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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Free Agent Forecast - Week 14
Paul Sandy
December 7, 2010
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SYMBOL LEGEND
Rockstar Rock Star Free Agent
Injury Injury Replacement
Worth a Look Worth a Look
1 Week Plug & Play 1 Week Plug & Play
Sleeper Sleeper

QUARTERBACKS

No Brainers: Matt Schaub

Drew Stanton, Lions
Rock StarLike Matthew Stafford and Shaun Hill before him, Drew Stanton is shaping up to be a solid fantasy contributor as the Lions starting QB. In Sunday’s start against the Bears, he put up 178 yards passing with a touchdown and added a rushing score. Not too shabby against a stiff Chicago defense. There’s no reason to expect a drop off this week against the Packers. Green Bay is another tough defense but Detroit’s offense is good enough to put up 20 points on anybody.

Availability: Owned in ~3% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Stanton is a viable low-end QB1 in deep leagues.

Matt Hasselbeck, Seahawks
1 Week Plug & PlayHasselbeck is coming off a sub-par effort in Week 13 against the Panthers. He failed to throw a touchdown pass for just the third time this year. Despite the dip in production, give him a look this week against the 49ers. San Francisco has allowed decent fantasy numbers to five of the last six QBs they’ve faced. In Week 1 against the Niners, Hasselbeck threw for two touchdowns and rushed for a third. He’s a passable option in deep leagues. That said, there’s a decent chance you’ll be able to find a better option like Ryan Fitzpatrick (83% owned) or Josh Freeman (78% owned) on your waiver wire.

Availability: Owned in ~49% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Hasselbeck merits starting consideration in Week 14 if you are in trouble at the position.

RUNNING BACKS

No Brainers: Marshawn Lynch, LeGarrette Blount, Jonathan Stewart and Jahvid Best

Tashard Choice, Cowboys
Rock StarIt was a long time coming but Choice finally got his chance on Sunday. With Marion Barber sidelined, Choice split carries with Felix Jones. Choice was the more effective runner, posting exactly 100 yards and a touchdown. His performance was strong enough to secure a continued role in the offense. Look for him to get another 15+ touches in Sunday’s meeting with the Eagles. Philadelphia has been good but not great when it comes to stopping opposing rushers so Choice is worth using as a RB2 or flex option.  

Availability: Owned in ~16% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Choice should be the top free agent target is most leagues.

Chris Ivory, Saints
Rock StarLast call on Ivory, who is still available in 33% of leagues. The rookie has been one of the top fantasy RBs over the last three games. If you’re afraid Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush are going to deflate Ivory’s value, it’s time to wake up. Thomas and Bush are role players. Neither one is healthy enough to carry the full load. Ivory will remain the primary option as long as he’s producing.

Availability: Owned in ~67% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Ivory should be owned in all leagues and is playable in Week 14.
  
James Starks, Packers
Rock StarThe Forecast’s favorite midseason sleeper finally has awoken. Starks, who spent the first half of the year on the PUP list, saw his first game action on Sunday against the 49ers. He chipped in 73 yards on 18 carries. Meanwhile, starter Brandon Jackson had just four carries. Green Bay’s backfield will likely be a timeshare going forward but Starks is the player to own. Green Bay is desperate for a closer who can pound the rock after the passing game gives them a lead. Starks can be that guy. Grab him in any league but realize he won’t be as valuable in PPR systems.

Availability: Owned in ~16% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Starks will be a popular acquisition this week and rightfully so.

Ryan Torain, Redskins
Worth a LookReports out of Washington suggest Ryan Torain is slated to practice in full this week in preparation for Sunday’s matchup with the Bucs. He figures to regain his starting role based on the limited success of Keiland Williams and James Davis. Tampa has a weak run defense so Torain is worth grabbing. The Bucs have allowed the eleventh most fantasy points to RBs in 2010.

Availability: Owned in ~70% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Consider Torain starter material for fantasy if he practices in full this week. 

