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Ease of Schedule 2.0 - Running Backs
David Dorey
April 20, 2011
 
2010 Rushing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
20 Best Matchups 20 Worst Matchups
DEN 29.5 @STL 15.6
DET 27.4 @KC 14.9
ARI 25.8 NYJ 14.7
BUF 25.7 BAL 14.7
HOU 25.4 MIA 14.5
IND 23.9 @NYG 14.5
JAC 23.6 @TEN 14.5
@ARI 23.3 SF 14.3
CAR 23.2 DAL 14.2
KC 22.7 NYG 14.2
OAK 22.2 @GB 14.1
@CAR 21.8 GB 13.5
SEA 21.3 @SD 13.3
TEN 21.2 @BAL 12.3
@DEN 21.1 CHI 12.2
@TB 20.8 @ATL 11.9
@BUF 20.6 @MIN 11.1
NO 20.1 PIT 10.2
@SEA 20.0 @PIT 10.2
TB 19.8 @NYJ 9.3

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR

The Ease of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst match-ups for teams and awarding then either a good or a bad game - or just neutral.

In making this as accurate as can be using stats from the previous season, they are related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What the Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 20 matchups were used.

This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year - hands down. While regular season EOS will not split them out because of a lack of adequate sample size, the preseason EOS considered venue in addition to the defense - it makes a difference. This is more accurate than any other you will find.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
  EOS Good Bad
ATL 5 7 2
TEN 4 8 4
CAR 3 6 3
CHI 3 6 3
IND 2 6 4
MIN 1 7 6
DAL 1 5 4
HOU 1 5 4
TB 0 6 6
MIA 0 5 5
NYJ 0 5 5
SF 0 5 5
STL 0 5 5
PIT 0 4 4
CIN -1 6 7
JAC -1 5 6
SD -1 5 6
CLE -1 4 5
DET -1 4 5
NYG -1 3 4
NO -2 6 8
GB -2 5 7
OAK -2 5 7
NE -3 4 7
WAS -3 4 7
KC -3 3 6
BAL -4 4 8
BUF -4 3 7
DEN -5 3 8
SEA -5 1 6
PHI -6 3 9
ARI -6 2 8
Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
  EOS Good Bad
NYG 3 3 0
ATL 2 3 1
CIN 2 3 1
GB 2 3 1
PIT 2 3 1
TB 2 3 1
CAR 1 3 2
JAC 1 3 2
MIN 1 3 2
NO 1 3 2
IND 1 2 1
OAK 1 2 1
SF 1 2 1
HOU 0 2 2
SD 0 2 2
CHI 0 1 1
ARI -1 2 3
DET -1 2 3
BUF -1 1 2
CLE -1 1 2
DAL -1 1 2
KC -1 1 2
NE -1 1 2
DEN -2 1 3
MIA -2 1 3
NYJ -2 1 3
SEA -2 1 3
TEN -2 1 3
WAS -2 1 3
PHI -3 1 4
BAL -4 1 5
STL -4 0 4
Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  EOS Good Bad
ATL 2 2 0
TEN 2 2 0
CHI 1 2 1
CIN 1 2 1
IND 1 2 1
SF 1 2 1
CAR 1 1 0
HOU 1 1 0
MIA 1 1 0
MIN 1 1 0
BAL 0 1 1
DAL 0 1 1
DEN 0 1 1
NE 0 1 1
NYJ 0 1 1
SD 0 1 1
STL 0 1 1
TB 0 1 1
DET 0 0 0
PIT 0 0 0
BUF -1 1 2
CLE -1 1 2
GB -1 1 2
JAC -1 1 2
KC -1 1 2
OAK -1 1 2
ARI -1 0 1
NYG -1 0 1
PHI -1 0 1
SEA -1 0 1
WAS -1 0 1
NO -2 0 2

