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David Dorey
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WEEK 14
2010
IND at TEN *NE at CHI *TB at WAS *KC at SD
*CIN at PIT *CLE at BUF *SEA at SF DEN at ARI
ATL at CAR *NYG at MIN STL at NO PHI at DAL
*Updated GB at DET OAK at JAC MIA at NYJ *BAL at HOU

Prediction: IND 23, TEN 17

Here is an odd pairing between two perennial contenders who have fallen on hard times. The Colts are a game behind the Jaguars at 6-6 and on a three game losing streak. The Colts are only 2-4 in road games. The Titans have lost their last five games and are just 2-4 at home. This game will be replayed in week 17 only it may not matter to either team by then. This is the Thursday night game so we all get to watch

The Colts swept the Titans last year, winning 31-9 in Tennessee and later 27-17 at home.

Indianapolis Colts (6-6)
Homefield: Lucas Oil Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU L 24-34 10 CIN W 23-17
2 NYG W 38-14 11 @NE L 28-31
3 @DEN W 27-13 12 SD L 14-36
4 @JAC L 28-31 13 DAL L 35-38
5 KC W 19-9 14 @TEN --
6 @WAS W 27-24 15 JAC --
7 Bye - 16 @OAK --
8 HOU W 30-17 17 TEN --
9 @PHI L 24-26 - - -
Colts Report | Statistics | Roster
INDIANAPOLIS at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning - - 310,2
RB Donald Brown 40 30 -
TE Jacob Tamme - 50 -
WR Reggie Wayne - 100,1 -
WR Blair White - 40 -
WR Pierre Garcon - 70,1 -
PK Adam Vinatieri 3 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: To watch the Colts lately seems like witnessing one of those old-timers games when they get back together and while you recognize everyone, they play just a bit slower and drop a few more passes. The problem has been largely with the defense that has allowed no fewer than 31 points in the last three weeks and even Peyton Manning has not been able to keep up. The Colts could easily win out and then take the division at 10-6 (depending on the Jaguars). But just getting any win is paramount for now.

QUARTERBACK: Peyton Manning had been on a historic streak for interceptions with 11 thrown in the last three games. He has still posted the yardage each week and almost every game features two or more touchdowns but Manning has thrown four touchdowns in the last two weeks - to defensive players returning interceptions. He still posts big stats but for the first time, the interceptions are high too. Manning only had four interceptions in the first 10 weeks. Now he has 15 against 24 touchdowns.

Manning passed for 309 yards and three scores in Tennessee last year.

The Titans have been allowing 300+ yards to visitors but never more than two passing scores. In a game like this he should be a lock for 300 yards and two scores with upside for double the touchdowns.

RUNNING BACKS: Joseph Addai remains out and unable to do more than limited work in practice and a bad sign could be that the Colts just signed Dominic Rhodes to rejoin the team. Donald Brown has not scored since week two and bounces between mediocre and average and Mike Hart remains out as well. Javarris James has scored five times this year as the goal line back but has no other role on the team.

The Titans just allowed their first rushing score of the year in Nashville but there is nothing much to like about the Colts rushing game. The idea that they could be the second team to run in a score seems optimistic.

The Colts only rushed for 49 yards on 20 carries in Tennessee last season but scored via one run.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Austin Collie has still been limited in practice this week because of his concussion and is no lock to play again. I will assume one more week to heal before he returns but updates as needed. Reggie Wayne comes off one of his best career games with 200 yards and a score on 14 catches against the Cowboys. Pierre Garcon scored last week as well though only his second on the season. He has been consistent with 60 or so yards in most games and Blair White has replaced Collie for now with much lesser results. White did catch three scores over weeks 11 and 12 but has never had more than 42 yards in any game.

The Titans have only allowed three passing scores to wideouts at home this year but the Colts are coming in with a far better set of players. I like both starters to get a score with decent yardage. The running game is going to be marginal as always and the Titans at home are tough on tight ends. That leaves the wideouts to do the damage.

