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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD *CLE at CIN *KC at STL *DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA *JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
*PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB *GB at NE
*UPDATED *WAS at DAL *NO at BAL ATL at SEA *CHI at MIN

Prediction: CLE 14, CIN 24

Update: Terrell Owens only practiced on Thursday because of his knee and is considered questionable on the injury report. HC Marvin Lewis has confirmed that he expected Owens to play this week but I am downgrading his stats a bit.

This is a rematch of week four when the Browns beat the visiting Bengals 23-20. The Browns are only 2-5 in road games but the Bengals have a ten game losing streak. This is the last chance for a win by the Bengals against a team that could not beat the Bills last week. This should be a cold game with temperatures in the 20's.

Cleveland Browns (5-8)
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TB L 14-17 10 NYJ L 20-26
2 KC L 14-16 11 @JAC L 20-24
3 @BAL L 17-24 12 CAR W 24-23
4 CIN W 23-20 13 @MIA W 13-10
5 ATL L 10-20 14 @BUF L 6-13
6 @PIT L 10-28 15 @CIN --
7 @NO W 30-17 16 BAL --
8 Bye - 17 PIT --
9 NE W 34-14 - - -
Browns Report | Statistics | Roster
CLEVELAND at CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Colt McCoy - - 180,1
RB Peyton Hillis 60,1 30 -
TE Ben Watson - 50,1 -
WR Mohamed Massaquoi - 30 -
WR Chansi Stuckey - 40 -
PK Phil Dawson 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Browns tough season is closing and there's no let up in the schedule with final games hosting the Ravens and Steelers. But there have been strides made with a better defense this year and a much upgraded rushing attack. Colt McCoy has offered some optimism for next year at quarterback but the offense has struggled in almost every game to pass.

QUARTERBACK: Colt McCoy has been out since week 11 with a high ankle sprain but is hoped to return this week and replace the bumbling Jake Delhomme. In the final analysis, it doesn't matter that much since no Browns quarterback has thrown for more than one touchdown in a game game this year and as a team there have only been nine passing scores. In the previous matchup with the Bengals, Seneca Wallace threw for 184 yards and one score.

I will project for McCoy to return and update as needed.

RUNNING BACKS: No changes here other than Peyton Hillis has lost his fifth fumble of the year and has been much less effective as a runner on the road. Back in week four when the Bengals visited, Hillis rushed for 102 yards and a score on 27 carries and had just two catches for eight yards. He's only scored in one of the last five road games and been held to under 100 yards in all but Buffalo in that time.

But the Bengals are reeling and even at home have allowed seven rushing touchdowns. No reason to shy away from Hillis this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: With only three touchdowns to wideouts in 13 games, there is no reliable fantasy value here and almost no real yardage. Back in week four against the Bengals, Chansi Stuckey had 56 yards on five catches and Mohamed Massaquoi ended with just one catch for five yards. No reason to hold out hope for a chance since none of these players have scored since week ten anyway.

TIGHT ENDS: Ben Watson was the lead receiver in the previous matchup with the Bengals when he caught six passes for 60 yards and the tight ends are more productive here than the wide receivers. I am crediting Watson with a score but the confidence is low.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 30 11 32 10 23 12
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 8 15 27 6 27 31
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CLE -22 4 -5 -4 4 19


Cincinnati Bengals (2-11)
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NE L 24-38 10 @IND L 17-23
2 BAL W 15-10 11 BUF L 31-49
3 @CAR W 20-7 12 @NYJ L 10-26
4 @CLE L 20-23 13 NO L 30-34
5 TB L 21-24 14 @PIT L 7-23
6 Bye - 15 CLE --
7 @ATL L 32-39 16 SD --
8 MIA L 14-22 17 @BAL --
9 PIT L 21-27 - - -
Bengals Report | Statistics | Roster
CINCINNATI vs CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer - - 230,2
RB Cedric Benson 80,1 10 -
TE Jermaine Gresham - 30,1 -
WR Chad Ochocinco - 60 -
WR Terrell Owens - 50,1 -
WR Jordan Shipley - 40 -
PK Clint Stitser 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The last time that the Bengals won it was against the Panthers in week two and that game made them 2-1. Here ten losses later, the team is in their typical` late season shambles with Terrell Owens being the main whiner and no matter what they do - they lose. This week is the only chance for a win since the Chargers show up next week and then the season ends with a massacre in Baltimore.

QUARTERBACK: Carson Palmer had one of his best games in week four when he passed for 371 yards and two scores on the Browns in Cleveland. He has since scored in every game though recent weeks have seen his totals dip to just one score per game and marginal yardage in each.

But the Browns secondary has allowed every visitor to score on them and most have over 200 yards and multiple touchdowns. Palmer has been slowing down and is less likely to post the gaudy yardage but the scores are definitely probable.

RUNNING BACKS: Back in week four, Cedric Benson gained 60 yards on 15 carries in Cleveland but has really taken a downturn in recent weeks when he has only topped 55 rushing yards once in the last six weeks. He has scored seven times this year but only one road game had any touchdowns. The Browns have been much better at home against the run with only one score given up to a running back in Cleveland but on the road they are less formidable.

This is definitely the last chance to use Benson this year and he should managed one of his better games this week with a chance for one touchdown.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Terrell Owens has been whining again about his marginal role in the offense lately - he only has ten catches for 86 yards and one score over the last three games. But his best game of the year was clearly when he faced the Browns in week four and ended with ten catches for 222 yards and one score. Chad Ochocinco only produced three receptions for 59 yards in that game. Notable too is that Owens has scored in each of the last five home games.

This too is the best week to start Owens who should have his final decent game this week.

TIGHT ENDS: Jermaine Gresham caught five passes for 35 yards in Cleveland this year and he's scored twice since then with most games ending around 30 yards. The Browns have already allowed four touchdowns to tight ends on the road so consider Gresham a decent chance at one score. He'll have marginal yardage though which means minimal fantasy impact if he does not catch a score.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 16 30 7 25 24 28
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 20 13 15 26 12 17
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) CIN 4 -17 8 1 -12 -11

WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD CLE at CIN KC at STL DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB GB at NE
  WAS at DAL NO at BAL ATL at SEA CHI at MIN
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