far less effective in road games though he has typically boosted his yardage with more catches. His score last week was his first rushing touchdown since week five.

McCoy rushed for 99 yards and one score in Chicago last year.

The Bears defense at home has been formidable against running backs and yet three different players scored there and Ryan Torain gained 125 yards in Chicago. McCoy can only be relied on to post moderate to good yardage and any score is just icing on the cake you cannot count on.

WIDE RECEIVERS: DeSean Jackson had a quiet week 11 when he only had 50 yards on five catches but he has scored in each of the three previous games and has been a Vick favorite since he has returned. Jeremy Maclin did the damage with 120 yards on nine catches and both players have been successful this year. Early on it seemed like Vick was ignoring Maclin but that is no longer the case. Jason Avant scored on a two point play last Sunday but he also badly dropped a sure touchdown.

Jackson gained 107 yards and a score on eight receptions in Chicago last season while Maclin turned in 64 yards on six catches.

The passing score should end up here and in Chicago would favor Jackson slightly. Both players should have a decent game though neither are expected to have a big one. No player scoring a touchdown against the Bears has turned in more than 63 yards in that game.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value. Seriously. Brent Celek never even had a pass last week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 1 12 4 28 2 4
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 3 7 4 3 1 28
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) PHI 2 -5 0 -25 -1 24


Chicago Bears (7-3)
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DET W 19-14 10 MIN W 27-13
2 @DAL W 27-20 11 @MIA W 16-0
3 GB W 20-17 12 PHI --
4 @NYG L 3-17 13 @DET --
5 @CAR W 23-6 14 NE --
6 SEA L 20-23 15 @MIN --
7 WAS L 14-17 16 NYJ --
8 Bye - 17 @GB --
9 @BUF W 22-19   - -
Bears Report | Statistics | Roster
CHICAGO vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler - - 240,2
RB Matt Forte 50 10 -
TE Greg Olsen - 50,1 -
WR Devin Hester - 40 -
WR Earl Bennett - 40 -
WR Johnny Knox - 60,1 -
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Bears have made a nice turnaround after losing three of four games through week seven. The Bills, Vikings and Dolphins have allowed them to remain abreast with the Packers and the defense has been dominating lately with a shutout in Miami and only once allowing more than 20 points to an opponent.

QUARTERBACK: Jay Cutler finally had a decent game when he threw for 237 yards and three touchdowns on the woeful Vikings but then last Sunday he was back to normal with only 156 yards and no score. Cutler has failed to score in three of the last six games though his yardage in home games tends to be better.

Cutler passed for 171 yards and one score against the Eagles last year.

The Eagles have allowed two or more passing touchdowns in seven of their games so far and most teams have at least decent yardage. Cutler won't likely get more than two scores but should end with decent stats.

RUNNING BACKS: Matt Forte had one of his rare good games when he ran for 97 yards and a score in Miami. It was his first touchdown since week six and yet his worst showing as a receiver with only seven yards on two catches. Forte has not gained more than around 80 total yards in any home game this year

Forte gained 34 yards on 14 carries and added four catches for 20 versus the Eagles last year.

Chester Taylor still takes around ten or more carries each week despite never gaining more than around 30 rushing yards.

The Eagles have not allowed any runner to gain more than 89 rushing yards and Forte has been below average as it is. Expect mediocre stats from Forte with enough passes thrown in to make him marginally reasonable for a fantasy start.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This mishmash of mildly talented wideouts has only accounted for four receiving scores all year and outside of Johnny Knox, there is almost never any relevant receiving yardage you can depend on. I like one score to end up with the wideouts and that would seem to favor Knox as the only receiver with more than three or four targets each week but it could end up anywhere really. This is the saddest group of wideouts that have ever played in a Mike Martz system.

TIGHT ENDS: Greg Olsen remains the leading scorer with four touchdowns and he sticks with around 30 yards in most games lately. The Eagles are only ranked 29th against the position and have allowed six touchdowns so far. Consider Olsen a reasonable bet to score once this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 23 19 28 18 20 7
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 20 21 5 29 11 9
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CHI -3 2 -23 11 -9 2

WEEK 12
2010
NE at DET TB at BAL PHI at CHI MIA at OAK
NO at DAL JAC at NYG MIN at WAS STL at DEN
CIN at NYJ CAR at CLE GB at ATL SD at IND
  TEN at HOU PIT at BUF KC at SEA SF at ARI
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