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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 2
2011
ARI at WAS CLE at IND * JAC at NYJ SD at NE
BAL at TEN * DAL at SF * KC at DET SEA at PIT
* CHI at NO GB at CAR * OAK at BUF TB at MIN
*updated * CIN at DEN * HOU at MIA PHI at ATL * STL at NYG (mon)

Prediction: OAK 16, BUF 23

Players to Watch: David Nelson, Scott Chandler

Update: Jacoby Ford remains out with a hamstring strain and Darius Heyward-Bey is considered questionable because his knee has not allowed him to do more than some practice drills. He has not been ruled out yet but his knee was still wrapped on Friday so lower what should be low expectations here. Chaz Schilens will play but is not worth projecting for now.

Steve Johnson was held out of practice because of an ongoing groin issue but returned on Friday as expected and will play this week.

It is with some irony that the winning margin of the Raiders victory in Denver came from the points of a 63-yard field goal that could only be made at Mile-High. Now Sebastian Janikowski joins Jason Elam and Tom Dempsey in the Longest Field Goal Club. The Raiders beat the Broncos as the always do - run wild all over them. The Bills return from a surprise bombing of the Chiefs in the weekend's biggest blowout.

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @DEN 23-20 10 @SD -
2 @BUF - 11 @MIN -
3 NYJ - 12 CHI -
4 NE - 13 @MIA -
5 @HOU - 14 @GB -
6 CLE - 15 DET -
7 KC - 16 @KC -
8 Bye - 17 SD -
9 DEN -      
Raiders Report | Statistics | Roster
OAKLAND at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell 20 - 100,1
RB Darren McFadden 90 10 -
WR Denarius Moore - 10 -
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey - 40 -
PK Sebastian Janikowski 3 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Any win in Denver is good for the Raiders but there was really nothing much happening except for the rushing of Darren McFadden. That is good enough for a Broncos tilt but not the rest of the league. The Raiders did not accomplish any success in the offense outside of watching McFadden run. That won't get it this week.

QUARTERBACK: Jason Campbell appears no better than last year. He completed 13 of 22 passes for only 105 yards and one score. The passing game looked like 2010 only without all those Zach Miller catches. Bottom line - no reason to consider Campbell as a viable start this week and probably no week. Matt Cassel just ended with 119 yards on this defense.

RUNNING BACKS: Darren McFadden had a nice opener with 150 yards on 22 carries though he never scored and had only one catch. Michael Bush pitched in for nine runs but only managed 30 yards on his carries. Marcel Reese had the lone receiving touchdown of the game on his three catches.

There is no doubt that McFadden carries the heavy load as he is currently the only weapon for the Raiders. And he could see success against an average Bills rush defense unless they get a lead as they did in Kansas City and only allowed 18 total rushes again.

Start McFadden but he is the only Raider that is viable this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Once again - desolate wasteland. Louis Murphy remains out with his sports hernia surgery. Jacoby Ford had three catches for 22 yards and one fumble last week before injuring his hamstring. Hot rookie Denarius Moore only had one pass thrown his way for an incompletion. Darrius Heyward-Bey was the lead receiver with four catches for 44 yards. A player whose only skill is speed was sent over the middle and on out patterns to gain ten yards.

Just stay away from all of these. There is no quarterback to tell if any are talented and a reasonable suspicion that they are not anyway.

TIGHT ENDS: Brandon Meyers had the only catches as a tight end and that was for ten yards. No fantasy value here at all.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 25 4 30 30 4 11
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 4 20 1 10 1 4


Buffalo Bills
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @KC 41-7 10 @DAL -
2 OAK - 11 @MIA -
3 NE - 12 @NYJ -
4 @CIN - 13 TEN -
5 PHI - 14 @SD -
6 @NYG - 15 MIA -
7 Bye - 16 DEN -
8 WAS - 17 @NE -
9 NYJ -      
Bills Report | Statistics | Roster
BUFFALO vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick - - 200,2
RB Fred Jackson 70 10 -
WR David Nelson - 50,1 -
WR Steve Johnson - 80,1 -
WR Donald Jones - 30 -
PK Rian Lindell 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Bills started with a big win on the road at Arrowhead Stadium and the good tidings in Buffalo may never be better than right now. This week is a very winnable game but after that comes a tough stretch of home games. But the offense is really clicking right now and this week can help determine "what happens twice" and is real.

QUARTERBACK: He was already a surprise last year but many did not buy into him being that good. Ryan Fitzpatrick was even expected by some to be challenged by Tyler Thigpen for the starting job. But Fitzpatrick passed for four scores and 208 yards in Kansas City. That gets the job done for now. The Bills now face the Raiders who gave up 304 pass yards to the Broncos along with one score.

Look for a good showing by Fitzpatrick but this should not become a shootout by any means.

RUNNING BACKS: The C.J. Spiller experiment continues like that guy across the street who has spent the last three years trying to get his car to run on water. It is just not happening. Spiller only gained 16 yards on five runs despite being the starter. Fred Jackson did what he always does - exceed expectations. He rushed for 112 yards on 20 carries in Kansas City.

The Raiders shut down the Broncos run game to the tune of 12 carries for 25 yards but they only ranked 25th against running backs last year and have some odd disease that only allows them to play well against AFC West opponents. Temper expectations but consider Jackson as a marginal start this week at home.

WIDE RECEIVERS:Steve Johnson is the preferred target for Fitzpatrick and he had four catches for 66 yards and one score in Kansas City last week. But the new development is that the slot receiver David Nelson also had four receptions for 66 yards and both receivers had six targets. #2 wideout Donald Jones scored once but only had three yards on two receptions. Nelson is becoming a much used outlet for Fitzpatrick so far and deserves watching to see if he can develop into yet another high-catch-volume slot guy over the middle.

TIGHT ENDS: The Bills never used the position in the past and just promoted Scott Chandler to the starting lineup last week despite his only one career catch. But Chandler caught five passes for 63 yards and two touchdowns. That may never happen again. But it makes Chandler worthy of watching this week to see how often he is targeted and if any real trend is happening with the Bills. I am not going to project for him yet, but will start with one more decent game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 8 11 12 3 3 16
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 16 17 12 7 19 20

WEEK 2
2011
ARI at WAS CLE at IND JAC at NYJ SD at NE
BAL at TEN DAL at SF KC at DET SEA at PIT
CHI at NO GB at CAR OAK at BUF TB at MIN
  CIN at DEN HOU at MIA PHI at ATL STL at NYG (mon)

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