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Prediction: MIA 16, NYJ 27
This is the rematch of week three when the Jets won 31-23 in Miami. After getting spanked on Monday night football, the Jets are one game behind the Pats in the AFC East and are 4-2 at home. Miami is 5-1 in road games and yet 1-5 at home.
Miami Dolphins (6-6) |
| Homefield: Dolphins Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@BUF |
W 15-10 |
10 |
TEN |
W 29-17 |
| 2 |
@MIN |
W 14-10 |
11 |
CHI |
L 0-16 |
| 3 |
NYJ |
L 23-31 |
12 |
@OAK |
W 33-17 |
| 4 |
NE |
L 14-41 |
13 |
CLE |
L 10-13 |
| 5 |
Bye |
- |
14 |
@NYJ |
-- |
| 6 |
@GB |
W 23-20 |
15 |
BUF |
-- |
| 7 |
PIT |
L 22-23 |
16 |
DET |
-- |
| 8 |
@CIN |
W 22-14 |
17 |
@NE |
-- |
| 9 |
@BAL |
L 10-26 |
- |
- |
- |
| Dolphins Report | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Dolphins have been on a alternated win-loss thing for nine weeks now even though it meant losing to the Browns. The schedule has been mostly kind but still the Fins have won only once at home all ear. On the road they have been far better on both sides of the ball. This week should change the trend that would call for a win but then again the Fins are on the road.
QUARTERBACK: Chad Henne has been named the starter for the rest of the season if only because Tyler Thigpen did not spawn any confidence in week 11 when he was forced to play at home after the Fins won a game - how could he have been expected to win? Henne at home has been good for around one score per game and his season best was against the Jets in week three when he passed for 363 yards and two scores.
The Jets are on a short week but they'll be plenty focused after getting stomped on by the Patriots. Expect one score and decent yardage.
RUNNING BACKS: Back in week three, Ricky Williams only gained 28 yards on seven carries while Ronnie Brown turned in 54 yards on 11 runs against the Jets. The split has killed the fantasy value in this backfield and the duo have only rushed for five touchdowns on the season and no better than moderate yardage each week. Playing in New York this time where only two visitors have rushed in a score and no team has totaled more than 95 rush yards means hands off both players for a fantasy start.
WIDE RECEIVERS: Brandon Marshall should be back this week since he worked out last week but then was held out of the game. His hamstring is much better and he should resume being a pricey decoy who has not had a good game since week six. Brian Hartline injured his finger and underwent surgery. I will assume that he will be out this week and if there is anything seriously wrong he could miss the final four games. .
Back in the previous game against the Jets, Davone Bess had 86 yards on six catches while Marshall had his best game of the year with 166 yards and one score on ten catches since Darrelle Revis was not playing. Brian Hartline also had a good showing with 84 yards on five receptions.
The Jets at home have been far better against wideouts since week five and only allowed one passing score and no games of any major significance. Expect a cool down this week from a motivated Jets team who need to win this divisional game.
TIGHT ENDS: Anthony Fasano had a score in the first meeting with the Jets and his four touchdowns on the season all came in home games except one. The Jets are solid against the position in home games where they have only allowed one to score this year. Fasano is no more than a marginal play this week or any.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
MIA |
24 |
22 |
18 |
24 |
4 |
26 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
NYJ |
22 |
3 |
23 |
20 |
5 |
3 |
| Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) |
MIA |
-2 |
-19 |
5 |
-4 |
1 |
-23 |
New York Jets (9-3) |
| Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
BAL |
L 9-10 |
10 |
@CLE |
W 26-20 |
| 2 |
NE |
W 28-14 |
11 |
HOU |
W 30-27 |
| 3 |
@MIA |
W 31-23 |
12 |
CIN |
W 26-10 |
| 4 |
@BUF |
W 38-14 |
13 |
@NE |
L 3-45 |
| 5 |
MIN |
W 29-20 |
14 |
MIA |
-- |
| 6 |
@DEN |
W 24-20 |
15 |
@PIT |
-- |
| 7 |
Bye |
- |
16 |
@CHI |
-- |
| 8 |
GB |
L 0-9 |
17 |
BUF |
-- |
| 9 |
@DET |
W 23-20 |
- |
- |
- |
| Jets Report | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: Tough loss to the Pats on Monday ended a four game winning streak that had been predicated on getting victories at the last second against far weaker opponents - that caught up to them. The Jets are now 9-3 and are looking at a daunting schedule that has road games in Pittsburgh and Chicago before ending the year beating the visiting Bills. If those two road games are losses - and the Jets will not be favored in them - then these last two home games must be wins to ensure at least a 11-5 record which should get a wild card.
QUARTERBACK: Last Monday was a disaster but Mark Sanchez has been good in most games this year and even had 256 yards and three scores in Miami back in week three when he did not have Santonio Holmes in the lineup yet. Sanchez has been solid with scoring in almost every game but his yardage has been mostly lower in home games thanks to more rushing.
The Dolphins sport a top ten defense across the board but on the road they have been good for a score or two per opponent and the yardage has been around 250 yards in the most recent games. That should fit Sanchez for a decent game this week.
RUNNING BACKS: The first meeting had LaDainian Tomlinson gaining 70 yards on 15 carries with one score and Shonn Greene settled for 36 yards on ten runs. Greene has only scored once this year but has stepped up his role as a runner with around 15 or more carries in games for the last month. Likewise Tomlinson has slowed down to about a dozen carries.
The Dolphins have been effective against the run in road games and only allowed one rushing score and just one game over 83 yards to a runner in an away game (both Adrian Peterson). The split backfield ruins the fantasy value that either back could have alone but I like this spot for Tomlinson to finally get back into the endzone after a dry spell since week six. If the Jets cannot rally to win this game then their playoff chances are going to be worse than expected.
WIDE RECEIVERS: In the first meeting, Braylon Edwards pulled down two passes for 97 yards and one score while Jerricho Cotchery settled for only 20 yards on two catches and Santonio Holmes watched the game from his own den. Holmes has become the primary receiver in the last month or so with two games over 100 yards and four scores over the last four games. Holmes should be a near lock for a score this week against a secondary that has allowed six touchdowns to the position in road games
TIGHT ENDS: Dustin Keller had his best game of the year when he pulled in six catches for 98 yards and two scores in Miami this year. Keller has been solid at yardage in most weeks but has not scored since week four and is overdue. I like Keller to show up with a score again this week though half his previous big game.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
NYJ |
22 |
13 |
11 |
17 |
5 |
17 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
MIA |
6 |
9 |
8 |
11 |
22 |
19 |
| Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) |
NYJ |
-16 |
-4 |
-3 |
-6 |
17 |
2 |
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