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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 13
2010
HOU at PHI *CHI at DET *CLE at MIA *DAL at IND
*JAC at TEN *ATL at TB *SF at GB *CAR at SEA
DEN at KC NO at CIN *OAK at SD *PIT at BAL
*Updated WAS at NYG *BUF at MIN STL at ARI NYJ at NE

Prediction: CAR 13, SEA 24

Update: MIke Goodson missed practices on Wednesday and Thursday but only to attend the birth of his child. He is expected back and ready for the game. Mike Williams has only done some light running and has not practiced. He is not a safe start this week and may miss the game. He would be very limited if they did elect to use him.

The Panthers lost a heartbreaker in Cleveland and now get to travel across the country still looking for their first road win. The Seahawks were crushed by the visiting Chiefs last week but should have no real problem dispatching the worst team in the league.

Carolina Panthers (1-10)
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG L 18-31 10 @TB L 16-31
2 TB L 7-20 11 BAL L 13-37
3 CIN L 7-20 12 @CLE L 23-24
4 @NO L 14-16 13 @SEA --
5 CHI L 6-23 14 ATL --
6 Bye - 15 ARI --
7 SF W 23-20 16 @PIT --
8 @STL L 10-20 17 @ATL --
9 NO L 3-34   - -
Panthers Report | Statistics | Roster
CAROLINA at SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Jimmy Clausen - - 180
RB Mike Goodson 40 40 -
RB Jonathan Stewart 70,1 - -
WR Brandon LaFell - 30 -
WR Steve Smith - 50 -
WR David Gettis - 40 -
PK John Kasay 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Losing to the Browns by one point should really be considered a win in that moral victory sort of way. It was the first time in five weeks that the Panthers had scored more than one touchdown. Granted, the second one was an intercepted pass returned for a score but it was only the second time all year the Panthers scored more than 18 points in a game. The Panthers are the lowest scoring team in the NFL by 20 points.

QUARTERBACK: Jimmy Clausen has played in all or part of seven games this season and he has only passed for one touchdown. He has never passed for more than 195 yards in any game and is has not shown that he is ready for the role of a starter yet. He rarely passes for more than a 50% completion rate and has five interceptions.

There is no reason to consider Clausen for a start this week or to expect a touchdown pass. The Seattle secondary is nothing special to be sure but this is currently the worst pass attack in the NFL.

RUNNING BACKS: Jonathan Stewart returned last week but Mike Goodson was still the starting running back. Goodson rushed for 55 yards on 14 carries and scored once but Stewart turned 12 carries into 98 yards and should be taking over the starting role. In the end this will be a split backfield anyway. Goodson had a season high eight catches for 81 yards last week and his previous best was only four catches and 31 yards. Stewart should take over the rushing load more but Goodson has ensured that he will have an ongoing role for the rest of the season.

The Seahawks are weak against the run with 12 touchdowns given up to opposing running backs along with at least moderate yardage. The Panthers will focus on the run for as long as they can and both runners make low end starters this week because there should be at least decent to good totals but they will be divided between the two runners. At least one score is likely but anything more would be a shock on this team.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This unit has only scored once in the last five games and almost never has more than 50 yards for any individual receiver. Aside from the fluke long touchdown catch by David Gettis in week 11, every week is Steve Smith getting around 45 yards while the others turn in around 35 yards. There is no fantasy value here is you got to use the entire passing offense combined.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 32 25 29 29 27 20
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 26 28 32 10 18 16
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CAR -6 3 3 -19 -9 -4


Seattle Seahawks (5-6)
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF W 31-6 10 @ARI W 36-18
2 @DEN L 14-31 11 @NO L 19-34
3 SD W 27-20 12 KC L 24-42
4 @STL L 3-20 13 CAR --
5 Bye - 14 @SF --
6 @CHI W 23-20 15 ATL --
7 ARI W 22-10 16 @TB --
8 @OAK L 3-33 17 STL --
9 NYG L 7-41 - - -
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE vs CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck - - 210,2
RB Justin Forsett 30 20 -
RB Marshawn Lynch 40,1 10 -
TE John Carlson - 10 -
WR Mike Williams - 30 -
WR Deon Butler - 20,1 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 70,1 -
PK Olindo Mare 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: This game comes in the nick of time since the last two losses have dropped the Seahawks to a tied record with the Rams in the NFC West and the Rams already have the first tiebreaker with a win in week four. That final home game in week 17 against the Rams could loom very large since one team is going to win the division and the other is not good enough for a wild card. Easy wins like this week must be taken advantage of and there are no other "gimmees" left on the schedule.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Hasselbeck has been on a streak for three games with a score in each and no fewer than 280 yards in each. That's all roughly double what he had been doing this season and it does reflect getting pummeled by the Saints and Chiefs. The last win at home only produced 192 yards and one score against the Cardinals. That's a fair measure of what to expect this week though the Panthers weaker rushing defense is less an issue with the equally weak rushing of the Seahawks.

Figure on moderate yardage and a good chance for two passing scores this week. The Seahawks have to get a nice win here.

RUNNING BACKS: This has been a horrible rushing attack all season long and bringing in Marshawn Lynch has not changed that. Both Lynch and Justin Forsett have just two touchdowns each and the last five games have seen only one week with more than 50 yards by a runner and that was Forsett with 64 yards and a score in Arizona.

The Panthers have allowed 13 scores to running backs so it is very likely to see one of the two runners score. But the yardage won't be much and adding in receptions should be only minimal because the games with any appreciable yardage for passing to the running backs came against the best defenses who took away the wide receivers.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Mike Williams was held out last week because of his foot and there is no guarantee that he will play in this game. HC Pete Carroll would not disclose his expectations yet so mid-week we should know more. This could be a good week to give Williams more rest before the schedule gets far tougher. I am going to project a limited Williams to play and update as needed. Ben Obamanu caught an 87-yard bomb last week to have a season best 159 yards on five catches with one score. That gives him three touchdowns over the last four games.

Golden Tate is mixed in with Deon Butler and I like one of the two to end up with the other touchdown but the confidence is low for either and likely only marginal yardage anyway. Brandon Stokley also figures in. Obamanu is the only receiver with a decent chance for a score and yardage. The passing game will be needed to win the game and that almost entirely goes to the wide receivers.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 25 32 13 28 16 13
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 8 26 3 29 28 32
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SEA -17 -6 -10 1 12 19

WEEK 13
2010
HOU at PHI CHI at DET CLE at MIA DAL at IND
JAC at TEN ATL at TB SF at GB CAR at SEA
DEN at KC NO at CIN OAK at SD PIT at BAL
  WAS at NYG BUF at MIN STL at ARI NYJ at NE
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