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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
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WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD *CLE at CIN *KC at STL *DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA *JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
*PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB *GB at NE
*UPDATED *WAS at DAL *NO at BAL ATL at SEA *CHI at MIN

Prediction: KC 20, STL 23

Update: Matt Cassel has been limited in practice but may still play this week. He is still not completely recovered from his appendectomy.. He's not going to be 100% if he plays but so far he may still play.

Update #2: Cassel is listed as questionable and has only had limited work in practice though he was said to be improving. He remains a game time decision that could be pulled from the game at any time if he does play. He is a big risk as is Dwayne Bowe since his production relies so heavily on what Cassel does - or doesn't do.

Last summer who would have guessed that both these teams would be in first place in their divisions? Granted, 6-7 buys a lot in the NFC West but neither team can afford a loss with the Chargers nipping at the Chiefs after demolishing them last week and the Seahawks tied with the Rams. The Chiefs are only 2-5 on the road and the Rams are 4-2 at home. This game really revolves around Matt Cassel and if he can play.

Kansas City Chiefs (8-5)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD W 21-14 10 @DEN L 29-49
2 @CLE W 16-14 11 ARI W 31-13
3 SF W 31-10 12 @SEA W 42-24
4 Bye - 13 DEN W 10-6
5 @IND L 9-19 14 @SD 0-31
6 @HOU L 31-35 15 @STL --
7 JAC W 42-20 16 TEN --
8 BUF W 13-10 17 OAK --
9 @OAK L 20-23 - - -
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY at STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel - - 200,1
RB Jamaal Charles 70 60 -
RB Thomas Jones 30,1 - -
TE Tony Moeaki - 20 -
WR Chris Chambers - 30 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 60,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The beatdown in San Diego was brutal but Brodie Croyle had never won as a starter before so going 0-12 should have been no major surprise. This is the final road game of the year and one they could win if they have a passing game. The Rams are actually decent at stopping the run and that is always easier when you have few worries about the pass. There is a very realistic chance that the Chiefs could miss the playoffs if they cannot run the table.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Cassel missed last week because of his appendectomy but says he will practice this week like he is going to play and the team certainly needs him on the field. But Todd Haley is a disciple of Bill Belichick which means it will be probably Thursday before we know anything if even then. Knowing that the Rams already have 36 sacks on the season, it would seem prudent to let Cassel have one more week to heal but the team does not have a week to wait.

I will project for Cassel to start though I personally doubt it. He'll be a risky fantasy play too since all it will take is a good shot to the lower back to make him trot to the sideline. Expect late week updates.

RUNNING BACKS: Jamaal Charles signed a new five-year extension last Saturday worth $27.5 million with a roster bonus of $8 million now. And to celebrate, he went out and had his worst game of the season with only 40 yards on ten carries in San Diego. Charles has always tended to have lower games away from Arrowhead Stadium this year though he usually turns in more yardage as a receiver in those games.

The Rams at home have been very tough to run on and have allowed just three touchdowns to visiting runners. Only Michael Turner had more than 65 rushing yards there and he doesn't share like Charles and Thomas Jones do. Charles was embarrassed last week and wants to make up for it here but it will be tough. I'll project a score for Jones but it could belong to Charles just as easily and is no given this week. It is even less likely if Croyle starts again.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Dwayne Bowe was held to one catch for three yards in the Week 14 loss to the Chargers and his fortunes ride directly on getting a healthy Matt Cassel back. After torching defenses for seven straight weeks with 13 touchdowns, Bowe has only one catch for three yards in the last two games. No other Chiefs receiver has more than one touchdown and the only fantasy value here resides solely in Bowe.

His projection is all about Cassel. The Rams have allowed five scores to visiting wideouts and several good games. But Croyle is not the one to take advantage. In the best case, Bowe is a risk this week and if Croyle starts - don't bother.

TIGHT ENDS: Tony Moeaki has bee good for a handful of catches in most games but he has scored only once in the last nine games and the Rams are one of the top rated defenses against the position with only two scores allowed to the position. Expect another mediocre game this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 22 5 22 22 28 19
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 16 11 23 5 28 12
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) KC -6 6 1 -17 0 -7


St. Louis Rams (6-7)
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ARI L 13-17 10 @SF L 20-23
2 @OAK L 14-16 11 ATL L 17-34
3 WAS W 30-16 12 @DEN W 36-33
4 SEA W 20-3 13 @ARI W 19-6
5 @DET L 6-44 14 @NO L 13-31
6 SD W 20-17 15 KC --
7 @TB L 17-18 16 SF --
8 CAR W 20-10 17 @SEA --
9 Bye - - - -
Rams Report | Statistics | Roster
ST. LOUIS vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford - - 240,2
RB Steven Jackson 80 30,1 -
WR Laurent Robinson - 60 -
WR Danny Amendola - 30,1 -
WR Brandon Gibson - 70 -
WR Danario Alexander - 30 -
PK Josh Brown 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Rams are in a nice situation. Two home games against these Chiefs and then the 49ers and then a trip to Seattle. Their destiny is in their own hands and the cards are stacked a bit in their favor. It will still come down to that final game in Seattle for all the NFC West marbles but one more win and the Rams won't have a losing record this year. That alone should make Sam Bradford Rookie of the Year.

QUARTERBACK: The rookie season of Sam Bradford has already been a rousing success with 17 touchdowns and only 12 interceptions using a gaggle of receivers that would make most quarterbacks gag. He has always thrown at least one score in a home game and even has already turned in his first game over 300 yards.

The Chiefs secondary has been worse in away games and allowed high yards and multiple scores to opposing quarterbacks. Bradford should end up with moderate yardage in this game but two touchdowns are very likely.

RUNNING BACKS: Steven Jackson is healthy again and rolling up nice games including more use as a receiver in recent weeks. He only has four touchdowns so far but has been solid in yardage in almost every game. The Chiefs have been very good against the run at home but less so on the road where they have allowed nine touchdowns to the position - only one in Arrowhead Stadium.

Jackson will have a tougher time breaking 100 rushing yards this week but stands a good shot at a touchdown and should turn in some receiving yardage here if Bradford will continue to use him as an outlet.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The wideouts have not scored for the Rams since week 11 but that should change with the Chiefs bringing in a secondary that has allowed eight touchdowns to road opponents this year and big games to the better receivers. The group here shows how well Bradford spreads the ball around because none of them ever have a truly good game and yet all them factor in each week. I will award a score to Amendola but the confidence is low and he is mostly a placeholder. Expect marginal yardage from all of these wideouts.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 25 28 21 14 6 22
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 18 17 22 2 11 2
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) STL -7 -11 1 -12 5 -20

WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD CLE at CIN KC at STL DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB GB at NE
  WAS at DAL NO at BAL ATL at SEA CHI at MIN
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