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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 16
2010
CAR at PIT BAL at CLE TEN at KC *IND at OAK
*DAL at ARI DET at MIA SEA at TB NYG at GB
*NE at BUF *NYJ at CHI *MIN at PHI *SD at CIN
*UPDATED *SF at STL *WAS at JAC *HOU at DEN NO at ATL

Prediction: SEA 13, TB 24

The Seahawks are tied for the NFC West lead and are 3-2 in road games this year. The Buccaneers are realistically out of the playoff race but at home where they have only been 3-4 this season. This is the final home game so that is a motivator for the Buccaneers.

Seattle Seahawks (6-8)
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF W 31-6 10 @ARI W 36-18
2 @DEN L 14-31 11 @NO L 19-34
3 SD W 27-20 12 KC L 24-42
4 @STL L 3-20 13 CAR W 31-14
5 Bye - 14 @SF L 21-40
6 @CHI W 23-20 15 ATL L 18-34
7 ARI W 22-10 16 @TB --
8 @OAK L 3-33 17 STL --
9 NYG L 7-41 - - -
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE at TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck - - 240,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 30 20 -
TE John Carlson - 20 -
WR Mike Williams - 90 -
WR Brandon Stokley - 50 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 30,1 -
PK Olindo Mare 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Seahawks have lost four of their last five and over the last nine games have only beaten the Cardinals and the Panthers. The rebuilding year for Pete Carroll remains a work in progress and the benching of Matt Hasselbeck last week shows how unfinished this project still is. The three last road losses have been by an average of 22 points each. That does not bode well this week.

QUARTERBACK: HC Pete Carroll confirmed Monday that Matt Hasselbeck would remain the Seahawks' starting quarterback in Week 16 after benching him in the Falcons loss last Sunday. Hasselbeck has been throwing for lots of yardage in the last three road games but rarely ever has more than one passing score. The Buccaneers have been better than most against quarterbacks so the most you should hope for here is that one touchdown and a chance for decent yardage in trash time.

RUNNING BACKS: Justin Forsett has all but disappeared by now and Marshawn Lynch is the primary back such as that means on a team ranked 30th in running back stats. Lynch has only scored six times this year and most of those came in home games against weak opponents. Lynch has not gained more than 89 rushing yards in any game this year and has been hanging out around one catch per game.

The Buccaneers are average at best against the run but the Seahawks are one of the worst. No reason to expect a step up from Lynch after a whole season of mediocre play.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Mike Williams has been the only consistently notable player of the wideouts and he has been a factor in road games where all three of his 100+ yard games have occurred. WIlliams only has one touchdown on the season but has been the primary target for Hasselbeck. Ben Obamanu was back last week after suffering a deep laceration in week 13 to his hand but he only accounted for one catch last week. Up until the Panthers game, Obomanu was on a mini-roll with three scores over a four week period.

I like the chance for a wideout score since the Bucs have allowed nine touchdowns to visiting wide receivers and this is where the Seahawks are going to have to try to keep up. But Williams rarely ever scores and Obomanu still has a injured hand so it could end up anywhere.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 25 30 15 28 20 11
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 9 23 14 12 3 6
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SEA -16 -7 -1 -16 -17 -5


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6)
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CLE W 17-14 10 CAR W 31-16
2 @CAR W 20-7 11 @SF W 21-0
3 PIT L 13-38 12 @BAL L 10-17
4 Bye - 13 ATL L 24-28
5 @CIN W 24-21 14 @WAS W 17-16
6 NO L 6-31 15 DET L 20-23
7 STL W 18-17 16 SEA --
8 @ARI W 38-35 17 @NO --
9 @ATL L 21-27 - - -
Buccaneers Report | Statistics | Roster
TAMPA BAY vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Josh Freeman - - 260,2
RB LeGarrette Blount 110,1 - -
TE Kellen Winslow Jr. - 50 -
WR Mike Williams - 90,1 -
WR Arrelious Benn - 50,1 -
WR Sammie Stroughter - 40 -
PK Conner Barth 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Buccaneers are winding down a very successful season that is almost certain to end up missing the playoffs despite a probable 9-7 record. But the team has discovered a new running back this year and the two wideouts drafted last spring have both appeared to be solid choices, especially for Mike Williams. This is the final home game and comes after losing to the visiting Lions. That has to sting since 26 other teams had beaten the road Lions. That loss to the Lions could end up as the difference maker in the playoff hunt.

QUARTERBACK: Josh Freeman remains the game manager who throws for moderate yardage and one score in virtually every game this year. But that should change this week with the Seahawks bringing in one of the weakest secondaries in the NFL. All but two road opponents passed for multiple touchdowns against them and no road opponent has ever had less than 255 passing yards on them - and that was Alex Smith two weeks ago with three scores in that game.

RUNNING BACKS: This is bound to be a great game for LeGarrette Blount who has topped 100 rushing yards in each of the last three home games and scored once in each. The Seahawks only rank 28th against the position and given up nine touchdowns to running backs in the seven home games. Blount is never used as a receiver but his yardage in home games has always been good.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Arrelious Benn has only scored twice as a rookie and really had only one game of note when he gained 122 yards on the Skins two weeks ago but he is on track to improve and remains the starting flanker. Mike Williams has been the big hit as a rookie wideout with eight touchdowns on the season and typically his best yardage efforts come in home games. Williams should be a near lock to score in this game and the other passing score should end up here as well - either doubling for WIlliams or going to another wideout. I'll credit Benn who they have wanted to get more involved lately.

TIGHT ENDS: Kellen Winslow has only scored three times this year and two were in road games. He's never reliable for more than some moderate yardage at best.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TB 17 20 26 14 29 17
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 26 28 30 9 21 24
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) TB 9 8 4 -5 -8 7

WEEK 16
2010
CAR at PIT BAL at CLE TEN at KC IND at OAK
DAL at ARI DET at MIA SEA at TB NYG at GB
NE at BUF NYJ at CHI MIN at PHI SD at CIN
  SF at STL WAS at JAC HOU at DEN NO at ATL
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