Michael Bush, Raiders
Worth a LookBush returned to fantasy relevance in Week 13 with 95 yards and a touchdown against the Chargers. Oakland has the easiest remaining schedule from a rushing perspective with upcoming games against the Jaguars, Broncos and Colts. Consider adding Bush as RB depth for your championship run. He’ll post another strong stat line or two before it’s all said and done.

Availability: Owned in ~66% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Bush is worth a look in all leagues. 

Javarris James, Colts
Injury ReplacementThis is getting silly. Indianapolis has been ravaged by injuries this season and Week 13 was no exceptions. RBs Donald Brown and Mike Hart didn’t make it through Sunday’s loss to the Cowboys. Both players suffered ankle injuries and will likely be questionable for Week 14. If Joseph Addai remains out, Javarris James will get the majority of the carries. He scored twice in Week 13 and had been a threat for TDs for awhile now. If he can add decent yardage to the mix, James could have some value even though the Colts have struggled to run.

Availability: Owned in ~7% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: James could start for the Colts this week and can be added in any league.

Anthony Dixon, 49ers
1 Week Plug & PlayDixon and Brian Westbrook split carries evenly in Sunday’s loss to the Packers. Neither player delivered much in the way of fantasy value. That’s not surprising considering the opponent. But brighter day’s are on the horizon. San Francisco will host a Seahawks defense that has allowed the fifth most fantasy points to RBs this season. Seattle has allowed at least one RB touchdown in nine straight games. As San Francisco’s probable goal-line option, Dixon has a high likelihood of scoring in this week’s game.

Availability: Owned in ~47% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Dixon merits starting consideration in Week 14, especially in TD heavy leagues. 
 
Rashad Jennings, Jaguars
Worth a LookJennings has scored and posted 50+ yards in two consecutive games. Although he’s not a guy you want to trust as a No. 2 RB, a RB friendly schedule to close out the season could make him a viable flex option in deep leagues. The Jaguars face the Raiders, Colts and Redskins over the next three games. At the very least, consider Jennings insurance for Maurice Jones-Drew if you own him.

Availability: Owned in ~6% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Jennings is worth considering in leagues with 12+ teams.

WIDE RECEIVERS

No Brainers: Sidney Rice, Anquan Boldin, Deion Branch, Chad Ochocinco and Steve Smith (NYG)

Donald Driver, Packers
Rock StarAfter eight weeks as a nonfactor, Driver resurfaced in Week 13. He posted 73 yards and a touchdown on four receptions. His touchdown came on a gutty run after the catch in which he ran over, around and through several defenders. If anything, the catch proved that Driver can still be effective when healthy. With Detroit and New England on tap next, Driver is a player fantasy owners should be able to use confidently as a No. 3 WR. And based on that WR friendly schedule, James Jones can be added and played, as well.

Availability: Owned in ~71% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Driver should be added in all leagues.

Earl Bennett, Bears
Rock StarA plug-and-play pick here last week, Bennett racked up seven receptions for 104 yards against the Lions. It was his second straight game in which Bennett helped fantasy owners. He tallied two touchdowns a week ago. All of the sudden, Bennett appears to be the go-to guy for QB Jay Cutler. With a matchup in Week 14 against a below average Patriots pass defense, Bennett is a WR who can contribute to your postseason run.

Availability: Owned in ~6% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Bennett is a savvy pickup in all leagues, especially PPR formats.

Roy Williams, Cowboys
Injury ReplacementThe Cowboys suffered a couple significant injuries in their receiving game in Week 13. Rookie wideout Dez Bryant broke his leg and will miss the rest of the season. TE Jason Witten suffered a high ankle sprain. His status for this week is unclear. As a result of the injuries, Roy Williams is going to have to step up and take on a larger role in the offense. Look for him to get more targets in the coming weeks. Acquire him now but you might want to hold off until Weeks 15-16 to use him. Dallas faces Philly this week and Washington and Arizona thereafter.

Availability: Owned in ~53% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Williams deserves serious consideration in all leagues.
 
