The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 14
2010
IND at TEN *NE at CHI *TB at WAS *KC at SD
*CIN at PIT *CLE at BUF *SEA at SF DEN at ARI
ATL at CAR *NYG at MIN STL at NO PHI at DAL
*Updated GB at DET OAK at JAC MIA at NYJ *BAL at HOU

Prediction: NE 20, CHI 13

Update: The weather forecast for this game calls for light snow and winds of 25 mph with gusts up to 34 mph. I am lowering all passing numbers in light of the wind because that is far too strong to expect anything normal from either team. It will be interesting to see how Mike Martz calls the Bears offense. This will be cold and very windy - could be fun to watch.

Hard to deny that the Patriots look a lot like those Super Bowl teams pre-Moss when there were no stars outside of Tom Brady but it all came together each week somehow. The Pats have the highest scoring offense in the league and have scored 160 points in just the last four games. The Pats are 4-2 on the road and on a four game winning streak. The Bears are atop the NFC North with a 9-3 record and have won their last five games with a 4-2 mark at home. But while the Pats have been beating the Steelers, Colts and Jets, the Bears have been beating the Bills, Lions, Dolphins, Eagles and Vikings. This should be a very good game. The weather should be clear and very cold in this game.

New England Patriots (10-2)
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN W 38-24 10 @PIT W 39-26
2 @NYJ L 14-28 11 IND W 31-28
3 BUF W 38-30 12 @DET W 45-24
4 @MIA W 41-14 13 NYJ W 45-3
5 Bye - 14 @CHI --
6 BAL W 23-20 15 GB --
7 @SD W 23-20 16 @BUF --
8 MIN W 28-18 17 MIA --
9 @CLE L 14-34 - - -
Patriots Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ENGLAND at CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady - - 220,1
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis 80,1 10 -
RB Danny Woodhead 40,1 30 -
TE Aaron Hernandez - 30 -
WR Brandon Tate - 30 -
WR Deion Branch - 40 -
WR Wes Welker - 60,1 -
PK Shayne Graham 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Patriots are red hot now and this weekend is the toughest remaining game on the schedule though the Packers will not be a pushover in New England next week. After looking out of synch early in the season and dumping Randy Moss the Patriots have seen it all come back together in the way that fantasy fans hate - there is no way of telling who will go off in any particular game. But for the past month - several players do every game.

QUARTERBACK: After a midseason slump, Tom Brady has been as good as ever and threw four scores in each of the last two games. In Pittsburgh where no one should throw well he had 350 yards and three scores and even added his only rushing touchdown of the year. Brady has 27 touchdowns already and seems to be getting better as the season wears on.

The Bears secondary has been very good but some of that has been the quality of opponents. Aaron Rodgers passed for 316 yards and a score in Chicago and most recently Michael Vick had 333 yards and two scores there. Drawing lines between the dots is hard to do here because Brady just lit up the Steelers and Jets and that is not supposed to happen. Start him - simple enough - regardless of matchup.

RUNNING BACKS: Fred Taylor is healthy and active for games again but never used and why would they? BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been a scoring machine and a battering ram while Danny Woodhead provides the lightning element to the backfield that usually shows up as much as a receiver as a runner. Green-Ellis already has 11 scores on the season.

The Bears have allowed four touchdowns to visiting running backs and while the share of carries waters down what either runner would do, Green-Ellis is always a better than average chance for a score each week if not two. The Bears feature one of the best defenses the Patriots have faced but lately that doesn't matter.

WIDE RECEIVERS: After mediocre numbers in the first half of the season, Wes Welker has returned to 2009 form in the last four games with a total of four touchdowns and 80+ yards in all but one game. Brady is back to relying on Welker first and foremost when a pass has to be completed. Deion Branch has been on fire lately as well with three scores in the last two games and healthy yardage for the last month. No other wideout really stained out here though Brandon Tate finally got his second score of the year on his only catch last week.

Both Branch and Welker are must-starts every week and both have a decent shot at a score this week given their play of the last month. The Bears secondary is good but has allowed several players to have big performances against them. It is always going to be a crap shoot with all things Patriot but Branch and Welker are the lowest risk and you know a lot is bound to happen.

TIGHT ENDS: The two rookies are a factor of some note in every game and Aaron Hernandez had scored in every other game for the last six weeks while Rob Gronkowski has been slightly less effective. The Bears have only allowed one passing score to a tight end all season long so expect just yardage this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NE 9 7 12 2 9 8
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 4 7 6 8 3 27
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NE -5 0 -6 6 -6 19


Chicago Bears (9-3)
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DET W 19-14 10 MIN W 27-13
2 @DAL W 27-20 11 @MIA W 16-0
3 GB W 20-17 12 PHI W 31-26
4 @NYG L 3-17 13 @DET W 24-20
5 @CAR W 23-6 14 NE --
6 SEA L 20-23 15 @MIN --
7 WAS L 14-17 16 NYJ --
8 Bye - 17 @GB --
9 @BUF W 22-19   - -
Bears Report | Statistics | Roster
CHICAGO vs NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler - - 210,1
RB Matt Forte 60 30 -
TE Greg Olsen - 20,1 -
WR Devin Hester - 40 -
WR Earl Bennett - 40 -
WR Johnny Knox - 50 -
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 1 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Bears excellent season is just about to get messy if they cannot rise to the level of their schedule. A trip to Minnesota should be a win but otherwise the season is ending with home games against the Pats and Jets and then all the marbles in the NFC North in week 17 in Green Bay. That is a daunting schedule and we are about to discover just how well a Mike Martz offense does in the cold and windy weather.

QUARTERBACK: Jay Cutler has been generally good but overall inconsistent this year with three games of no scores but three games with three or four touchdowns. The passing yardage has remained less than 250 yards for six weeks now while the Bears are getting better at rushing. The Patriots have always allowed a road opponent to score at least once if not three times by their quarterback and Cutler will be one of the better quarterbacks that the Pats have faced this year.

Expect one score for sure and likely two since this is the only weakness of the Pats and the Bears should once again be less successful with the run.

RUNNING BACKS: Matt Forte has been running more effectively in recent games and has even seen his rushing average crest that 4.0 mark for the first time in his career. Forte claims it comes from his reduced workload while Chester Taylor kicks in about ten carries per week. The oddity here is that Forte has only scored five rushing touchdowns this year and yet only one of them came at home.

The Patriots have been great against the run as long as Peyton Hillis wasn't around so expect Forte to have a lesser effort this week. There is a chance for a score but I'll expect that will not happen. If he can get a rushing score that isn't just a one-yard plunge, the Bears could pull this one off.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is an interesting game since both teams have plenty of wideouts and yet mix and match them at will. The Bears still only have a smattering of under-used and largely unreliable wideouts that are loosely led by Johnny Knox. But Earl Bennett has been coming on lately with 104 yards last week in Detroit and two scores and 56 yards in the game previous to that one. This week should produce one score and but where that ends up is a guess because of the lack of consistency. This is the Patriots biggest weakness.

TIGHT ENDS: Greg Olsen is still the primary scorer in this offense with six touchdowns on the season But he has topped 45 yards only once all year. Expect a decent showing here but nothing that big.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 20 18 25 18 21 11
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 31 22 27 22 7 1
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CHI 11 4 2 4 -14 -10

WEEK 14
2010
IND at TEN NE at CHI TB at WAS KC at SD
CIN at PIT CLE at BUF SEA at SF DEN at ARI
ATL at CAR NYG at MIN STL at NO PHI at DAL
  GB at DET OAK at JAC MIA at NYJ BAL at HOU
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t