The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 13
2010
HOU at PHI *CHI at DET *CLE at MIA *DAL at IND
*JAC at TEN *ATL at TB *SF at GB *CAR at SEA
DEN at KC NO at CIN *OAK at SD *PIT at BAL
*Updated WAS at NYG *BUF at MIN STL at ARI NYJ at NE

Prediction: BUF 20, MIN 24

Update: C.J. Spiller has been limited in practices but is still expected to play at least a minor role this week. SInce his hamstring is not completely healed, he will be eased back into doing nothing for your fantasy team only with more touches later. Percy Harvin has missed practices on Wednesday and Thursday because of another migraine headache but is still expected to play this week so far.

Update #2: Adrian Peterson is listed as questionable to play but HC Leslie Frazier said he expects Peterson to play though other sources say that Peterson will be evaluated before the game as well as Percy Harvin so check on both to make sure nothing has happened and both are active this week as expected.

This game is almost certain to end up as either the Vikes getting dominated or the Bills losing by three points in overtime. The Bills have only won on the road once and their last four losses were all by exactly three points. The Vikings are at home where they are 3-2. Two bad teams means anything can happen and as much bad mojo as both squads seem to be carrying, there is no telling how this one will end. Have to favor the home team but have to watch just to see how this all falls apart at the end.

Buffalo Bills (2-9)
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 MIA L 10-15 10 DET W 14-12
2 @GB L 7-34 11 @CIN W 49-31
3 @NE L 30-38 12 PIT L 16-19
4 NYJ L 14-38 13 @MIN --
5 JAC L 26-36 14 CLE --
6 Bye - 15 @MIA --
7 @BAL L 34-37 16 NE --
8 @KC L 10-13 17 @NYJ --
9 CHI L 19-22 - - -
Bills Report | Statistics | Roster
BUFFALO at MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick - - 240,2
RB Fred Jackson 60 20 -
WR Lee Evans - 60 -
WR Steve Johnson - 90,1 -
WR Donald Jones - 30,1 -
PK Rian Lindell 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Bills are not going to ever catch a break this year and whatever paranormal forces that are in play are going to ensure this season ends on a very frustrating note. Steve Johnson went from a breakout phenom to Mr. Butterfingers last week as the only way the Bills could avoid winning. With the Browns visiting in week 14 there is always hope for one more win but nothing in the last 12 games says it is likely.

QUARTERBACK: Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown for at least one score in every game this year though he only had one touchdown in each of the last three weeks because the rushing game has improved while the schedule got a lot easier for a couple of weeks. Fitzpatrick has been more productive in road games this year if only because the running game was struggling for most of the year.

The Vikings have always allowed at least one passing score to visitors but only Aaron Rodgers and Tony Romo were able to score more than once. Since the rushing game is about to take a downturn, look for a couple of scores and at least decent yardage from the Bills' passing game. More if Johnson can hold onto the ball this week.

RUNNING BACKS: Fred Jackson has been very productive for the last three weeks with at least one touchdown per game and over 120 total yards in each of the last three games. But Jackson feasted on the weak Bengals and Lions, and then needed receptions to gain yardage against the Steelers last week. There are two problems this week. First, this will be on the road where Jackson has not been as good and the Vikings have not allowed any runner to score or have more than 80 rush yards. Secondly, C.J. Spiller may be back so he can once again take five to ten touches away from Jackson for absolutely no reason other than they paid him a lot.

Spiller has yet to gain more than 33 rushing yards in any game. He is not worth projecting for and yet Jackson will find it tough going this week. He has really stepped up his receptions in recent weeks but that was when Spiller was out. The rookie could easily reduce the workload as a receiver for Jackson and that is the only place that much fantasy value is likely to reside this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Steve Johnson was big news last week when he dropped at least five passes including one 40 yard bomb that would have won the game had he simply caught it. Johnson had seven receptions for 68 yards but that was from 15 targets. Lee Evans has been of minimal help in recent weeks and Donald Jones has faded badly after his big game in Cincinnati.