Week - By - Week

TM 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI CAR @WAS @SEA NYG @MIN bye PIT @BAL STL @PHI @SF @STL DAL SF CLE @CIN
ATL @CHI PHI @TB @SEA GB CAR @DET bye @IND NO TEN MIN @HOU @CAR JAC @NO
BAL PIT @TEN @STL NYJ bye HOU @JAC ARI @PIT @SEA CIN SF @CLE IND @SD CLE
BUF @KC OAK NE @CIN PHI @NYG bye WAS NYJ @DAL @MIA @NYJ TEN @SD MIA DEN
CAR @ARI GB JAC @CHI NO @ATL WAS MIN bye TEN @DET @IND @TB ATL @HOU TB
CHI ATL @NO GB CAR @DET MIN @TB bye @PHI DET SD @OAK KC @DEN SEA @GB
CIN @CLE @DEN SF BUF @JAC IND bye @SEA @TEN PIT @BAL CLE @PIT HOU @STL ARI
CLE CIN @IND MIA TEN bye @OAK SEA @SF @HOU STL JAC @CIN BAL @PIT @ARI @BAL
DAL @NYJ @SF WAS DET bye @NE STL @PHI SEA BUF @WAS MIA @ARI NYG @TB PHI
DEN OAK CIN @TEN @GB SD bye @MIA DET @OAK @KC NYJ @SD @MIN CHI NE @BUF
DET @TB KC @MIN @DAL CHI SF ATL @DEN bye @CHI CAR GB @NO MIN @OAK SD
GB NO @CAR @CHI DEN @ATL STL @MIN bye @SD MIN TB @DET @NYG OAK @KC CHI
HOU IND @MIA @NO PIT OAK @BAL @TEN JAC CLE @TB bye @JAC ATL @CIN CAR @IND
IND @HOU CLE PIT @TB KC @CIN @NO @TEN ATL JAC bye CAR @NE @BAL TEN HOU
JAC TEN @NYJ @CAR NO CIN @PIT BAL @HOU bye @IND @CLE HOU SD TB @ATL @TEN
KC BUF @DET @SD MIN @IND bye @OAK SD MIA DEN @NE PIT @CHI @NYJ GB OAK
MIA NE HOU @CLE @SD bye @NYJ DEN @NYG @KC WAS BUF @DAL OAK PHI @BUF @NE
MIN @SD TB DET @KC ARI @CHI GB @CAR bye @GB OAK @ATL DEN @DET NO @WAS
NE @MIA SD @BUF @OAK NYJ DAL bye @PIT NYG @NYJ KC @PHI IND @WAS @DEN MIA
NO @GB CHI HOU @JAC @CAR @TB IND @STL TB @ATL bye NYG DET @TEN @MIN ATL
NYG @WAS STL @PHI @ARI SEA BUF bye MIA @NE @SF PHI @NO GB @DAL WAS @NYJ
NYJ DAL JAC @OAK @BAL @NE MIA SD bye @BUF NE @DEN BUF @WAS KC @PHI NYG
OAK @DEN @BUF NYJ NE @HOU CLE KC bye DEN @SD @MIN CHI @MIA @GB DET @KC
PHI @STL @ATL NYG SF @BUF @WAS bye DAL CHI ARI @NYG NE @SEA @MIA NYJ @DAL
PIT @BAL SEA @IND @HOU TEN JAC @ARI NE BAL @CIN bye @KC CIN CLE @SF STL
SD MIN @NE KC MIA @DEN bye @NYJ @KC GB OAK @CHI DEN @JAC BUF BAL @DET
SEA @SF @PIT ARI ATL @NYG bye @CLE CIN @DAL BAL @STL WAS PHI STL @CHI SF
SF SEA DAL @CIN @PHI TB @DET bye CLE @WAS NYG ARI @BAL STL @ARI PIT @SEA
STL PHI @NYG BAL WAS bye @GB @DAL NO @ARI @CLE SEA ARI @SF @SEA CIN @PIT
TB DET @MIN ATL IND @SF NO CHI bye @NO HOU @GB @TEN CAR @JAC DAL @CAR
TEN @JAC BAL DEN @CLE @PIT bye HOU IND CIN @CAR @ATL TB @BUF NO @IND JAC
WAS NYG ARI @DAL @STL bye PHI @CAR @BUF SF @MIA DAL @SEA NYJ NE @NYG MIN


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