Kenny Britt, Titans
Worth a LookBritt will return to action this week after missing several weeks with a severe hamstring injury. Prior to getting hurt Britt was one of the hottest WRs in fantasy. If he was dumped in your league, go ahead and pick him up for the playoffs. If Britt shows anything this week against the Colts, he could be a highly attractive fantasy option in Week 15 against the feeble Texans secondary.

Availability: Owned in ~71% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Britt should be acquired in any league in which he’s available.

Robert Meachem, Saints
Worth a LookThe Forecast has profiled Meachem on a few occasions. The book on him is he’s a boom-or-bust option. Meachem has delivered useful fantasy numbers in three of the last five weeks. In the other two games, he was practically non-existent. A matchup this week against the Rams gives him some upside. St. Louis has had some difficulty against WRs who possess downfield speed in, including Michael Crabtree, Roddy White and Brandon Lloyd. 

Availability: Owned in ~51% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Meachem is worth acquiring and using in all leagues if you can stomach the risk.

Derrick Mason, Ravens
1 Week Plug & PlayAfter scoring a touchdown in three of four games, Mason was contained by the Steelers. He ended the game with just 22 yards on two receptions. Following the game, Mason called out the entire Ravens offense following the loss to Pittsburgh, essentially labeling the lot of them as “underachievers.” Don’t be surprised if the squeaky wheel gets a little extra grease this week. The Ravens face the Texans on Monday night. Houston has allowed the fifth most fantasy points to WRs this season. Mason figures to bounce back nicely.

Availability: Owned in ~65% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Consider adding and activating Mason for Week 14 vs. the Texans.

Jacoby Ford, Raiders
1 Week Plug & PlayFord has contributed solid fantasy stats in three of the last four games. With a matchup this week against the Jaguars, fantasy owners can plug and play Ford and have a realistic chance of netting 80+ yards with a potential score. Jacksonville has allowed the seventh most fantasy points to WRs this season. Exploit the matchup if you’re desperate for WR help.

Availability: Owned in ~25% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Ford is a risky play but his upside this week might be worth the gamble.

Anthony Armstrong, Redskins
Worth a LookArmstrong, who leads the NFC in yards per reception with 21.8, is a threat to go the distance every time Donovan McNabb throws his way. Washington’s offense is a rollercoaster, which means starting Armstrong is dicey. However, a favorable slate of games makes him a sneaky playoff pickup. The Redskins face the Buccaneers followed by the Cowboys and Jaguars. Add Armstrong in case Washington’s offense catches fire.

Availability: Owned in ~14% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Armstrong is worth stashing for Week 15-16.

TIGHT ENDS

No Brainers: Chris Cooley

Ben Watson, Browns
Rock StarWatson had a monster game in Week 13, amassing a tidy 100 yards and a touchdown on 10 receptions. Up next, Watson faces a Bills defense that has allowed the second most fantasy points to TEs in 2010. With a couple TEs getting nicked up on Sunday, many fantasy owners could be seeking a plug-in option. Watson should top the list.

Availability: Owned in ~41% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Watson is a viable starter in all leagues this week.

Martellus Bennett, Cowboys
Injury ReplacementCowboys starting TE Jason Witten reportedly suffered a high ankle sprain in Sunday’s win over the Colts. If he can’t play or is limited, look for Bennett to step up and contribute useful fantasy numbers. Bennett is a talented pass-catching TE. With Dez Bryant out for the season and Witten gimpy, Bennett could come up big. Consider him a sneaky under-the-radar pickup or a must-grab if you were counting on Witten. This week’s opponent, the Eagles, have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to TEs this season.

Availability: Owned in ~1% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Bennett is an excellent Week 14 sleeper if Witten is out.

Owen Daniels, Texans
Worth a LookDaniels is due back in Week 14 after a lengthy layoff due to a hamstring injury. Prior to tearing a knee ligament last year, Daniels was a top 10 fantasy TE. If you’re in the playoffs and need a backup TE, he isn’t a bad choice. Houston faces a tough Ravens defense this week but things get easier in Weeks 15-16 when the team faces the Titans and Broncos.

