The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD *CLE at CIN *KC at STL *DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA *JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
*PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB *GB at NE
*UPDATED *WAS at DAL *NO at BAL ATL at SEA *CHI at MIN

Prediction: NO 27, BAL 24

Update: Todd Heap remains out with his hamstring strain and Ed Dickinson will replace him again though it did not result in anything last week. Derrick Mason has been held out of practice because of a sore ankle he injured late in the Houston game. Chris Ivory is not a safe start this week as he has taken an injection for his hamstring and may be held out. That determination won't be made until later in the week.

Update #2: Mason returned on Friday for some limited work and is expected to play. Todd Heap has already been ruled out. Willis McGahee is questionable with "an illness" that is believed to be the flu but his status for the game won't be known until game time in the unlikely event you wanted to start him. Check game actives to make sure he is playing. Chris Ivory has been held out of practice because of his hamstring but has not been ruled out for the game. He's already part of a growing committee and now is banged up at best. Check the game inactives if you need him but keep your expectations low if he does play.

This is a big game for two teams that are both one game back in their own division and may well end up with a wildcard if they cannot win out. The Saints have to travel to Atlanta for their game of the year next week while the Ravens have a softer remaining schedule. The Saints are 5-1 on the road and the Ravens are 5-1 at home.

New Orleans Saints (10-3)
Homefield: Superdome
Sportexe Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 MIN W 14-9 10 Bye -
2 @SF W 25-22 11 SEA W 34-19
3 ATL L 24-27 12 @DAL W 30-27
4 CAR W 16-14 13 @CIN W 34-30
5 @ARI L 20-30 14 STL W 31-13
6 @TB W 31-6 15 @BAL --
7 CLE L 17-30 16 @ATL --
8 PIT W 20-10 17 TB --
9 @CAR W 34-3 - - -
Saints Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ORLEANS at BAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees - - 300,3
RB Chris Ivory 30 - -
RB Reggie Bush 30 20 -
RB Pierre Thomas 20 20 -
TE Jimmy Graham - 40 -
WR Marques Colston - 70,2 -
WR Lance Moore - 50 -
WR Devery Henderson - 20 -
WR Robert Meachem - 50,1 -
PK Garrett Hartley 2 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: The high scoring Saints are back and everyone is pretty much healthy including Pierre Thomas who no longer matters. The Saints have a fairly brutal exit to the regular season with road games in Baltimore and Atlanta and even a home game against the Buccaneers is nothing to take lightly this year. It'd be tempting to think about next week but a loss here means next week probably does not matter. The amazing thing is that two of their three losses were to the Browns and Cardinals.

QUARTERBACK: Drew Brees is in top form with 28 touchdowns on the season and with 3855 yards in 13 games, he's about to turn in another 4000+ yard season. He has six games over 300 yards and has thrown multiple touchdowns in all but one road game.

The Ravens rank highly against the pass but have faced mostly a motley crew of opponents. Last week Matt Schaub pasted them with 393 yards and three scores and Ryan Fitzpatrick passed for 382 yards and four scores in Baltimore. This is a very important road game and it will be cold with a chance of snow. But Brees is hardly limited to a dome - no reason to expect less than excellence again this week.

RUNNING BACKS: The Ravens are good against the run and at home have only allowed two rushing touchdowns and rarely much yardage. The Saints will be dividing up the workload anyway now that Pierre Thomas is back and sharing with both Reggie Bush and Chris Ivory. Thomas was given 12 carries for 39 yards last week after Ivory had seven runs for 47 yards but strained a hamstring. His status is not yet known but I will assume that he can play along with Bush and Thomas. There is no reason to project for any of them this week considering the risk and likely marginal stats.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is where the Saints are strongest and the Ravens are weakest. Marques Colston has been on a streak with big games for seven straight weeks and seven touchdowns over that time. Robert Meachem was held to no catches last week but turned in 106 yards and a score the previous week. Lance Moore has seven touchdowns though rarely more than about 60 yards in any game. Devery Henderson has been nearly phased out of the offense with only one catch in the last two weeks but you can never count out any wideout in this group. You can also not rely on any of them outside of Colston being a consistent target each week.

