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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Upon Further Review - Week 13
David Dorey and John Tuvey
December 3, 2010
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In order to help our members better use the starting information that The Huddle provides, the intent of this page is to discuss perceived differences between The Start Bench List and Predictions and Projections . The players below were identified by multiple members. The two reports are written by two different people so differences are always possible, but at least this page should help you make up your mind about these players on your roster.

Ronnie brown (vs MIA) - PROJECTION:  40 + 30 yds SBL RATING:  S2

TUVEY: DMD and I agree that Brown and Ricky Williams aren't world-beaters. But they are coming off their best tandem showing since the season opener, they're playing at home, and the Browns' run defense that has been so tough over the first couple months of the season has fallen apart the past two weeks. If Jonathan Stewart and Mike Goodson can combine for 153 yards and a touchdown against the Browns, I'm okay setting expectations for Brown as a legitimate fantasy starter this week. 

DOREY: I am not sure if my projection is too high or too low for an S2. It is always a shame that they split up the workload in Miami because it ruins what just one back could do - like have actual reliable fantasy status.It is always a risk to use any Miami back because the ratio is a constantly changing matter. Do you ever realize that there are several players that you have just never had on your team before? I had that this summer and I took Brown in maybe the 5th round or so. You just cannot appreciate Brown - or rather properly hate him - until he has been on your fantasy team. He scores when you bench him. He flops if you start him. He gets more catches than Williams does which is good and the Browns are likely to give up yards via the pass.

CONSENSUS: Brown is always very hit or miss but the worst you should get is about 60 or 70 total yards from him this week and his upside is bigger than his downside. But it is Miami and Brown has been very inconsistent this year. This should be one of his best games of the year.

James jones (vs sf) - PROJECTION:  80 yds + TD SBL RATING:  S3

TUVEY: It's not that I don't like Jones, but with Jordy Nelson in the mix and the possibility that Donald Driver removes the fork from his career and takes a bigger piece of what Aaron Rodgers is serving up, I don't like him enough to make him an S2. The S3 still implies he's startable, and given the other options on your roster maybe he's the better play this week. 

DOREY: I am liking James Jones more and more as the season progresses. He has scored twice in the last three games. He had over 100 yards in each of his last two home games. Donald Driver has that fork permanently welded to him as far as I can tell - he has not topped 31 yards since week six. That's a long time ago, back when I was young and more handsome. Driver is 35 going on 36. If you have a dynasty team - grab Jones or get Jones. Love Jennings and Jones in this game since they are the Big Two in Green Bay now.

CONSENSUS:  Jones is a safe start this week since he is at home where he has been the most productive and the 49ers are visiting with their softer secondary. Jones may not be started over a known stud but he's definitely an attractive play of your second tier receivers.

nate washington (vs JAC) - PROJECTION:  50 yds + TD SBL RATING:  b

TUVEY: So long as it's Kerry Collins and not Rusty Smith at the helm, there's life to the Tennessee passing game. However, with Kenny Britt possibly back this week, Washington now has to leapfrog over three guys to be relevant. Last week he was targeted less than both Justin Gage and Randy Moss, and if Britt returns he likely jumps to the top of the list. Collins isn't going to provide enough passing production to float all those boats, which is why despite the cushy Jacksonville matchup it's tough to trust any Titans wideout this week.

DOREY: I am not promoting Washington much with only 50 yards so I guess it is the touchdown that really puts him over. So long as Collins is the starter and it appears he will, then the Titans will be able to throw and the Jaguars secondary has been burned nearly every week. But the Titans are in a transition right now and Chris Johnson needs to get a lot of work this week. Washington is as likely as anyone to catch a touchdown but that doesn't mean he is a lock by any means.

CONSENSUS:  As attractive as starting a wideout against the Jaguars usually is, this week is hard to recommend. Getting Kerry Collins back will be a major upgrade from Rusty Smith but there is no guarantee that Chris Johnson doesn't run wild and Randy Moss suddenly becomes a factor. Washington is a very risky play this week.

Start Bench List Ratings:
S1: Start 'em Tier One (Stud / Great matchup) U: Upside player (Possible sleeper)
S2: Start 'em Tier Two (Solid matchup) X: Unclear situation / Could go either way
S3: Start 'em Tier Three (Borderline / Barely) B: Bench 'em (Bad Matchup / Too much risk)
Predictions and Projections:
The projections are what is mostly likely to occur given everything that has recently happened added to the current team dynamics. They consider total rushing and passing yardage and scores and then distribute them between the most active starting players based on how the track record of the offense and the opposing defense along with variables like injuries, depth chart changes, venue, weather and so on.

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