Availability: Owned in ~25% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Daniels is worth adding as a backup in all leagues.

KICKERS

No Brainers: Matt Bryant and Mason Crosby

Josh Brown, Rams
Rock StarLast week’s plug-and-play recommendation led all fantasy kickers in scoring in Week 13. He has now connected on multiple field goals in four of his last five games. If you haven’t been happy with your kicking production or if weather will be a factor for your regular kicker, Brown is worth acquiring. His next three games will be played in domes.

Availability: Owned in ~28% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Brown is a viable fantasy kicker in all leagues.

Shaun Suisham, Steelers
Rock StarSuisham has been money in the bank since the Steelers signed him a few weeks ago. Over the last two games he’s 6-for-6 on field goal attempts. With the Bengals on tap next, Suisham will continue to be a useful option. Cincinnati has allowed the seventh most fantasy points to kickers this season. The only downside to Suisham is you’ll have to check the weather forecast each week. All of Pittsburgh’s remaining games could be impacted by inclimate weather.

Availability: Owned in ~8% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Suisham is worth adding in any league.

Matt Prater, Broncos
1 Week Plug & PlayPrater will benefit from facing the Cardinals, the team that Josh Brown just whacked for four field goals. Arizona’s defense has given up so look for Denver to move the ball with ease. I doubt the firing of head coach Josh McDaniels is anything to worry about. Interim coach Eric Studeville was the running backs coach and figures to keep the offense the same. The Cards have the worst scoring defense in the league and they’ve allowed the most fantasy points to kickers this season.

Availability: Owned in ~41% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Prater is a lock for multiple field goals this week.

DEFENSE / SPECIAL TEAMS

No Brainers: None

Atlanta Falcons
1 Week Plug & PlayAtlanta’s DST has been a middling fantasy unit this season but they could come in handy in Week 14 against the Panthers. No team has allowed more fantasy points to DSTs this season than Carolina. They’ve allowed multiple sacks in all but two games this season. All told, Panthers QBs have been sacked 36 times — tied for third most in the league. Carolina has also allowed three DST touchdowns in their last three games.

Availability: Owned in ~53% of leagues.
Forecast guidance: Atlanta is worth adding in all leagues in advance of this week’s prime matchup.

