The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD *CLE at CIN *KC at STL *DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA *JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
*PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB *GB at NE
*UPDATED *WAS at DAL *NO at BAL ATL at SEA *CHI at MIN

Prediction: SF 7, SD 31

The 49ers come off their biggest win of the year but are only 1-5 in road games. The Chargers made up for the embarrassing loss to the Raiders by shutting out the Raiders and are 5-2 in home games.

San Francisco 49ers (5-8)
Homefield: Monster Park
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SEA L 6-31 10 STL W 23-20
2 NO L 22-25 11 TB L 0-21
3 @KC L 10-31 12 @ARI W 27-6
4 @ATL L 14-16 13 @GB L 16-34
5 PHI L 24-27 14 SEA W 40-21
6 OAK W 17-9 15 @SD --
7 @CAR L 20-23 16 @STL --
8 DEN W 24-16 17 ARI --
9 Bye - - - -
49ers Report | Statistics | Roster
SAN FRANCISCO at SD Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith - - 170,1
RB Brian Westbrook 30 50 -
RB Anthony Dixon 40 - -
TE Vernon Davis - 50,1 -
WR Josh Morgan - 30 -
WR Ted Ginn Jr. - 10 -
WR Michael Crabtree - 30 -
PK Jeff Reed   1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Huge win over the visiting Seahawks keeps the 49ers on their alternating win-loss trend and justifiably that means a loss this week. The good part is that at least the season should end up on a high note with a win over the Cardinals for a 6-10 record at worst. That may not be enough to save Mike Singletary's job but it would take the sting out of a season that started so poorly. I am assuming that Jeff Reed still replaces Joe Nedney.

QUARTERBACK: Alex Smith was given the starting job back and he graciously accepted his luck in playing the visiting Seahawks. Smith passed for 255 yards and three touchdowns with no turnovers. But Smith's downfall has been his play in road games where he has never scored more than once or had more than 230 passing yards. Going against the #1 ranked defense against quarterbacks is not going to help his case. Avoid at all costs.

RUNNING BACKS: Brian Westbrook has settled down to nine carries in both of the last two games but last week they finally used him as a receiver for six catches for 87 yards and a touchdown. Westbrook has been one of the premier pass catching backs for many years and the 49ers finally used him the right way. Anthony Dixon takes the bigger rushing load with 14 carries per game and he's more likely to be used at the goal line if the 49ers ever find themselves near it.

This week the 49ers are in San Diego where no runner has broken 100 rushing yards and Jamaal Charles was just held to 40 yards. Neither back has much fantasy value this week though Westbrook should offer PPR help if the 49ers continue to use him in that capacity.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The only bothersome part of last week with Alex Smith is that he could not connect with Michael Crabtree. He had five targets but only one catch for one yard. Josh Morgan had his second touchdown of the season when he turned in 82 yards on three catches but Crabtree was not a factor. And this week they play on the road against the best secondary against wideouts.

Expect even worse results this week and no reason to start a 49ers wideout.

TIGHT ENDS: Smith immediately connected with Vernon Davis for a long score against the Seahawks though it came on a "free play" when the defense was offsides and he did little otherwise. But Davis has been at his best when Alex Smith plays and the Chargers only weakness at all is with tight ends. If there is a touchdown, it will almost have to be to Davis.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SF 21 18 31 3 22 25
Preventing Fantasy Points SD 1 12 1 22 6 27
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SF -20 -6 -30 19 -16 2


San Diego Chargers (7-6)
Homefield: Qualcomm Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @KC L 14-21 10 Bye -
2 JAC W 38-13 11 DEN W 35-14
3 @SEA L 20-27 12 @IND W 36-14
4 ARI W 41-10 13 OAK L 13-28
5 @OAK L 27-35 14 KC W 31-0
6 @STL L 17-20 15 SF --
7 NE L 20-23 16 @CIN --
8 TEN W 33-25 17 @DEN --
9 @HOU W 29-23 - - -
Chargers Report | Statistics | Roster
SAN DIEGO vs SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Philip Rivers - - 260,2
RB Darren Sproles 20 30 -
RB Ryan Mathews 50 10 -
RB Mike Tolbert 40,1 20 -
WR Malcolm Floyd - 80,1 -
WR Vincent Jackson - 50,1 -
PK Nate Kaeding 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Chargers made up for the Raiders loss in a big way when they shut down the Chiefs but facing Brodie Croyle has never been a problem for any team. All the Chargers can do now is win out and two final road games should be able to provide the needed matchups with the staggering Bengals and Broncos left. Other than Antonio Gates, the Chargers are getting healthy players back but even a 10-6 record may not be good enough for January play this year.

I like a defensive score in this game.

QUARTERBACK: Philip Rivers has fallen back from his torrid pace of much of the season with only three scores over these last three games and moderate yardage in each. But expect a return this week since Rivers goes against a secondary that has been much worse in road games and given up multiple touchdowns in most away games as well as over 250+ passing yards. This may be the final good weather game for Rivers.

RUNNING BACKS: It's the apocalypse. Now the Chargers are using all three running backs in a rotation and draining much of their individual fantasy value. Ryan Mathews started the Chiefs game and ended with 16 carries for 65 yards and one score. And Mike Tolbert also had 16 carries for 66 yards and another touchdown. Throw in Darren Sproles who had 53 yards on six runs and 51 yards on five catches and there's tons of fantasy value here... divided by three.

This is made worse this week because the 49ers have a good rushing defense that has not allowed any runner to top 100 yards so far. They have only allowed five rushing touchdowns. I am going to project a score for Tolbert who is the goal line guy but it could end up with any of them.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Legedu Naanee remains out with a hamstring but Vincent Jackson was back and had two catches for 29 yards and a run for 14 yards in the Chiefs game. He did not do much but at least he looked healthy. Malcolm Floyd had his first two touchdown game when he caught four passes for 51 yards and he remains the better option for Rivers. I am only going to project for Floyd and Jackson though Kelley Washington will likely figure in as well. Washington had three catches for 50 yards last week but is a new addition to the offense.

The 49ers are weak against wideouts and have allowed ten touchdowns to the position over the six road games. I am splitting the scores between the two main wideouts but only Floyd is a low risk. Jackson has not figured in much yet but this week will be a good chance for him to finally show up.

TIGHT ENDS: Antonio Gates acknowledged that his torn plantar fascia may end his season but he is still not ruling out playing this week. He sat out last week and at least this is a Thursday game so you will know early enough if he is going to play. The Chargers do not need him to win and it is a short week, so he'll likely end up sitting out again.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SD 5 3 17 1 12 14
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 22 9 24 1 23 18
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SD 17 6 7 0 11 4

WEEK 15
2010
SF at SD CLE at CIN KC at STL DEN at OAK
BUF at MIA JAC at IND ARI at CAR NYJ at PIT
PHI at NYG HOU at TEN DET at TB GB at NE
  WAS at DAL NO at BAL ATL at SEA CHI at MIN
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t