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Ease of Schedule 2.0 - Running Backs
David Dorey April 20, 2011	Print

2010 Rushing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game

20 Best Matchups		20 Worst Matchups
DEN	29.5	@STL	15.6
DET	27.4	@KC	14.9
ARI	25.8	NYJ	14.7
BUF	25.7	BAL	14.7
HOU	25.4	MIA	14.5
IND	23.9	@NYG	14.5
JAC	23.6	@TEN	14.5
@ARI	23.3	SF	14.3
CAR	23.2	DAL	14.2
KC	22.7	NYG	14.2
OAK	22.2	@GB	14.1
@CAR	21.8	GB	13.5
SEA	21.3	@SD	13.3
TEN	21.2	@BAL	12.3
@DEN	21.1	CHI	12.2
@TB	20.8	@ATL	11.9
@BUF	20.6	@MIN	11.1
NO	20.1	PIT	10.2
@SEA	20.0	@PIT	10.2
TB	19.8	@NYJ	9.3

Quarterbacks | Running Backs | RB w/ PPR | Receivers | RCV w/ PPR

The Ease of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst match-ups for teams and awarding then either a good or a bad game - or just neutral.

In making this as accurate as can be using stats from the previous season, they are related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What the Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 20 matchups were used.

This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year - hands down. While regular season EOS will not split them out because of a lack of adequate sample size, the preseason EOS considered venue in addition to the defense - it makes a difference. This is more accurate than any other you will find.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
	EOS	Good	Bad
ATL	5	7	2
TEN	4	8	4
CAR	3	6	3
CHI	3	6	3
IND	2	6	4
MIN	1	7	6
DAL	1	5	4
HOU	1	5	4
TB	0	6	6
MIA	0	5	5
NYJ	0	5	5
SF	0	5	5
STL	0	5	5
PIT	0	4	4
CIN	-1	6	7
JAC	-1	5	6
SD	-1	5	6
CLE	-1	4	5
DET	-1	4	5
NYG	-1	3	4
NO	-2	6	8
GB	-2	5	7
OAK	-2	5	7
NE	-3	4	7
WAS	-3	4	7
KC	-3	3	6
BAL	-4	4	8
BUF	-4	3	7
DEN	-5	3	8
SEA	-5	1	6
PHI	-6	3	9
ARI	-6	2	8

Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
	EOS	Good	Bad
NYG	3	3	0
ATL	2	3	1
CIN	2	3	1
GB	2	3	1
PIT	2	3	1
TB	2	3	1
CAR	1	3	2
JAC	1	3	2
MIN	1	3	2
NO	1	3	2
IND	1	2	1
OAK	1	2	1
SF	1	2	1
HOU	0	2	2
SD	0	2	2
CHI	0	1	1
ARI	-1	2	3
DET	-1	2	3
BUF	-1	1	2
CLE	-1	1	2
DAL	-1	1	2
KC	-1	1	2
NE	-1	1	2
DEN	-2	1	3
MIA	-2	1	3
NYJ	-2	1	3
SEA	-2	1	3
TEN	-2	1	3
WAS	-2	1	3
PHI	-3	1	4
BAL	-4	1	5
STL	-4	0	4

Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
	EOS	Good	Bad
ATL	2	2	0
TEN	2	2	0
CHI	1	2	1
CIN	1	2	1
IND	1	2	1
SF	1	2	1
CAR	1	1	0
HOU	1	1	0
MIA	1	1	0
MIN	1	1	0
BAL	0	1	1
DAL	0	1	1
DEN	0	1	1
NE	0	1	1
NYJ	0	1	1
SD	0	1	1
STL	0	1	1
TB	0	1	1
DET	0	0	0
PIT	0	0	0
BUF	-1	1	2
CLE	-1	1	2
GB	-1	1	2
JAC	-1	1	2
KC	-1	1	2
OAK	-1	1	2
ARI	-1	0	1
NYG	-1	0	1
PHI	-1	0	1
SEA	-1	0	1
WAS	-1	0	1
NO	-2	0	2