COMMENTS (page 2 of 3)
Splitter
Posted Dec 7, 2010 7:46pm EST
In week 11 Sandy suggested to sell Matt Schaub in The Fantasy Chop Shop. Now he is a no brainer. Maybe Sandy is the reason why all these "average Joe's" are confused.
Lou
Posted Dec 7, 2010 7:35pm EST
nice in-depth review of both T. Choice and C. Ivory ...I could not AGREE more on both... these two backs will play the last games of this season on a higher level because they BOTH have good match-ups going forward...they are both a MUST-START for the rest of the season... Lou
Tim A
Posted Dec 7, 2010 4:06pm EST
This is my favorite and most usefull article each week. Our waivers run Tuesday night, so the timing is exceptional!!! Are the players listed in suggested rank order by position? Are they listed based on the upcoming week's outlook, or rest of the year? Am in a PPR league that uses 4 FLEX, so extra RB's & WR's are equally as valuable. Seeking input for next 3 weeks on how to rank RBs Stark, M Bush, and WR Bennett. Seems Bennett is likely the safest bet for consistent performance the rest of the way. Bush has a great remaining schedule, but is always 2nd to Run DMc. And Stark seems like such a flyer, yet he's so hyped I'm thinking I should rank him the highest in my claims, followed by Bennett, then Bush. Any advice? Thanks.
Phazool
Posted Dec 7, 2010 4:06pm EST
Ditto to JDMorrison's last post. Well said.
JDMorrison
Posted Dec 7, 2010 1:50pm EST
I've been a huddler since it was a free site. Back then there were far less average Joe’s playing fantasy and as a result many of the members were hardcore enthusiasts and the content was provided accordingly. Unfortunately, things change and while the Huddle had to start to be profitable for those involved, they also had to cater to the growing contingent of average Joe’s and the ever expanding league rule variations. Thus, the content has become more rounded and nebulous at times. Having said that, if you really have a brain of your own you will find all the information you need by filtering through the nonsense that must be provided for all the average Joe’s who "pay for someone to make their decisions for them".....Above all, thanks Huddle and keep it up…esp DMD !
Dan
Posted Dec 7, 2010 1:11pm EST
I had a bad year and didn't make the playoffs so it's all your fault. What a bunch of whiny babies. Keep making donations to the two or three guys in your leagues that win it every year and go read ESPN.
IrishPrince
Posted Dec 7, 2010 12:55pm EST
I find this the most helpful feature on The Huddle. These pickups have helped me to get to 2nd place in my 14-team league. Thx.
RIch Rod Sucks!
Posted Dec 7, 2010 12:46pm EST
Drew Stanton????? Rock Star Free agent?? Really. If anyone plays him you are an idiot! Look up his TD to Int ratio for his career. 2-9. He will be mowing lawns next year and plowing snow next year.
Lippy
Posted Dec 7, 2010 12:35pm EST
Guys...Jeez why are you even looking at waivers? Do you need a QB? You're not in the playoffs then. If you are, then start the players that got you there, handcuff their backups and pray. The freaking no brainers are usually players owned in 95% or more of leagues. There may be some dopey league where Schaub is a FA. So what... it's under "no brainers" which means that he is available in leagues that have owners with no brains. For all those who melt down every week, do us a favor and skip over the no brainers, instead of complaining every week...its just tired. And to Sman, my suggestion is to change your league from 17 man rosters to 13 or 14. That will actually allow you to "manage" your team instead of stockpiling players who never actually start for you. And finally to Paul Sandy- please just get rid of the no brainers entirely. It does not bother me, but apparently is drives people to the brink of suicide every week. By doing that hopefully we can get these whiners who can't manage a team to save their lives, to shut the hell up and enjoy their playoff free lives!
RamsWin
Posted Dec 7, 2010 10:22am EST
I've been a member since the 1st year of the site. I even had some email exchanges with David about the sites early features. The trophy on my mantle from last year's championship was handed out first in '91 and it was won by late season pickups after starting 1-6. Bottom line, this ain't my first fantasy dance and pickups can earn trophys. I have to agree with the negative comments about quality of this section in 2010 and as I posted on the Fantasy Chop comment area - how can that only be done on a bi-weekly basis during the playoff run weeks? Our league only permits 5 pickups a season so we treat them like water in the desert. The only interesting item I can recall from this section this year was the recommendation on Dimitri Nance vs. James Starks when Starks was the "obvious" choice several weeks ago. If Nance (who had 2 carries until week 9) hadn't got hurt, Starks would still be on the sidelines. That's the kind of info I'm looking for - FF type inside info. that I can't read in my typical sports sources. I'm not going to switch FF sites b/c I value a lot of The Huddle's features, but when guys get paid to do this they should stand proudly behind their work. I almost spit up my coffee on the Schaub item.
DSJ
Posted Dec 7, 2010 10:16am EST
For those of you who complain about the info provided here I have to give credit where credit is due. I have won 2 games this year based upon info in this feature. Both Deion Branch and LeGarrette Blount made the difference for me on weeks I picked them up based on info I found here. Those 2 wins were the difference between me making the playoffs and missing them. Is some of the info obvious? Yes, but you if you take the time to look there are always some gems to be found.
Gilm
Posted Dec 7, 2010 10:13am EST
Love the no brainer section. I'm in several super competitive 12 team leagues but I'm in a couple 10 team leagues that "no brainers" do and have come available. One league I'm in counts bench points so you have to weigh if you can afford to keep a Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, or other guy when there is an Earl Bennett out there scoring. Sometimes you think a valuable guy from one league has value in another and he doesn't. He's just another guy. This helps to show who really is a "no brainer" as opposed to just a one week play. Thanks for putting in that part and keeping it.
 
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