The Vikings have allowed nine wide receiver scores in the five games played at home though only two players had big yardage games. I am expecting a bounce back game by Johnson this week with a score and good yardage and he could end up with both touchdowns. I'm going to award the second score to Jones but that confidence is pretty low.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 12 24 6 31 29 28
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 13 6 19 15 5 28
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) BUF 1 -18 13 -16 -24 0


Minnesota Vikings (4-7)
Homefield: Metrodome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO L 9-14 10 @CHI L 13-27
2 MIA L 10-14 11 GB L 3-31
3 DET W 24-10 12 @WAS W 17-13
4 Bye - 13 BUF --
5 @NYJ L 20-29 14 NYG --
6 DAL W 24-21 15 CHI --
7 @GB L 24-28 16 @PHI --
8 @NE L 18-28 17 @DET --
9 ARI W 27-24 - - -
Vikings Report | Statistics | Roster
MINNESOTA vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre - - 200,1
RB Adrian Peterson 130,2 30 -
TE Vishante Shiancoe - 20 -
WR Bernard Berrian - 20 -
WR Sidney Rice - 50 -
WR Percy Harvin - 60,1 -
PK Ryan Longwell 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The win in Washington was much needed and welcomed interim head coach Leslie Frazier to his new job. It was also the first time the Vikes had won a road game. Not unlike the Cowboys did in New York, changing the headcoach has a wonderful focusing effect on the team that usually lasts for a game or two. The Vikes couldn't have asked for a better game this week because the rest of the season will be all uphill.

QUARTERBACK: Brett Favre has been more of a liability than an asset this year but at least he had no turnovers last week for the first time all year. He also had only 23 pass attempts and relied on the rushing attack to take care of business. Favre has only scored four touchdowns over five games at home and aside from a 446 yard effort against the Cardinals, he never was better than 225 passing yards.

The Bills have allowed at least one passing score to every road opponent and most have two or three. The yardage is never much more than 250 in those games as well. Favre has only thrown one touchdown over the last three games so it is hard to rely on him for more than one score though it could obviously happen.

RUNNING BACKS: Adrian Peterson injured his ankle last week and left after the first quarter but he is expected back this week. So far no reports have the injury as serious and actually Toby Gerhart ended up with a late-game shoulder stinger and may be the less likely player to suit up. I will assume that Peterson can play without any real limitation and update if needed. Peterson already has nine touchdowns this year and three efforts that topped 100 rushing yards.

This should be the best matchup for Peterson all year. The Bills have allowed ten rushing scores and regularly gives up 130+ rushing yards per opponent. Provided he is healthy, this should be about as good as it gets for Peterson.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Sidney Rice has not produced a notable game yet and in two weeks his totals are just four catches for 76 yards. Percy Harvin has been silent in those two weeks as well which has some to do with the quality of the Washington and Green Bay defenses. This week could be a big game by either receiver or could be yet another minimal performance because Peterson should have a nice time running the ball and the Bills are pesky enough that controlling the clock is important. I like one touchdown to end up with the receivers and it should favor Harvin but the passing has been so low in recent weeks since Rice returned that there is not much to go on.

Both receivers have upside this week but undeniable risk. Consider them moderate plays at best.

TIGHT ENDS: Vishante Shiancoe has been much less used when at home and had two efforts with less than ten yards. This week with the Bills visiting the running game should be plenty to take the win and Shiancoe is a risky play. He did turn in 66 yards and a score against the Cardinals but sandwiched that between two disappearing acts.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 29 7 25 23 32 29
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 17 29 11 31 30 14
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) MIN -12 22 -14 8 -2 -15

WEEK 13
2010
HOU at PHI CHI at DET CLE at MIA DAL at IND
JAC at TEN ATL at TB SF at GB CAR at SEA
DEN at KC NO at CIN OAK at SD PIT at BAL
  WAS at NYG BUF at MIN STL at ARI NYJ at NE
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t