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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 13
2010
HOU at PHI *CHI at DET *CLE at MIA *DAL at IND
*JAC at TEN *ATL at TB *SF at GB *CAR at SEA
DEN at KC NO at CIN *OAK at SD *PIT at BAL
*Updated WAS at NYG *BUF at MIN STL at ARI NYJ at NE

Prediction: HOU 17, PHI 34

This is the Thursday night game and it should be a great one. The Texans are only 5-6 and just 2-3 in away games but are also only one game out of the lead in the AFC South that no one really deserves. The Eagles were handled by the Bears who did not exhibit the requisite amount of awe and fear of Michael Vick but won anyway. The loss drops the Eagles to a tie with the Giants in the NFC East. A short week means less time to prepare and that is really going to hurt the Texans. The Eagles could use a big win here as a confidence booster aster last week's fiasco.

Houston Texans (5-7)
Homefield: Reliant Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND W 34-24 10 @JAC L 24-31
2 @WAS W 30-27 11 @NYJ L 27-30
3 DAL L 13-27 12 TEN W 20-0
4 @OAK W 31-24 13 @PHI L 24-34
5 NYG L 10-34 14 BAL --
6 KC W 35-31 15 @TEN --
7 Bye - 16 @DEN --
8 @IND L 17-30 17 JAC --
9 SD L 23-29   - -
Texans Report | Statistics | Roster
HOUSTON at PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Schaub - - 240,1
RB Arian Foster 70,1 40 -
TE Joel Dreessen - 50,1 -
WR Andre' Johnson - 80 -
WR Kevin Walter - 40 -
WR Jacoby Jones - 20 -
PK Neil Rackers 1 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: Taking down the visiting Titans last week stopped a four game losing streak and recording a shutout after allowed at least 29 points for the last six games is a rather big turnaround. But that was a one week play at home and now the Texans are back on the road where the last three times they have given up 30, 31 and 30 points. With scant time to prepare to face Michael Vick, this week could be bad. And with three road games and hosting the Ravens up next, the Texans season is slipping away.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Schaub has been far less prolific this year and forays outside of Houston have resulted in only six scores over the last four road games. He has been over 300 yards only three times this season and turned back into just an average quarterback with a very good ground game. The Eagles have not allowed more than two passing scores to a visitor this year and most have not even topped 200 yards there. Schaub should manage to throw for one score and could have two but anything more is very unlikely.

Whatever Schaub does over 200 yards and one score is likely just trash time perks.

RUNNING BACKS: Arian Foster has become an elite back and that shows up with his production being independent of where he plays and almost who he plays. Foster has scored 13 times this year and that includes each of the last four road games. He's been a major factor in every game and so far had just one bad game when the Giants visited. The Eagles are stout against the run and no visitor has gained over 70 rushing yards there but Foster will supplement his running with receptions and he is always a good bet for at least one touchdown run.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Andre' Johnson has been nursing a sore foot in recent weeks but still has a score against the Titans last Sunday. But he only had one game over 56 yards in the last month and that was against the Jaguars. Both Jacoby Jones and Kevin Walter have been very little help outside of the Jacksonville game and both end up with 50 yards or less every week. The Eagles at home have only allowed one touchdown catch in the last four games and held players like Roddy White and Reggie Wayne to around 80 yards with no scores. Figure on the same for Johnson who may struggle to even meet that level.

TIGHT ENDS: While HC Gary Kubiak says that Owen Daniels should definitely play in week 14, he is still unsure about this week and with a very short time to prepare anyway, figure Daniels to miss one more. Joel Dreessen has scored in each of the last two games and even had 106 yards in New York on four catches. Dreessen should factor into this week as well with the Eagles likely to bring a heavy rush and prompt Schaub to throw the ball quickly. The Eagles are much weaker on the position than they are against the wideouts.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 22 1 22 14 7 32
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 23 20 12 28 7 11
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) HOU 1 19 -10 14 0 -21


Philadelphia Eagles (8-4))
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 GB L 20-27 10 @WAS W 59-28
2 @DET W 35-32 11 NYG W 27-17
3 @JAC W 28-3 12 @CHI L 26-31
4 WAS L 12-17 13 HOU W 34-24
5 @SF W 27-24 14 @DAL --
6 ATL W 31-17 15 @NYG --
7 @TEN L 19-37 16 MIN --
8 Bye - 17 DAL --
9 IND W 26-24 - - -
Eagles Report | Statistics | Roster
PHILADELPHIA vs HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Michael Vick 30,1 - 300,3
RB LeSean McCoy 80 30 -
TE Brent Celek - 30 -
WR DeSean Jackson - 120,2 -
WR Jason Avant - 40 -
WR Jeremy Maclin - 70,1 -
PK David Akers 2 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The loss in Chicago stopped an impressive three game winning streak and the Vick Hype Machine had to take the evening off but will be back in full force for this Thursday night affair. The Eagles are tied with the Giants in the NFC East but beat them in week 11 and play them again in New York in week 15. Otherwise, the Eagles only face losing records the rest of the season and should do no worse than a wild card and are favorites to take the division.

QUARTERBACK: Even in the loss, Michael Vick had good fantasy value when he passed for 333 yards and two scores and rushed for 44 more yards. It was the first time in three games that he has not ran in a score as well. The set-up for this week should spell a nice game here by Vick - coming off a loss at home against a horrible secondary and with DeSean Jackson having been berated publicly for his play last week.

The Texans always give up two or three touchdowns along with very healthy yardage. No road opponent has thrown for less than 268 yards on them and three have topped 300 yards. Look for a very healthy game here from Vick.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy remains a moderately good fantasy player with only three scores in the last nine games and mostly depressed stats since Vick has returned but McCoy has consistently played better at home where he should total 100 yards including in receptions. McCoy gets five or six receptions per game and that ensures that he never has a truly bad game from a fantasy perspective. Oddly though his lower games as a receiver do come at home.

The Texans are about average against the run and most teams just pass against them because it is so much easier. Expect a decent game here from McCoy who is worth the start and there is always upside in this offense - particularly in a home game.

WIDE RECEIVERS: HC Andy Reid came down hard on DeSean Jackson after the Chicago loss and admonished him for dropping passes in the game and for his poor preparation and attitude last week. This is what you want - motivate the star receiver right before a home game against the worst secondary in the NFL. Figure on a big game here by Jackson with enough left over to make Jeremy Maclin a decent play as well. This should be the best matchup of the year for these wideouts and at home no less.

TIGHT ENDS: Michael Vick ignored Brent Celek this season and in the four previous games, Celek only had a total of four catches for 16 yards while being blanked twice. But Vick turned to Celek last week with eight throws that turned into three catches for 50 yards and a score. That more reflected the great corners of Chicago forcing Vick elsewhere but Celek is an interesting play this week since he goes against the #32 defense against tight ends. There is a chance for a score here to be sure but it is hard to rely on one game really changing what had been the habit all year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 1 13 2 26 1 5
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 32 16 29 32 22 5
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) PHI 31 3 27 6 21 0

WEEK 13
2010
HOU at PHI CHI at DET CLE at MIA DAL at IND
JAC at TEN ATL at TB SF at GB CAR at SEA
DEN at KC NO at CIN OAK at SD PIT at BAL
  WAS at NYG BUF at MIN STL at ARI NYJ at NE
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