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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 4:30 PM EST Seattle at Chicago, 1 PM EST
Green Bay at Atlanta, 8 PM EST NY Jets at New England 4:30 PM EST

Prediction: NYJ 9, NE 31

The Jets beat the Patriots 28-14 in New York back in week two but the Pats returned the favor with a vengeance when they pummeled the Jets 45-3 in week 13. The Jets pulled off a nice upset when they beat the Colts 17-16 last week but the Patriots are at home, at full strength and are very ready to play the Jets.

New York Jets (11-5)
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BAL L 9-10 10 @CLE W 26-20
2 NE W 28-14 11 HOU W 30-27
3 @MIA W 31-23 12 CIN W 26-10
4 @BUF W 38-14 13 @NE L 3-45
5 MIN W 29-20 14 MIA L 6-10
6 @DEN W 24-20 15 @PIT W 22-17
7 Bye - 16 @CHI L 34-38
8 GB L 0-9 17 BUF W 38-7
9 @DET W 23-20 - - -
Jets Report | Statistics | Roster
NY JETS Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Sanchez - - 180
RB Shonn Greene 70 - -
RB LaDainian Tomlinson 40 10 -
TE Dustin Keller - 40- -
WR Jerricho Cotchery - 30 -
WR Braylon Edwards - 40 -
WR Santonio Holmes - 60 -
PK Nick Folk 3 FG XP -
Pregame Notes: Huge game last week when the defense held the Colts to only 16 points and LaDainian Tomlinson shook off the rust and along with Shonn Greene made the difference in the game. It was a confidence booster for a team that lost three of the last five games which also included the devastating loss in New England. The Jets rose to the occasion and exceeded all expectations taking down the Colts. They'll need even more mojo to beat the Pats this week.

QUARTERBACK: Mark Sanchez started out the season on a hot streak and even posted three touchdowns and 220 yards on the Patriots back in week two in New York. But after week 11 he has only thrown two touchdowns over the last six games and only produced 164 yards in New England in a game there it was all trash time. Sanchez's shoulder is still an issue and even in the win in Indianapolis last week, he only had 189 passing yards and no scores. Defense and the rushing game was just good enough last week.

The Patriots passing defense has been their weakest area but it has improved late in the year and is at home. More than that, the Jets have not been passing well for a month and a half and the Patriots already know what to expect.

RUNNING BACKS: LaDainian Tomlinson turned in his best game since week four when he ran for 82 yards on 16 carries and scored twice last week in Indianapolis. He only had one touchdown over the previous nine games and had not gained more than 50 rushing yards in six weeks. Tomlinson rushed for 76 yards on 11 carries in the first meeting with the Patriots and was held to only 47 yards on ten carries in the second meeting.

Shonn Greene also had a big game last week when he rushed for 70 yards on 19 carries. Greene only had 52 yards on 15 runs in the first meeting with the Patriots and later 64 yards on 13 carries in New England. Greene has been the more effective runner against the Patriots so far.

The Patriots already held the Jets backfield to marginal total yardage and no scores twice this year and have only allowed two rushing touchdowns by visiting runners this year. None in the last five games. Look for the duo to return to their normal stats after a nice uptick last week that won the game.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The Jets wide receivers have seen a depressed amount of catches in the last six weeks as Sanchez works with a sore shoulder and the team just rarely scores via the pass. In the last meeting in New England, Braylon Edwards only had two catches for 39 yards and Jerricho Cotchery was held to only nine yards on two receptions. Santonio Holmes was the best at seven receptions for 72 yards but none scored or even had a big game despite being smeared on the scoreboard.

Sanchez is no better and the Patriots may be.

TIGHT ENDS: Dustin Keller enjoyed his most productive game of the year when he caught seven passes for 115 yards and one score against the visiting Patriots in week two but later only produced 27 yards on three receptions in New England.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 21 11 13 19 7 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 29 20 28 8 5 1
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-)   8 9 15 -11 -2 -6

New England Patriots (14-2)
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN W 38-24 10 @PIT W 39-26
2 @NYJ L 14-28 11 IND W 31-28
3 BUF W 38-30 12 @DET W 45-24
4 @MIA W 41-14 13 NYJ W 45-3
5 Bye - 14 @CHI W 36-7
6 BAL W 23-20 15 GB W 31-27
7 @SD W 23-20 16 @BUF W 34-3
8 MIN W 28-18 17 MIA W 38-7
9 @CLE L 14-34 - - -
Patriots Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ENGLAND Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady - - 280,3
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis 50,1 - -
RB Danny Woodhead 30 40 -
TE Aaron Hernandez - 40,1 -
TE Rob Gronkowski - 20 -
WR Brandon Tate - 30 -
WR Deion Branch - 50,1 -
WR Wes Welker - 80,1 -
PK Shayne Graham 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Patriots are not only the #1 seed in the AFC, they are also considered as the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl and are on an eight game winning streak that has never seen them fail to score at least 31 points. The Patriots also held four of the last five opponents to seven points or less. This is The Machine again and the one to beat.

QUARTERBACK: Tom Brady had one of his best games of the year when he passed for 326 yards and four touchdowns on the visiting Jets in week 13. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in each of the last nine games and has not thrown an interception since week six. The Jets have one of the best rushing defenses in the league and that only prompts Brady to throw more.

The Jets can take out any receiver they want and that harms most quarterbacks but in the complicated scheme of the Patriots, there really is no one receiver that matters. This game will be cold but should be dry and not that windy.

RUNNING BACKS: BenJarvus Green-Ellis has remained delightfully consistent in one aspect - he always scores at least once in every home game. The last seven in a row all have at least one if not two and it was doubling up on touchdowns in week 13 when Green-Ellis ran for 72 yards on 18 carries against the visiting Jets. His yardage is typically good in every game anyway but those scores are somewhat automatic so far.

Danny Woodhead only ran for 11 yards on two runs in the last Jets game but he added 104 yards on just four catches for a season best game as a receiver.

The Jets won't be as bad as last time but there is no reason to not expect Green-Ellis to score once in this game.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The last meeting saw all three wide receivers score one touchdown. Brandon Tate (1-4), Deion Branch (3-64) and Wes Welker (7-80) all scored and Darrelle Revis did play in the game. Both Welker and Randy Moss scored in the first meeting with the Patriots though Revis was not healthy that week. Players do not have big games for the Patriots much anymore but combined they keep topping 30 points every week. Both Branch and Welker have a decent shot at a score again this week. There is always a chance that Revis shuts down one player but he cannot shut them all down.

TIGHT ENDS: The tight ends have been highly productive for the Patriots - #1 in the NFL with a total of 18 touchdowns. And to make matters even less predictable, Alge Crumpler scored in each of the last two games played. Rob Gronkowski tied for the highest scoring tight end in the league this year though he was held to only one catch for 12 yards against the Jets this year. Aaron Hernandez turned in 51 yards on three catches and scored once in the last meeting with the Jets. I like a score here but it could end up with one of three players.

Gaining Fantasy Points NE 8 6 14 1 6 1
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 17 2 21 12 4 3
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-)   9 -4 7 11 -2 2

Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 4:30 PM EST Seattle at Chicago, 1 PM EST
Green Bay at Atlanta, 8 PM EST NY Jets at New England 4:30 PM EST
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