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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 2
2011
ARI at WAS CLE at IND * JAC at NYJ SD at NE
BAL at TEN * DAL at SF * KC at DET SEA at PIT
* CHI at NO GB at CAR * OAK at BUF TB at MIN
*updated * CIN at DEN * HOU at MIA PHI at ATL * STL at NYG (mon)

Prediction: BAL 31, TEN 13

Players to Watch: Ed Dickson, Lee Evans, Nate Washington

The Ravens were the most impressive team in week one since they came out and throttled the AFC Champion Steelers with a stifling defense that caused seven turnovers. Ray Rice looks "that much better" with his new lead blocker Vonte Leach and at least for one night, the Ravens defense looked awe-inspiring. Less so for the Titans last week who lost out a low scoring battle in Jacksonville in a game that featured Chris Johnson playing like he had not touched a football since last year. Oh wait...

This would be a big upset for the Titans. Too big.

Baltimore Ravens
Homefield: M&T Bank Stadium
Sport Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PIT 35-7 10 @SEA -
2 @TEN - 11 CIN -
3 @STL - 12 SF -
4 NYJ - 13 @CLE -
5 Bye - 14 IND -
6 HOU - 15 @SD -
7 @JAC - 16 CLE -
8 ARI - 17 @CIN -
9 @PIT -   - -
Ravens Report | Statistics | Roster
BALTIMORE at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Joe Flacco - - 240,1
RB Ray Rice 120,2 30 -
TE Ed Dickson - 30,1 -
WR Anquan Boldin - 70 -
WR Lee Evans - 50 -
PK Billy Cundiff 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: Pundits keep wondering when Joe Flacco is going to take the next step up - looks like maybe this year. The Ravens defense is scary good so far and the Ravens rushing attack was dominating over a usually top notch Steeler defense. The Ravens may not be tested for a few more weeks until they face off against the Jets and even that will be a home game. Their next best challenge is likely the rematch in Pittsburgh in week nine.

I like a defensive score in this game.

QUARTERBACK: Nothing wrong with Joe Flacco who engineered nearly flawless drives in the opener over the Steelers. He passed for 224 yards and three touchdowns with no turnovers and only one sack. Now he faces a defense that has only gone against Luke McCown. The limiting factor on Flacco this week is how much rushing they want to do in this game that will no doubt be steered by defense and the run. He is a safe pick to be sure, but there will be no reason why Flacco has to push up his passing stats to win this game.

RUNNING BACKS: It is not enough that Ray Rice had a good game, it was that he racked up 107 yards on 19 carries and scored once on the Steelers. He added 42 yards on four catches and scored a second time as well. Rice looked like he was in mid-season form running through big holes and then making the most out of every run. The Ravens were so dominating last week that Ricky Williams had 12 carries and even he gained 63 yards. The offensive line looks great, Vonte Leach is as good as expected and Rice is making a whole lot of fantasy owners happy.

The Titans allowed Maurice Jones-Drew to gain 97 yards and a score on 24 carries. Expect Rice to once again be at the top of rushing performances for the week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Anquan Boldin only had four catches last week but gained 74 yards and scored once. He was the only wideout to record a catch as Lee Evans whiffed on all four of his pass targets. It was a blow out game though and there was no need to press the secondary of the Steelers when everything else was working well. Boldin remains a safe play but Evans obviously needs to catch some balls this week. In future games, Evans needs to be a factor to help the Ravens win so they should make an effort to connect with him.

TIGHT ENDS: With Todd Heap gone, Ed Dickson deserves a watch this week after a surprising 59 yards and a touchdown on five catches last week. He was the second most targeted receiver and even Dennis Pitta recorded two receptions for 45 yards. How much of that is related to the Steelers and not scheme remains to be seen. But if Dickson has another nice game here, then he needs to be off every waiver wire. This week should be a better indicator.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 15 2 24 4 11 2
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 3 26 7 5 27 9


Tennessee Titans
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @JAC 14-16 10 @CAR -
2 BAL - 11 @ATL -
3 DEN - 12 TB -
4 @CLE - 13 @BUF -
5 @PIT - 14 NO -
6 Bye - 15 @IND -
7 HOU - 16 JAC -
8 IND - 17 @HOU -
9 CIN -      
Titans Report | Statistics | Roster
TENNESSEE vs BAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck - - 170,1
RB Chris Johnson 60 30 -
TE Jared Cook - 20 -
WR Nate Washington - 60,1 -
WR Kenny Britt - 80 -
PK Rob Bironas 2 FG 1 XP -

Pregame Notes: The TItans first game out under new HC Mike Munchak did not result in any offensive fireworks. Chris Johnson did nothing to repay his pricey new contract and while the passing stats looked decent in the box score, they were mostly predicated on one fluky play. The Titans are in a rebuilding year and the core of their offense just showed up about a week ago. The start will be slow and so far with minimal signs of progress.

QUARTERBACK: His first game as a Titan resulted in nice stats, but reality was less encouraging. Matt Hasselbeck threw for 263 yards and two scores but 80 yards came on one scoring play to Kenny Britt when he side flipped the ball to him before getting tackled. Aside from that one play, Hasselbeck had only marginal success with Britt and marginal with any other receiver. He received no support from the ground game and overall looked very much like an aging quarterback shipped off to a rebuilding team.

Unlike the Jaguars, the Ravens are not noted for having a soft secondary and this will be a step backwards for Hasselbeck.

RUNNING BACKS: Chris Johnson only managed to gain 24 yards on nine rushes last week but the Titans fell behind and oddly abandoned the run for the most part. He only carried five times in the first half and while he looked fast the holes just were not there. Johnson salvaged his value a bit with six catches for 25 yards but his opener was disappointing to fantasy leaguers. This week is not likely to be much better. HC Mike Munchak claims that Johnson will get his 20 carries in the game regardless but the Ravens just held Rashard Mendenhall to only 45 yards on 12 runs. It could easily happen again with the game getting out of hand and the Titans needing to throw.

Johnson is a must start every week but he is having a slow time here in the early stages of the season. Next week should be his breakout game when Denver shows up.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Not a great sign. Kenny Britt ended with 136 yards and two scores on five receptions but one was a surprising if not lucky flip of the ball to Britt who caught it in stride and raced past the surprised defenders for an 80-yard score. He also had a short touchdown as well and it is a positive that the new quarterback had success with Britt. He also was able to connect with Nate Washington for 67 yards on six catches as well but the secondary of the Jags is not that good. Hasselbeck was able to have success only later in the game. Outside of the two wideouts there is no fantasy value but it deserves a watch to see if Washington will continue to be at least a decent play in a PPR league.

Britt is still worth a start this week but limit your expectations against a Ravens defense that looks in top form already.

TIGHT ENDS: This was a source of major disappointment. Jared Cook was a common sleeper (though not to me) and he only ended with one catch for seven yards. He only had two passes thrown his way. Until Hasselbeck has some success with the tight ends, no reason to project for them or to give them a start.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 16 29 6 31 28 26
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 11 6 22 11 2 2

WEEK 2
2011
ARI at WAS CLE at IND JAC at NYJ SD at NE
BAL at TEN DAL at SF KC at DET SEA at PIT
CHI at NO GB at CAR OAK at BUF TB at MIN
  CIN at DEN HOU at MIA PHI at ATL STL at NYG (mon)

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