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Prediction: TEN 17, KC 27
The Titans ended their six game losing streak with a solid win over the Texans but are now back on the road where they have only been 3-3. The Chiefs have to keep winning to remain on top of the AFC West since the Chargers are only one game back. The Chiefs are 6-0 at home.
Tennessee Titans (6-8) |
| Homefield: LP Field |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
OAK |
W 38-13 |
10 |
@MIA |
L 17-29 |
| 2 |
PIT |
L 11-19 |
11 |
WAS |
L 16-19 |
| 3 |
@NYG |
W 29-10 |
12 |
@HOU |
L 0-20 |
| 4 |
DEN |
L 20-26 |
13 |
JAC |
L 6-17 |
| 5 |
@DAL |
W 34-27 |
14 |
IND |
L 28-30 |
| 6 |
@JAC |
W 30-3 |
15 |
HOU |
W 31-17 |
| 7 |
PHI |
W 37-19 |
16 |
@KC |
-- |
| 8 |
@SD |
L 25-33 |
17 |
@IND |
-- |
| 9 |
Bye |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Titans Report | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Titans have finally returned to a less drama-filled team situation and that's helped with fewer distractions while playing a three game home stretch. But the final two games are both on the road against division leaders and that's plenty to ensure a losing season.
QUARTERBACK: Kerry Collins has been the starter for the last three games but those were all at home. He scored multiple touchdowns in the last two and reached as high as 276 yards but he has never started and finished a road game this year. The Chiefs play tougher at home by far and no team has passed for more than two scores there. Expect moderate yardage and one score but there could be a second passing touchdown if Johnson doesn't reach the endzone and there is enough trash time.
RUNNING BACKS: Chris Johnson has been most productive in road games this year when he scored five of the six times they left Tennessee. He also had four games over 100 rushing yards in those weeks.
But the Chiefs have not allowed any rushing touchdowns in Kansas City this year and only Knowshon Moreno had more than 80 rushing yards there. He is a must start every week anyway but this will be one of his toughest venues all year. I am crediting him with one score that is in line with his season but it's unlikely to be a monster game or even a big game.
WIDE RECEIVERS: Randy Moss played just a handful of snaps last Sunday and has gone two weeks without any catches. He is a complete nonfactor and not worth considering for these final two games. Kenny Britt has quietly been a star this year but missing some or all of seven games cloaks just how much he accomplished. Britt scored in five straight games and even gained 225 yards and three scores against the Eagles before missing time. Last week he had six catches for 128 yards against the Texans.
The Chiefs weakest spot on the defense is against wideouts but at home they have allowed only one player to top 100 yards there and just five players had touchdowns in Kansas City. I'll credit Britt with a score but it could end up with Justin Gage or Nate Washington who both scored last week.
TIGHT ENDS: The Titans do not use the tight ends much in the passing game and Bo Scaife was a healthy inactive last week. No fantasy value here for the foreseeable future.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
TEN |
28 |
13 |
24 |
17 |
15 |
12 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
KC |
16 |
18 |
20 |
2 |
10 |
2 |
| Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) |
TEN |
-12 |
5 |
-4 |
-15 |
-5 |
-10 |
Kansas City Chiefs (9-5) |
| Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
SD |
W 21-14 |
10 |
@DEN |
L 29-49 |
| 2 |
@CLE |
W 16-14 |
11 |
ARI |
W 31-13 |
| 3 |
SF |
W 31-10 |
12 |
@SEA |
W 42-24 |
| 4 |
Bye |
- |
13 |
DEN |
W 10-6 |
| 5 |
@IND |
L 9-19 |
14 |
@SD |
L 0-31 |
| 6 |
@HOU |
L 31-35 |
15 |
@STL |
W 27-13 |
| 7 |
JAC |
W 42-20 |
16 |
TEN |
-- |
| 8 |
BUF |
W 13-10 |
17 |
OAK |
-- |
| 9 |
@OAK |
L 20-23 |
- |
- |
- |
| Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Chiefs lost badly in San Diego but as long as these last two games are wins, the division belongs to the Chiefs who are undefeated at home and only have two home games left - TEN and OAK. And that would leave the resurgent Chargers sitting at home in January.
QUARTERBACK: Matt Cassel returned to start only one week after his appendectomy and he not only passed for 184 yards and one score, he had a season high six runs for 17 yards. Cassel passed for a score in each of the last nine games but has tended towards less than 200 pass yards in most of the home games because of the success of the running game.
The Titans have been inconsistent on defense and while they held two teams to no passing scores in road games, they also gave up multiple touchdowns in the last three away venues. Expecting success in the rushing game, look for an average game from Cassel.
RUNNING BACKS: Jamaal Charles comes off his seventh game of 90+ rushing yards and he has been good for no less than 70 rushing yards in every home game this year. Last week he ran for 126 yards and a score on only 11 carries because Thomas Jones was given 22 rushes to gain 62 yards and scored once when Charles had reached the one-yard line. Charles was cramping up last week which was a reason for the imbalance but at home Jones has always been good for at least 11 carries while Charles has rarely had more than 15 runs there.
The Titans allowed only six touchdowns to running backs in road games but most teams end up with over 100 rushing yards like Arian Foster who pasted them with a season best 218 total yards in week 12. Jones has always been good for 50 yards or more in home games
WIDE RECEIVERS: Dwayne Bowe is three games removed from his seven-game scoring spree and he only has three catches for 56 yards total over the last three matchups. Granted that Cinderella has faced more challenging defenses lately but Bowe has been a big pumpkin for a troubling stretch. Chris Chambers has been more productive than Bowe. There has been no fantasy value in any other receiver this year outside of Bowe. And he faces a top ten secondary that will no doubt be planning to shut him down. Bowe has two remaining home games that should help but he's becoming a risk to rely on again.
TIGHT ENDS: Tony Moeaki has slowed down since a hot start to the season and has scored only once since week three. He remains below 50 yards almost every week. Making matters worse is that Leonard Pope never has more than one catch per week but two of those have been scores over the last three games. I like a score to the tight end but it could just as easily be Pope yet again.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
KC |
23 |
2 |
22 |
20 |
27 |
19 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
TEN |
21 |
16 |
13 |
25 |
31 |
8 |
| Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) |
KC |
-2 |
14 |
-9 |
5 |
4 |
-11 |
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