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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 14
2010
IND at TEN *NE at CHI *TB at WAS *KC at SD
*CIN at PIT *CLE at BUF *SEA at SF DEN at ARI
ATL at CAR *NYG at MIN STL at NO PHI at DAL
*Updated GB at DET OAK at JAC MIA at NYJ *BAL at HOU

Prediction: OAK 16, JAC 24

The Raiders come off an impressive win over the Chargers and at 6-6 are still two games back in the AFC West with a road record of 2-4. The Jaguars lead the AFC South by one game over the suddenly reeling Colts and are 4-2 at home. The odd key to this game is that the Raiders have six wins but four came against teams in their own division where they are a remarkable 4-0. Outside the division they are only 2-6 with only home wins over the Rams and Seahawks.

Oakland Raiders (6-6)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TEN L 13-38 10 Bye -
2 STL W 16-14 11 @PIT L 3-35
3 @ARI L 23-24 12 MIA L 17-33
4 HOU L 24-31 13 @SD W 28-13
5 SD W 35-27 14 @JAC --
6 @SF L 9-17 15 DEN --
7 @DEN W 59-14 16 IND --
8 SEA W 33-3 17 @KC --
9 KC W 23-20 - - -
Raiders Report | Statistics | Roster
OAKLAND at JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell - - 190,1
RB Darren McFadden 60 30 -
TE Zach Miller - 10 -
WR Louis Murphy - 40 -
WR Jacoby Ford - 50,1 -
WR Johnnie Lee Higgins - 20 -
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey - 30 -
PK Sebastian Janikowski 3 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Raiders fell from contention for the division with losses to the Steelers and Fins but have a shot at a winning record if they can win three of the final four games and two are inside the division. But the Raiders still have no discernible passing offense and are unlikely to catch the Chiefs who have a two game lead.

QUARTERBACK: Jason Campbell scored on a run for the first time this season when he had seven scrambles for 37 yards in San Diego. He had almost no running prior to that game and his passing has been suspect particularly in all road games where he has never had more than 180 yards and one score against a non-divisional opponent. With Zach Miller banged up, the passing offense has slipped back to one of the worst in the league.

The Jaguars have been softer against the pass this year but less so at home and the Raiders are the least talented team they have met so far. Expect only an average game here with minimal fantasy value.

RUNNING BACKS: The oddly dormant rushing attack came back to life last week when Darren McFadden came back to form and score once on 19 carries for 97 yards and added 30 yards on three catches. McFadden had been held to a total of 18 carries for 16 yards in the two previous games. This week should be an interesting test because McFadden has been at his best when facing divisional opponents and less so out side of it. The beatdown on the Chargers was so thorough last week that even Michael Bush joined in with a score and 95 yards on 23 carries but Bush had been nearly unused in the three previous games.

McFadden remains a must start but he has a spotty record on the road and outside of the division as a runner. At least his role as a receiver comes into play more and maintains at least some decent total yardage. Expect Bush to go back under his rock like he had for several weeks. The Jaguars have been better against the run than they seem.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There is nothing to report here because there is almost nothing here. Jacoby Ford has made a minor name for himself with a score in each of the last two games but that was only one catch for four yards in San Diego. And his two touchdowns rank him as the lead scorer among all wide receivers. Ford is the only marginal play on this team and that is too unreliable to consider. Chaz Schilens finally returned for the first time all year and did not catch his only pass. I will credit Ford with the score this week but figure that is low confidence. Whatever score there is will more likely be in trash time anyway.

TIGHT ENDS: Zach Miller is still hobbled with his torn plantar fascia and now has gone four straight games with no more than ten yards and no scores. He is not likely to matter for the rest of the year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 26 3 30 19 3 6
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 28 16 28 27 18 23
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) OAK 2 13 -2 8 15 17


Jacksonville Jaguars (7-5)
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DEN W 24-17 10 HOU W 31-24
2 @SD L 13-38 11 CLE W 24-20
3 PHI L 3-28 12 @NYG L 20-24
4 IND W 31-28 13 @TEN W 17-6
5 @BUF W 36-26 14 OAK --
6 TEN L 3-30 15 @IND --
7 @KC L 20-42 16 WAS --
8 @DAL W 35-17 17 @HOU --
9 Bye - - - -
Jaguars Report | Statistics | Roster
JACKSONVILLE vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB David Garrard - - 170,2
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 120,1 10 -
TE Marcedes Lewis - 50,1 -
WR Mike Sims-Walker - 40 -
WR Mike Thomas - 40,1 -
PK Josh Scobee 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars are leading in the AFC South and have to avoid looking past this game to the matchup in Indy next week where the division may be decided. The final schedule is no cakewalk with road games at Indy and Houston and even hosting the Redskins could be a problem but the visiting Raiders will be as easy as it will get. The Jags have to take advantage of it and the rushing game has hit high gear at the right time.

QUARTERBACK: David Garrard was starting to become more than just an average game manager every week when he had multiple touchdowns in five straight games but the success of the rushing offense has offloaded much of the workload from Garrard to Maurice Jones -Drew. But the Raiders have allowed multiple touchdowns to all road opponents until last week in San Diego and while the yardage may not be great from Garrard this week, he should manage to reach those two scores.

RUNNING BACKS: Maurice Jones-Drew has really reasserted himself as one of the premier running backs and he has strung five straight games with 100+ rushing yards. OC Dirk Koetter said that Jones-Drew success was from a return to health and the improving offensive line. His 186 yards last week was a career best. And what is even better is that he has a string of softer defenses for the rest of the season.

At home against the Raiders, look for Jones-Drew to keep on keeping on and should score at least once in this game. His role as a receiver has really suffered with the success as a runner.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Last week Mike Sims-Walker was confident that he would play against the Titans which only lasted until Sunday morning when he was ruled out of the game. He has been hampered by a high ankle sprain and was likely held out to help him get better for this stretch run. Until he shows he is healthy again you cannot consider him as a worth start. He has not had a decent game since week eight. in Dallas. Mike Thomas has been quiet the last few weeks because of Jones-Drew but should show up for at least some moderate yardage this week and a decent shot at one touchdown. I will assume a limited Sims-Walker can play and adjust later if warranted. There has never been any reason to consider any other wideouts on this team.

TIGHT ENDS: Marcedes Lewis has not scored for two weeks but again - MoJo has taken over lately. This week offers a good chance at a score with the Raiders below average against the position and a touchdown allowed whenever facing one of the elite players like Antonio Gates and Vernon Davis.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 10 10 28 3 20 30
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 21 24 9 21 12 15
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) JAC 11 14 -19 18 -8 -15

WEEK 14
2010
IND at TEN NE at CHI TB at WAS KC at SD
CIN at PIT CLE at BUF SEA at SF DEN at ARI
ATL at CAR NYG at MIN STL at NO PHI at DAL
  GB at DET OAK at JAC MIA at NYJ BAL at HOU
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