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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 17
2010
*MIA at NE OAK at KC *CHI at GB BUF at NYJ
*TB at NO TEN at IND *MIN at DET *SD at DEN
CAR at ATL JAC at HOU NYG at WAS *STL at SEA
*Updated *DAL at PHI *CIN at BAL *PIT at CLE ARI at SF

Prediction: STL 24, SEA 9

Update: Matt Hasselbeck was held out of practice until Friday when he had limited work. He has not been ruled out yet and may still play but I am not adding him back into the projections based on one limited practice.

This is the late game on Sunday and is simple enough - whoever wins gets the NFC West title and the loser sits at home. This is also a rematch of week four with the Rams won 20-3 in St. Louis. The Seahawks have lost seven of their last nine games as well and will not have Matt Hasselbeck.

St. Louis Rams (7-8)
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ARI L 13-17 10 @SF L 20-23
2 @OAK L 14-16 11 ATL L 17-34
3 WAS W 30-16 12 @DEN W 36-33
4 SEA W 20-3 13 @ARI W 19-6
5 @DET L 6-44 14 @NO L 13-31
6 SD W 20-17 15 KC L 13-27
7 @TB L 17-18 16 SF W 25-17
8 CAR W 20-10 17 @SEA --
9 Bye - - - -
Rams Report | Statistics | Roster
ST. LOUIS at SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford - - 270,2
RB Steven Jackson 80,1 30 -
WR Laurent Robinson - 20 -
WR Danny Amendola - 60 -
WR Brandon Gibson - 70,1 -
WR Danario Alexander - 30,1 -
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Rams are on the verge of a playoff run - granted it would only be one week long if it happens - but that alone is a major step up and it has to be attributed almost exclusively to Sam Bradford. Steven Jackson remains the good running back that has little support and the cast of receivers for the Rams is a never-ending procession of no-names and injury-prone sub-average receivers. But Bradford's impact cannot be over rated.

QUARTERBACK: Sam Bradford is the favorite to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year honors and it will be well deserved since his passing stats almost all rank either #1 or #2 with Peyton Manning for a rookie season. Imagine if Bradford started out with Marvin Harrison and Marshall Faulk like Manning did. Instead his best receivers have only been Danny Amendola and Brandon Gibson which sounds more like lead singers for a boy band.

Bradford passed for 289 yards and two scores in the first meeting and the Seahawks secondary has only gotten worse. Six opponents passed for three or more scores on them. Rams have to win here and Seahawks are reeling in recent games. Expect a good showing by the Wonder Rookie.

RUNNING BACKS: Steven Jackson is enjoying one of his better seasons and he has been used more as a receiver as the year goes on. Jackson ran for 109 yards and one score in the previous meeting with the Seahawks though he only had one catch for two yards. Expect another decent game here that should feature more receiving yards this time. The Seahawks defense is bad all around and Jackson has a chance to continue his recent string of four great games in a row.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Danny Amendola has been the primary wideout if only because he has remained healthy. But he only had 46 yards on five catches in the last game with the Seahawks and has not scored in five games. He also rarely has more than 60 yards in any game. Brandon Gibson had a touchdown on his three catches for 50 yards in the first meeting and he tends to show up better in road games anyway. Danario Alexander turned in a season high 99 yards on six catches last week but had no catches in the previous two games and did not play in the other Seahawks matchup.

Both scores should end up with the receivers and Gibson has already proven to be effective against them but the other score could go nearly anywhere. Alexander is a great choice if they use him and he stays healthy but that is always a big risk.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value unless Mike Hoomanawanui returns and he has been out with a high ankle sprain since week 12.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 25 28 21 16 5 20
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 30 28 30 19 21 21
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) STL 5 0 9 3 16 1


Seattle Seahawks (6-9)
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF W 31-6 10 @ARI W 36-18
2 @DEN L 14-31 11 @NO L 19-34
3 SD W 27-20 12 KC L 24-42
4 @STL L 3-20 13 CAR W 31-14
5 Bye - 14 @SF L 21-40
6 @CHI W 23-20 15 ATL L 18-34
7 ARI W 22-10 16 @TB L 15-38
8 @OAK L 3-33 17 STL --
9 NYG L 7-41 - - -
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE vs STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Charlie Whitehurst - - 140
RB Marshawn Lynch 50 - -
WR Mike Williams - 40 -
WR Golden Tate - 20 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 30 -
PK Olindo Mare 3 FG XP -

Pregame Notes: Back when the Seahawks were 4-2 it seemed certain that they would wrest back the division from the Cardinals but it has fallen apart since week seven with the only two wins coming against the Cardinals and Panthers. That's not all that hard to do. It is possible for the Seahawks to win this game and take the division title with a losing record of 7-9 but nothing about the recent play suggests the Seahawks are up to it and losing Matt Hasselbeck just makes it a done deal.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Hasselbeck injured his hip when he rushed in a score last week despite the fact that he was not touched by a defender and just apparently had his hip go out like someone in a Florida retirement home. Charlie Whitehurst will take the start and he'll be aiming to get over 113 passing yards for the first time this year. Hasselbeck passed for 191 yards and no scores in the first meeting in St. Louis but Whitehurst is a big step down. He only has one touchdown pass this year and ran in a touchdown as well.

RUNNING BACKS: Back in the first meeting, Justin Forsett ran for 65 yards on 19 carries but did not score. Marshawn Lynch showed up in the next game but has not been much of a factor for the Seahawks. The bottom line here is that this is the second worst running back unit in the NFL and the Rams are at home and above average against the position.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The only receiver with more than 30 yards in the first meeting was Brandon Stokley who is expected to miss this season finale. The first meeting was when Deion Branch was still there and Hasselbeck was playing and yet still no one had any real success against the Rams. Switching to Whitehurst is not going to help matters at all and when he played last week in Tampa Bay, the wideouts combined for only eight catches for 49 yards. No reason to start one of these players this week. Mike Williams has carved himself out a role but the change in quarterback kills even his value.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 28 31 20 28 26 14
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 14 13 21 4 26 12
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SEA -14 -18 1 -24 0 -2

WEEK 17
2010
MIA at NE OAK at KC CHI at GB BUF at NYJ
TB at NO TEN at IND MIN at DET SD at DEN
CAR at ATL JAC at HOU NYG at WAS STL at SEA
  DAL at PHI CIN at BAL PIT at CLE ARI at SF
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