Week - By - Week

TM	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
ARI	CAR	@WAS	@SEA	NYG	@MIN	bye	PIT	@BAL	STL	@PHI	@SF	@STL	DAL	SF	CLE	@CIN
ATL	@CHI	PHI	@TB	@SEA	GB	CAR	@DET	bye	@IND	NO	TEN	MIN	@HOU	@CAR	JAC	@NO
BAL	PIT	@TEN	@STL	NYJ	bye	HOU	@JAC	ARI	@PIT	@SEA	CIN	SF	@CLE	IND	@SD	CLE
BUF	@KC	OAK	NE	@CIN	PHI	@NYG	bye	WAS	NYJ	@DAL	@MIA	@NYJ	TEN	@SD	MIA	DEN
CAR	@ARI	GB	JAC	@CHI	NO	@ATL	WAS	MIN	bye	TEN	@DET	@IND	@TB	ATL	@HOU	TB
CHI	ATL	@NO	GB	CAR	@DET	MIN	@TB	bye	@PHI	DET	SD	@OAK	KC	@DEN	SEA	@GB
CIN	@CLE	@DEN	SF	BUF	@JAC	IND	bye	@SEA	@TEN	PIT	@BAL	CLE	@PIT	HOU	@STL	ARI
CLE	CIN	@IND	MIA	TEN	bye	@OAK	SEA	@SF	@HOU	STL	JAC	@CIN	BAL	@PIT	@ARI	@BAL
DAL	@NYJ	@SF	WAS	DET	bye	@NE	STL	@PHI	SEA	BUF	@WAS	MIA	@ARI	NYG	@TB	PHI
DEN	OAK	CIN	@TEN	@GB	SD	bye	@MIA	DET	@OAK	@KC	NYJ	@SD	@MIN	CHI	NE	@BUF
DET	@TB	KC	@MIN	@DAL	CHI	SF	ATL	@DEN	bye	@CHI	CAR	GB	@NO	MIN	@OAK	SD
GB	NO	@CAR	@CHI	DEN	@ATL	STL	@MIN	bye	@SD	MIN	TB	@DET	@NYG	OAK	@KC	CHI
HOU	IND	@MIA	@NO	PIT	OAK	@BAL	@TEN	JAC	CLE	@TB	bye	@JAC	ATL	@CIN	CAR	@IND
IND	@HOU	CLE	PIT	@TB	KC	@CIN	@NO	@TEN	ATL	JAC	bye	CAR	@NE	@BAL	TEN	HOU
JAC	TEN	@NYJ	@CAR	NO	CIN	@PIT	BAL	@HOU	bye	@IND	@CLE	HOU	SD	TB	@ATL	@TEN
KC	BUF	@DET	@SD	MIN	@IND	bye	@OAK	SD	MIA	DEN	@NE	PIT	@CHI	@NYJ	GB	OAK
MIA	NE	HOU	@CLE	@SD	bye	@NYJ	DEN	@NYG	@KC	WAS	BUF	@DAL	OAK	PHI	@BUF	@NE
MIN	@SD	TB	DET	@KC	ARI	@CHI	GB	@CAR	bye	@GB	OAK	@ATL	DEN	@DET	NO	@WAS
NE	@MIA	SD	@BUF	@OAK	NYJ	DAL	bye	@PIT	NYG	@NYJ	KC	@PHI	IND	@WAS	@DEN	MIA
NO	@GB	CHI	HOU	@JAC	@CAR	@TB	IND	@STL	TB	@ATL	bye	NYG	DET	@TEN	@MIN	ATL
NYG	@WAS	STL	@PHI	@ARI	SEA	BUF	bye	MIA	@NE	@SF	PHI	@NO	GB	@DAL	WAS	@NYJ
NYJ	DAL	JAC	@OAK	@BAL	@NE	MIA	SD	bye	@BUF	NE	@DEN	BUF	@WAS	KC	@PHI	NYG
OAK	@DEN	@BUF	NYJ	NE	@HOU	CLE	KC	bye	DEN	@SD	@MIN	CHI	@MIA	@GB	DET	@KC
PHI	@STL	@ATL	NYG	SF	@BUF	@WAS	bye	DAL	CHI	ARI	@NYG	NE	@SEA	@MIA	NYJ	@DAL
PIT	@BAL	SEA	@IND	@HOU	TEN	JAC	@ARI	NE	BAL	@CIN	bye	@KC	CIN	CLE	@SF	STL
SD	MIN	@NE	KC	MIA	@DEN	bye	@NYJ	@KC	GB	OAK	@CHI	DEN	@JAC	BUF	BAL	@DET
SEA	@SF	@PIT	ARI	ATL	@NYG	bye	@CLE	CIN	@DAL	BAL	@STL	WAS	PHI	STL	@CHI	SF
SF	SEA	DAL	@CIN	@PHI	TB	@DET	bye	CLE	@WAS	NYG	ARI	@BAL	STL	@ARI	PIT	@SEA
STL	PHI	@NYG	BAL	WAS	bye	@GB	@DAL	NO	@ARI	@CLE	SEA	ARI	@SF	@SEA	CIN	@PIT
TB	DET	@MIN	ATL	IND	@SF	NO	CHI	bye	@NO	HOU	@GB	@TEN	CAR	@JAC	DAL	@CAR
TEN	@JAC	BAL	DEN	@CLE	@PIT	bye	HOU	IND	CIN	@CAR	@ATL	TB	@BUF	NO	@IND	JAC
WAS	NYG	ARI	@DAL	@STL	bye	PHI	@CAR	@BUF	SF	@MIA	DAL	@SEA	NYJ	NE	@NYG	MIN

