The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 16
2010
CAR at PIT BAL at CLE TEN at KC *IND at OAK
*DAL at ARI DET at MIA SEA at TB NYG at GB
*NE at BUF *NYJ at CHI *MIN at PHI *SD at CIN
*UPDATED *SF at STL *WAS at JAC *HOU at DEN NO at ATL

Prediction: DET 10, MIA 17

How bad is this game? The Lions come off their first road win in 27 attempts so this is a lock to be a win for the Dolphins. But the Dolphins are only 1-6 at home and by now you have to consider it a hostile stadium because the fans all start booing when the first bad thing happens. And so far bad things always happen at home. You'd think they could beat the Browns and Bills right? Nope. If they cannot beat the visiting Lions, then these teams should just trade helmets and stadiums.

The nice thing here - there will not be many points and nearly no fantasy impact from this game. Just walk on by for everyone but the Calvin Johnson owner.

Detroit Lions (4-10)
Homefield: Ford Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CHI L 14-19 10 @BUF L 12-14
2 PHI L 32-35 11 @DAL L 19-35
3 @MIN L 10-24 12 NE L 24-45
4 @GB L 26-28 13 CHI L 20-24
5 STL W 44-6 14 GB W 7-3
6 @NYG L 20-28 15 @TB W 23-20
7 Bye - 16 @MIA --
8 WAS W 37-25 17 MIN --
9 NYJ L 20-23 - - -
Lions Report | Statistics | Roster
DETROIT at MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Shaun Hill - - 220,1
RB Maurice Morris 50 20 -
TE Brandon Pettigrew - 40 -
WR Calvin Johnson - 60,1 -
WR Bryant Johnson - 30 -
WR Nate Burleson - 40 -
PK Dave Rayner 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The season has been a success. Finally winning a road game on the NFL's worst streak ever was not only a huge monkey off the back, but realize that the record long losing streak in road games recently beat the old record and that too was set by the Lions. They just do not travel well. And they have not scored more than 24 points in seven weeks.

QUARTERBACK: This is a mess.

There is a chance - albeit small - that Matthew Stafford could try to play after missing the last six games with yet another shoulder injury. Drew Stanton has a Grade 3 separation of his left (non-throwing) shoulder and has not been ruled out because it's only playing with pain, not actually hurting anything else more. And Shaun Hill has recovered enough from his broken finger to be the backup quarterback in last week's game.

According to HC Jim "Keep 'em guessing" Schwartz, he'll decide by game time and maybe no earlier.

I pick Shaun Hill and he probably will too. And it is not going to matter that much anyway because the Lions are unlikely to get more than one passing score. The Fins have only allowed seven touchdowns to visiting quarterbacks over the last six games.

RUNNING BACKS: Jahvid Best is a complete nonfactor by now and comes off a game where he rushed six times to gain 12 yards - why bother? How did he get the last name Best anyway? This is about the time that owners laugh their ass off thinking about rookie incentive clauses.

Maurice Morris has taken over as the primary back and even had 109 yards and a score in the shocking win in Tampa Bay. Morris had been limited to around 50 yards in all the other games. As Morris increases his role as a runner, he has been catching fewer passes so it all works out about the same. T he Dolphins have only allowed five rushing touchdowns to running backs this year and Morris is hardly in that class of runner. Expect the same mediocre showing.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Calvin Johnson has already scored 12 times this year and had decent yardage in most games. But the only other wideout with any scores is Nate Burleson with five and he's remained below 40 yards in a game for the last four weeks. Johnson is not the only receiver but nearly the only one that matters. The Fins are top ten against the wideouts and there is very little else to concern the defense outside of Johnson. I am awarding him with the passing score since he is about three times more likely to catch it than any other player but - that is only if it even happens.

TIGHT ENDS: Brandon Pettigrew has been less of a factor for three weeks now and he has not scored since week nine. His three touchdowns all came at home as well. The Fins rank very highly against the position and have allowed just two tight ends to score on them. Pettigrew is unlikely to be the third one.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 9 25 16 10 23 9
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 5 7 7 3 18 21
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) DET -4 -18 -9 -7 -5 12


Miami Dolphins (7-7)
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @BUF W 15-10 10 TEN W 29-17
2 @MIN W 14-10 11 CHI L 0-16
3 NYJ L 23-31 12 @OAK W 33-17
4 NE L 14-41 13 CLE L 10-13
5 Bye - 14 @NYJ W 10-6
6 @GB W 23-20 15 BUF L 14-17
7 PIT L 22-23 16 DET --
8 @CIN W 22-14 17 @NE --
9 @BAL L 10-26 - - -
Dolphins Report | Statistics | Roster
MIAMI vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Henne - - 220,1
RB Ricky Williams 50 20 -
RB Ronnie Brown 60,1 - -
TE Anthony Fasano - 20 -
WR Brandon Marshall - 60,1 -
WR Davone Bess - 70 -
PK Dan Carpenter 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Dolphins are bound to undergo some transformation next year because this offense is among the worst in the league. Across the board. It cannot win home games and it cannot generate points. The running game is sub-standard and the passing game with Chad Henne is locked in as average only on a good day. This is the final chance to win a home game and like the Lions who won on the road last week, a win here erases a whole lot of bad.

QUARTERBACK: Chad Henne struggles along mostly as a game manager who passes for that standard 220 yards and one score every week. He has only thrown for six touchdowns in the last seven games and yet had ten interceptions in that time. Brandon Marshall was brought in and he's had three games where his production was better than an average tight end. Lighting up the Lions would be a nice way to end the season but nothing so far says that Henne is up to the task.

The Lions have allowed at least one score in every road game this year and yet most teams do not pass for many yards because the Lions are one of the worst teams in stopping the run. More is possible, but Henne is only reliable for the standard.

RUNNING BACKS: The combination of Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown only results in the 24th best running back unit in the league and even that is surprising. Neither runner has gained over 100 rushing yards this year and the split each week has only slightly favored Ronnie Brown who has gained over 70 rushing yards in a game just three times this year. He only has four rushing touchdowns and almost no role as a receiver.

Williams is no better with three touchdowns scored and just one game with more than 70 rushing yards. There is an excellent chance of a rushing score this week against a defense that has allowed 15 of them so far but it is truly flipping a coin as to which one will get it. In both cases, the yardage will only flirt with being average.

WIDE RECEIVERS:Brandon Marshall comes off one of his rare good games when he had 11 catches for 106 yards and a score. He is now tied with Davone Bess for the lead among wideouts with three touchdowns. The oddity here is that Marshall's other two scores came in the two games against the Jets and Darrelle Revis.

There could be a couple of nice offensive showings here and even more than one score since the Lions secondary gives away at least one per game but the Dolphins have only scored eight times with wide receivers over 14 games played. Figure Marshall as most likely but the confidence has to be low.

TIGHT ENDS: While Anthony Fasano has the team lead of four receiving touchdowns, he only has one in the last five weeks and rarely has more than 30 yards. Marginal fantasy value at best.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 27 24 19 24 11 26
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 24 29 18 6 6 13
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) MIA -3 5 -1 -18 -5 -13

WEEK 16
2010
CAR at PIT BAL at CLE TEN at KC IND at OAK
DAL at ARI DET at MIA SEA at TB NYG at GB
NE at BUF NYJ at CHI MIN at PHI SD at CIN
  SF at STL WAS at JAC HOU at DEN NO at ATL
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t