TIGHT ENDS: Jacob Tamme has missed practice time with his knee and there is a concern whether or not he will be able to play this week. That will play out later on and the current assumption is that he will only be slightly limited. The Titans at home have never allowed a score to a tight end and all but one ended with less than 50 yards.

Dallas Clark gained 77 yards on nine catches at Tennessee last year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 6 25 2 5 10 21
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 16 20 5 25 31 12
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) IND 10 -5 3 20 21 -9


Tennessee Titans (5-7)
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 OAK W 38-13 10 @MIA L 17-29
2 PIT L 11-19 11 WAS L 16-19
3 @NYG W 29-10 12 @HOU L 0-20
4 DEN L 20-26 13 JAC L 6-17
5 @DAL W 34-27 14 IND --
6 @JAC W 30-3 15 HOU --
7 PHI W 37-19 16 @KC --
8 @SD L 25-33 17 @IND --
9 Bye - - - -
Titans Report | Statistics | Roster
TENNESSEE vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins - - 190,1
RB Chris Johnson 100,1 10 -
TE Bo Scaife - 20 -
WR Justin Gage - 30 -
WR Nate Washington - 70,1 -
WR Randy Moss - 30 -
PK Rob Bironas 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Titans are like an old car that was a hot rod last year and now it not only sputters and lurches but no one seems to know what is really wrong. After big wins over the Cowboys, Jaguars and Eagles, the weeks have fallen off. Five straight losses and no offensive touchdowns for the last three games. None. Had a punt return score in week 11 but otherwise the offense has done little more than position field goals. This is a team that is a transition but to what is not clear. Chances are HC Jeff Fisher will be looking for a new job in the offseason by mutual preference.

QUARTERBACK: Vince Young is on injured reserve and Rusty Smith has been put back on the shelf leaving Kerry Collins to start again but even that has not been a spark of any kind. Randy Moss has done nothing and Collin faced the normally lax Jaguars secondary who were visiting and could only pass for 169 yards and two interceptions. This team looks like it just threw in the towel after the week nine bye.

Collins passed for only 164 yards against the visiting Colts last year.

The Colts have allowed at least one passing score in every road game but rarely much yardage and the Titans do not appear capable to take advantage of any defense lately. Look for Collins to get moderate yardage and one score and even that may be high side.

RUNNING BACKS: Both the Texans and the Jaguars aimed to stop Chris Johnson not unlike every other defense in the last two years but both teams did a fine job of it. The Texans held him to only five rushing yards on seven carries and the Jaguars permitted only 53 yards on 13 carries that almost entirely came very late in the already decided game. That is alarming for a team predicated on running the ball. The addition of Randy Moss has done nothing to stretch the field or drop defenders out of the box.

This week must see Johnson succeed. No more excuses about Rusty Smith. The Colts are weak against running backs and even more so in road games. If Johnson cannot end with 100 yards and a score in this game then there are major problems in Tennessee that extend beyond the playing field. The Colts have already allowed eight rushing scores over the six road games played. Four of those had runners at or over 100 rush yards.

WIDE RECEIVERS: You cannot rely on any Titans wideout anymore and Randy Moss will now have to share with the returning Kenny Britt. HC Jeff Fisher has not named a starter yet across from Nate Washington. Britt has been out since week eight when he had scored in every game for five straight weeks and had seven touchdowns in that time. But his conditioning may require him to take it slowly at first and all Moss needs is one motivated play and a well thrown pass. I am assigning the score to Washington but very minor confidence. It could go to any wideout. I will not project for Britt this week to see how well he plays and how long.

TIGHT ENDS: Minor fantasy value and a shift to Jared Cook lately is making this even more unreliable.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 29 21 24 21 11 7
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 9 26 7 5 27 16
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) TEN -20 5 -17 -16 16 9

WEEK 14
2010
IND at TEN NE at CHI TB at WAS KC at SD
CIN at PIT CLE at BUF SEA at SF DEN at ARI
ATL at CAR NYG at MIN STL at NO PHI at DAL
  GB at DET OAK at JAC MIA at NYJ BAL at HOU
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