The Ravens have to deal with four wideouts and any of them can hurt them. The Ravens have also tended to allow more than one score to the best wideout of the opponent in four different games. Outside Colston with yardage and probably one score it is always dicey to rely on, but the Saints are going to have to win this cold game with these players.

TIGHT ENDS: It is becoming a coin toss between Jimmy Graham and Jeremy Shockey as to which one has the slightly better game but in recent weeks they have tended to be marginal at best and have not scored in five weeks.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NO 3 14 3 7 9 20
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 9 6 21 4 19 5
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NO 6 -8 18 -3 10 -15


Baltimore Ravens (9-4)
Homefield: M&T Bank Stadium
Sport Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ W 10-9 10 @ATL L 21-26
2 @CIN L 10-15 11 @CAR W 37-13
3 CLE W 24-17 12 TB W 17-10
4 @PIT W 17-14 13 PIT L 10-13
5 DEN W 31-17 14 @HOU W 34-28
6 @NE L 20-23 15 NO --
7 BUF W 37-34 16 @CLE --
8 Bye - 17 CIN --
9 MIA W 26-10   - -
Ravens Report | Statistics | Roster
BALTIMORE vs NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Joe Flacco - - 270,1
RB Ray Rice 60 50 -
RB Willis McGahee 20,1 10 -
WR Anquan Boldin - 60 -
WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh - 40,1 -
WR Derrick Mason - 80 -
PK Billy Cundiff 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: Even a loss here doesn't necessarily mean the playoffs are off for the Ravens since the final two games will see them favored against their two lowly division rivals and 11-5 gets a wild card in the AFC. But losing here means the division will almost certainly remain out of reach. But the offense has struggled to post points against the better defenses this year and the Saints are in their own desperation mode as well.

I like a defensive score here.

QUARTERBACK: Joe Flacco has been solid this year with a score in nearly every game and already scored 21 touchdowns against just eight interceptions. He's remained above 250 passing yards in most weeks and has turned in multiple touchdowns in seven games. But now he faces the #2 defense against quarterbacks that has only allowed eight passing touchdowns total on the season. That's all. In the last ten games it has only been four touchdowns allowed. The yardage may go high, but the scores do not.

Expect Flacco to have more trouble this week as he did against the Steelers (266, TD) and Jets (248). He should end up with one touchdown but more than that would be a huge success.

RUNNING BACKS: The Saints are softer against the run but Ray Rice has not been as effective this year with just one game over 100 rushing yards and he scored in just two contests. The Ravens offense has not been as good posting points on the scoreboard lately and while Willis McGahee had a rushing touchdown in Houston last week, that was his first since week seven.

I'll credit McGahee with a score but it could end up to be a couple of field goals just as easily. Rice is always good for yardage with his receptions factored in but with only one touchdown in the last eight weeks he cannot be relied on for more than yards.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is one place the game turns. The Saints are excellent against wide receivers and have only allowed three touchdowns thrown to the position this year. Only one player has ever topped 100 receiving yards. Expect moderate yardage here but that's all the Saints have ever allowed an opponent. This is the strength of the defense.

I like one passing touchdown and it has to end up here since Heap is out with a bad hamstring. It will most likely be the slot receiver if it happens at all.

TIGHT ENDS: Todd Heap is out with a hamstring strain and Ed Dickinson only had one pass thrown his way last week. No fantasy value here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 12 12 14 16 16 21
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 2 16 2 15 16 20
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) BAL -10 4 -12 -1 0 -1

WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD CLE at CIN KC at STL DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB GB at NE
  WAS at DAL NO at BAL ATL at SEA CHI at MIN
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t