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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
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WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD *CLE at CIN *KC at STL *DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA *JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
*PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB *GB at NE
*UPDATED *WAS at DAL *NO at BAL ATL at SEA *CHI at MIN

Prediction: PHI 27, NYG 23

Update: Mario Manningham has returned for limited work in practice but his hip flexor is not completely healed and would limit him if he can even play. Barring a full practice tomorrow and better reports, I am not adding him into the projections. DeSean Jackson has missed practices this week because of his foot but he is still expected to play just as he did last week.

Update #2: Mario Manningham was limited in practice on Friday but is listed as probable to play. I am adding him into the projections but he has a tough matchup this week anyway and should be avoided. DeSean Jackson was limited in practice on Friday but he personally guaranteed he was playing and this is no different than going into last week.

This is a rematch of week 11 when the Eagles beat the visiting Giants 27-17. The winner takes a one game lead in the NFC East and if it is the Eagles, they'll have a tie breaker over the Giants and two home games left to play. The Giants finish their season with two road games. The Giants are 5-2 at home while the Eagles are 5-2 on the road. The Eagles have won the last five meetings including three in New York. This is expected to be a cold game with a small chance of snow showers.

Philadelphia Eagles (9-4))
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 GB L 20-27 10 @WAS W 59-28
2 @DET W 35-32 11 NYG W 27-17
3 @JAC W 28-3 12 @CHI L 26-31
4 WAS L 12-17 13 HOU W 34-24
5 @SF W 27-24 14 @DAL W 30-27
6 ATL W 31-17 15 @NYG --
7 @TEN L 19-37 16 MIN --
8 Bye - 17 DAL --
9 IND W 26-24 - - -
Eagles Report | Statistics | Roster
PHILADELPHIA at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Michael Vick 50,1 - 260,1
RB LeSean McCoy 50,1 60 -
TE Brent Celek - 20 -
WR DeSean Jackson - 60 -
WR Jason Avant - 40 -
WR Jeremy Maclin - 80,1 -
PK David Akers 2 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: Get the win here and it will truly be a case of "Donovan who?" The Eagles have been hot since their bye and won five of the last six games. With home games against the Vikings and Cowboys left to play, a win here and again next week would probably mean that week 17 doesn't matter depending on what happens in the hunt for the #2 seed.

QUARTERBACK: Michael Vick only had one game with no passing touchdowns and that was week 11 when the Giants showed up and he passed for 258 yards and no score. But he ran in a touchdown that week and already has seven rushing touchdowns to add to his 17 passing touchdowns. In five away games played, Vick has never scored less than two passing touchdowns and has missed rushing in a score in just one of the last seven full games that he has played.

The Giants have only allowed one visitor to pass for more than one touchdown though most of the visitors so far have been among the lesser talented quarterbacks. Still it's safe to say that Vick will throw one score and anything more would be a surprise given the weather and how important the game is to both teams. Have to add in a Vick touchdown run as well.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy has one of his best games of the year when the Giants came to Philly and he ran for 111 yards and a score on just 14 carries and added 29 yards on five catches. McCoy always maintains a good level of stats with additional work as a receiver when his rushing totals are lower. The Giants are usually tough against the run but McCoy has already dinged them for 140 yards just four weeks ago and this time he'll be adding more work as a receiver instead of a runner.

McCoy is a must start regardless of matchup.

WIDE RECEIVERS: DeSean Jackson only had 50 yards on five catches in the previous meeting with the Giants though he had ten targets thrown his way that week. Jeremy Maclin was the star that day with nine catches for 120 yards. Jackson injured his ankle last week - or rather aggravated the existing sprain - but taped up and still had a career best 210 yards and a score in Dallas. Jason Avant only had 39 yards in two catches in the Giants game but has been used more in away games this year.

The weather may depress the passing numbers here but figure both Maclin and Jackson as must start players. Maclin leads the team with eight receiving scores while Jackson trails with six. The Giants have allowed seven passing scores to wideouts in New York but without any strong trend. I'll give the score to Maclin this week but it could go either way. Maclin was more effective in the previous meeting. Jackson has a habit of big games only against the softest secondaries. Maclin does more when the defenses are better.