COMMENTS (page 1 of 2)

DMD

Posted Aug 24, 2011 1:56am EDT

There is nothing to update. The schedule remains the same and the values taken from last season remain the same.

Scotty J

Posted Aug 24, 2011 1:11am EDT

Written April 20?? Hey guys, how about an update? A couple things changed in the NFL since then.

texasraider

Posted Aug 17, 2011 3:29pm EDT

How about adding week 17 to the ease of schedule

S. Flatt

Posted Aug 8, 2011 8:06am EDT

Will the Schedule Swing data be published this year? (or this week, becasue my draft is Saturday!)

I found that to be extremely helpful last year.
Thanks

John U. Miller

Posted Jul 27, 2011 12:51am EDT

SOS matchups.... "they are related to both team and venue." Nice.
This is an excellent piece and I know it took hours and hours to put together. Everybody should share-tweet it....
Thanks DMD
JUM

David Dorey

Posted Jul 25, 2011 2:00am EDT

Week 17 is excluded because about 90%+ of all leagues do not use that week so I did not want it to affect the EOS number.

maulerff

Posted Jul 24, 2011 5:37pm EDT

so where did week 17 go?

MaineSkin

Posted Jul 1, 2011 9:49pm EDT

Ease of schedule is so underrated its sickening. Last year I made draft decisions strictly on ease and everyone worked out during the year. When I had a #1 or #2 on bye, I knew or had a guy ready from ease of schedule.

Brentastic

Posted Jun 15, 2011 11:10am EDT

DMD - when I copy/paste into Excel, the red boxes come out yellow. Green and white are fine.

Dee Sugs

Posted Apr 26, 2011 7:59am EDT

Atlantas week 14 matchup should be green...just a heads up! THEHUDDLE IS DA BOMB!

David Dorey

Posted Apr 22, 2011 4:16pm EDT

I have always made bye weeks as bad since you get no points that week which is as bad as it gets.

Broken Fibulas

Posted Apr 22, 2011 11:36am EDT

Why is it a bye is added into the bad matchup category? Its pretty sad to lose to a bye team

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