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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections |  Projections by Team | Game Predictions Summary

NO at GB (thu) CIN at CLE * MIN at SD * SEA at SF
* ATL at CHI * DAL at NYJ * NYG at WAS TEN at JAC
* BUF at KC DET at TB PHI at STL * NE at MIA (mon)
*updated CAR at ARI * IND at HOU PIT at BAL OAK at DEN (mon)

Prediction: NYG 20, WAS 13

Players to Watch: Tim Hightower, Roy Helu, Fred Davis

Update: Chris Cooley was limited in all practices and is not a reliable start this week. He has not been ruled out yet and is listed as questionable but is still not over his knee problem.

These games are usually close but almost always go to the Giants - nine of the last ten matchups in fact. It has been 2007 since the Redskins scored more than 17 points against the Giants. But both teams are sporting the same coaches and schemes from last year. And yet only the Skins really have new players in new places.

The Giants swept the Redskins in 2010, winning 31-7 at home and later 17-14 in Washington in the season finale.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @WAS - 10 @SF -
2 STL - 11 PHI -
3 @PHI - 12 @NO -
4 @ARI - 13 GB -
5 SEA - 14 @DAL -
6 BUF - 15 WAS -
7 Bye - 16 @NYJ -
8 MIA - 17 DAL -
9 @NE - - - -
Giants Report | Statistics | Roster
NY GIANTS at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning - - 190,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 40,1 - -
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 50 20 -
TE Travis Beckum - 10 -
WR Victor Cruz - 30 -
WR Hakeem Nicks - 70 -
WR Mario Manningham - 50,1 -
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Giants had a sloppy preseason but Steve Smith is the only starter not to make it back this year. And with Mario Manningham around that should not be too big of an issue. After flirting with an unresponsive free agency, Ahmad Bradshaw returned home and made this much the same offense of 2010 and before. Kevin Boss also left but that's a nonfactor in fantasy terms anyway.

QUARTERBACK: At least Eli Manning doesn't have anything to learn this summer - same scheme, coaches and players. There were reports that Manning was not as crisp and accurate in camp as he normally would be but that should not be an issue for a team that would be hurt less than most by the lockout. Manning passed for 243 yards and one score in Washington last year.

The intended return to a more dominant rushing game should temper Manning's stats this year.

RUNNING BACKS: No one else bit on the 25-year old free agent this year and Ahmad Bradshaw returns for his fifth season in New York. he comes off a career best 1235 rush yards and 314 receiving yards with eight scores but that is likely to take a dip downward with Brandon Jacobs expected to return to a heavier load this year. That makes Bradshaw a marginal back in a PPR league and Jacobs a factor when there are no reception points.

The Giants only rushed for 71 yards on 28 carries in Washington last year though Jacobs scored once.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Hakeem Nicks had a nice breakout last year when he ended with 79-1052 and 11 touchdowns in 13 games played. The third-year player actually never played against the Redskins last year since both meetings happened in his three absences. Mario Manningham takes the #2 spot that he picked up in week 10 last season when Steve Smith was injured. Manningham scored six times in the last seven weeks and topped 100 yards three times.In the season finale in Washington, Manningham turned in four catches for 101 yards and one score. He earlier only had 36 yards on five catches when the Redskins visited New York. Victor Cruz finally breaks in as the #3 wideout who you will never need to acquire.

Almost all of the ten wideout scores allowed in Washington last year went to the #2 guy. Nicks will have the yardage but history likes Manningham to get the score.

TIGHT ENDS: Travis Beckum takes over for the departed Kevin Boss but there is no reason to expect any more fantasy action coming to this position. Beckum won't even rank as a bye week replacement for your team.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 11 5 4 15 23 11
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 30 22 26 20 23 26

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NYG - 10 @MIA -
2 ARI - 11 DAL -
3 @DAL - 12 @SEA -
4 @STL - 13 NYJ -
5 Bye - 14 NE -
6 PHI - 15 @NYG -
7 @CAR - 16 MIN -
8 @BUF - 17 @PHI -
9 SF -      
Redskins Report | Statistics | Roster
WASHINGTON vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Rex Grossman - - 210,1
RB Tim Hightower 60 20 -
RB Roy Helu 30 - -
TE Fred Davis - 20,1 -
TE Chris Cooley - 20 -
WR Santana Moss - 70 -
WR Anthony Armstrong - 30 -
WR Jabbar Gaffney - 50 -
PK Graham Gano 2 FG 1 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Redskins retain the same coaching staff and scheme from last year but there's been major personnel changes to digest and integrate. Outside of Santana Moss, this may be an entirely different set of players and that is worth watching for fantasy value that could not be known in the summer. This remains Mike Shanahan's team and it appears no less confusing than any other he has assembled.

QUARTERBACK: HC Mike Shanahan has a coin that says John Beck on one side and Rex Grossman on the other. For week one, Grossman came up heads. But there is no certainty that will stay in place for week two or even quarter two. The fact that the two have not differentiated themselves much is probably more telling than anything.

Grossman passed for 336 yards and two scores on the visiting Giants last year.

RUNNING BACKS: And here is where the fun begins. Ryan Torain is the #3 back on the depth chart and takes a back seat if only because he cannot ever stay healthy. Tim Hightower came over from the Cardinals and was impressive in the preseason. Enough so that he'll likely be the primary back for now until he fumbles as he has in the past and Shanahan just moves down the list. Roy Helu was also impressive in preseason play and should make some impact but the thing to watch is just who gets how much work in this offense. The worst ending will be a rotation that strips the backfield of any significant fantasy value.

Ryan Torain rushed for 61 yards on 18 carries as the only rusher against the Giants last season.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Santana Moss comes off his second best season of his career when he went 93-1115 and scored six times. He had never caught more than 83 passes in any other season. Moss was undrafted in many leagues despite being fantasy starter in 2010. This year Jabbar Gaffney will be manning the flanker that allowed the rookie Anthony Armstrong to catch 44 passed for 871 yards and three scores. Armstrong remains as the #3 this year but has no real fantasy value. This offense is not likely to pass much but this is a better set of wideouts than 2010.

Moss caught nine passes for 74 yards versus the Giants last year. Anthony Armstrong gained 84 yards on two receptions with one score in that game.

TIGHT ENDS: Chris Cooley has been dealing with a balky knee that will likely cause him pain all season long. His surgically repaired knee has had swelling problems and could be a big factor this year. Cooley says he will play in week one though the coaching staff is noncommittal. Fred Davis has been lighting it up in camp and preseason and could end up the player to own here if Cooley continues to be limited. Davis really shined in 2009 when he subbed for Cooley and scored five times in the final six games of that season.

Cooley accounted for five catches and 53 yards versus the visiting Giants last time while Fred Davis scored once on his two short catches.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 14 23 25 3 27 22
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 23 6 18 14 13 23

NO at GB (thu) CIN at CLE MIN at SD SEA at SF
BUF at KC DET at TB PHI at STL NE at MIA (mon)
  CAR at ARI IND at HOU PIT at BAL OAK at DEN (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t