TIGHT ENDS: Just when it seemed that Vick was starting to incorporate Brent Celek, he only had two targets and no catches last week. The Giants have never allowed a score to a visiting tight end anyway so leave Celek on your bench.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 1 10 4 27 1 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 6 5 7 3 15 25
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) PHI 5 -5 3 -24 14 18


New York Giants (9-4)
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CAR W 31-18 10 DAL L 20-33
2 @IND L 14-38 11 @PHI L 17-27
3 TEN L 10-29 12 JAC W 24-20
4 CHI W 17-3 13 WAS W 31-7
5 @HOU W 34-10 14 @MIN W 21-3
6 DET W 28-20 15 PHI --
7 @DAL W 41-35 16 @GB --
8 Bye - 17 @WAS --
9 @SEA W 41-7 - - -
Giants Report | Statistics | Roster
NY GIANTS vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning - - 240,2
RB Brandon Jacobs 50 - -
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 60 30 -
TE Kevin Boss - 50,1 -
WR Mario Manningham - 30 -
WR Derek Hagen - 30 -
WR Hakeem Nicks - 90,1 -
PK Lawrence Tynes 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Giants are on a three game winning streak started after losing to the Eagles. There's really no hope of winning the division with a loss this week and actually even a win is no lock since the Giants end with two road games that will be cold and challenging.The wins over the Jaguars and Redskins were needed but the season is ratcheting up one more notch with this tough three game conclusion.

QUARTERBACK: Eli Manning is winning games thanks to the reinvigorated rushing offense in recent weeks but he only had 147 passing yards and two scores against three interceptions in Philadelphia last month. And that was when the rushing game was not working. These last two weeks with a total of six touchdowns from the running backs have easily won their games, but Manning is going to have to be the one to make this happen for the Giants.

The Eagles give up a couple of scores to almost every quarterback if not more but weather considerations and the nature of the divisional rivalry leaves Manning likely to improve his yardage - weather permitting - but hang with the same two touchdowns as before.

RUNNING BACKS: The last two weeks have been a gift to every fantasy owner with both backs scoring twice against the Skins and once on the Vikings. Ahmad Bradshaw gained 97 and 103 yards rushing against the Skins and Vikings respectively. Brandon Jacobs turned in 103 and 116 yards in his games. But in week 11 in Philadelphia, Jacobs gained only 10 yards on five runs and Bradshaw was held to 29 yards on 12 carries. He also added two catches for a net five yard loss as well.

Back at home the duo should run better but the Eagles still have one of the better rushing defenses. Expect improvement but nothing like the last two weeks.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Steve Smith was out with his pectoral injury and he returned to suffer a hamstring strain last week. He is not expected to play from early reports. Smith was not there in the previous meeting with the Eagles as well when Hakeem Nicks gained 65 yards on six catches and Mario Manningham ended with just three receptions for 24 yards. Derek Hagen had the receiving touchdown in that game though only gained ten yards on his three catches. Manningham is likely out this week with a hip flexor that he suffered in the Vikings game in Detroit. That should leave Nicks as the main weapon and Hagen will move up. Hagen had 65 yards on seven catches against the Redskins as a season high.

Nicks should end up with a very high number of passes this week and turn in decent stats if only because of volume. The Eagles are still missing some defenders and that should let Nicks do better than he did in the first meeting. Aside from him there is no reliable fantasy value.

TIGHT ENDS: Kevin Boss only had two catches for 22 yards in the last meeting with the Eagles but has scored four times in the last six weeks and now faces the Eagles at home. Philly is the 32nd ranked defense against tight ends and Manning is running out of receivers again. Expect a score here and decent yardage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 11 4 8 15 20 10
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 26 20 13 32 13 7
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NYG 15 16 5 17 -7 -3

WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD CLE at CIN KC at STL DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB GB at NE
  WAS at DAL NO at BAL ATL at SEA CHI at MIN
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