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The Ease of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst match-ups for teams and awarding then either a good or a bad game - or just neutral.

In making this as accurate as can be using stats from the previous season, they are related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What the Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 20 matchups were used.

This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year - hands down. While regular season EOS will not split them out because of a lack of adequate sample size, the preseason EOS considered venue in addition to the defense - it makes a difference. This is more accurate than any other you will find.

This version combines both tight end and wide receivers since their combination is an accurate reflection of how defenses are preventing passing fantasy points. Taken separately is far less accurate because tight ends are de facto wideouts on a few teams and tight end results are highly skewed against those few teams that had to face Jason Witten, Dallas Clark or Antonio Gates. This version also includes one point per reception from last year's stats.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Week - By - Week

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Corey P.

Posted Sep 26, 2011 11:37am EDT

Why are there two different ratings for the same team? Example Detroit vs Chicago? Detroit at HOME against CHI is "bad" but ... Detroit AT Chicago is "GOOD" ,,, why is that?

My thinking is that it should be quite the opposite ...thanks!

Randy B.

Posted Aug 25, 2011 9:27am EDT

"I think your figuring is way off. How can you say that on Houstons schedule that playing OAK @ home is a bad game for PPR for Houston and playing Balt awat is a good game for Houston. Way Way off and I'm an Oakland fan. You lost all cred with me on some of these picks. "

Obviously a comment from someone who isn't quite an expert in fantasy football nor a football expert. These numbers make absolute sense. Houston playing at home vs. Oak, which has not only the home field advantage against them but a weak running game does not bode well for passing stats. They can be run all over and if they're behind, the home team, especially one with a good running game like Houston, will take advantage of having the lead and run the ball to use up the clock. Likewise, Baltimore has a very stout run defense at home, and if you can't run and must pass because you're behind, your passing stats will be better. Duh!

DMD

Posted Aug 24, 2011 4:24pm EDT

I am not subjectively doing anything. The stats of allowed fantasy points from last year are what they are. Not sure what you want to see, but above is what actually happened in real fantasy football terms last season.

NM Raiders

Posted Aug 24, 2011 4:04pm EDT

I think your figuring is way off. How can you say that on Houstons schedule that playing OAK @ home is a bad game for PPR for Houston and playing Balt awat is a good game for Houston. Way Way off and I'm an Oakland fan. You lost all cred with me on some of these picks.

James

Posted Aug 1, 2011 6:31pm EDT

This analysis is impressive. Thanks for taking the time to do this for us fans!

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