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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 2
2011
ARI at WAS CLE at IND JAC at NYJ SD at NE
BAL at TEN DAL at SF KC at DET SEA at PIT
CHI at NO GB at CAR OAK at BUF TB at MIN
  CIN at DEN HOU at MIA PHI at ATL STL at NYG (mon)

Prediction: STL 10, NYG 24

Players to Watch: Mike-Sims Walker

Update: Both Danny Amendola and Stephen Jackson have not practiced and are not expected to play on Monday night. Sam Bradford was limited because of his finger but had a full practice on Friday and will play. The problem with Nicks is that he is adamant that he will be playing but he has never had more than some drills this week because of his knee and the decision inevitably will not be his to make. On Monday night the doctors will take a look where he is at and recommend to the coaches their opinion. That makes Nicks a very big risk to rely on this week. I am lowering his projections and realize that he may not play.

Both teams come off losses in their openers and the Rams not only were manhandled by the Eagles but lost plenty of players in the process. The Giants were taken down by the Redskins and mostly looked dull and uninspired against a well known divisional rival. This game favors the healthier Giants to be sure, but not by as much as it would have been in years past. This is the Monday night game but not as exciting as it seemed it would be.

St. Louis Rams
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 13-31 10 @CLE -
2 @NYG - 11 SEA -
3 BAL - 12 ARI -
4 WAS - 13 @SF -
5 Bye - 14 @SEA -
6 @GB - 15 CIN -
7 @DAL - 16 @PIT -
8 NO - 17 SF -
9 @ARI -      
Rams Report | Statistics | Roster
ST. LOUIS at MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford - - 210,1
RB Carnell Williams 50 30 -
TE Lance Kendricks - 30 -
WR Mike Sims-Walker - 50 -
WR Brandon Gibson - 60,1 -
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Rams seemed to be poised for a nice step up this year after Offensive Rookie of the Year Sam Bradford had already had a breakout season as a rookie. But a tough game with the Eagles turned into a long line at the infirmary and the Rams will be without their starting running back, best wide receiver and the quarterback has a bad finger. The star rookie tight end suddenly has no ability to catch the ball. The other starting wideout too had a case of the drops. Otherwise, the nachos and beer were good at the concession stands and that was about the only positive.

QUARTERBACK: Sam Bradford only passed for 188 yards and no scores against the Eagles last week and injured his throwing finger when it hit a defender after a pass. The Rams have said it is just a bruise to his finger and that he would be day-to-day. The assumption is that he will play and not be limited but I will update as needed. The extra day because of the Monday game is a good thing here.

The Giants have a weaker secondary thanks to injuries and are paper thin in depth. That should spark more passing by Bradford if he is healthy enough and the almost certain lack of a good rushing game. Bradford of 2010 would have had a nice game here for sure.

RUNNING BACKS: It started so well. Steven Jackson's first run went for a 47-yard touchdown but he pulled up a bit gimpy. He returned for only one more run and retired from the game with a bad quadriceps strain. The prognosis is not certain as of now but it is expected that he will not play this week. Updates as warranted.

Carnell Williams stepped up nicely when Jackson was out and gained 91 yards on 19 carries against the Eagles. He also added six catches for 49 yards for a fine fantasy game that no one got to benefit from. Williams will take the start without Jackson available. But the Giants held Tim Hightower to only 72 yards on 25 carries and that was on the road. No reason to start Williams this week other than a handful of receptions he is likely to get.

WIDE RECEIVERS: It was initially feared that Danny Amendola was lost for the season when he had a gruesome dislocation of his elbow but he may only end up being gone for a few weeks. Bottom line - he is out for the near future and he was the #1 receiver for Bradford. The Rams will likely turn to Mike Sims-Walker to take the slot but his first game as a Ram resulted in just one catch for five yards. Brandon Gibson remains the other starter but only had three catches for 50 yards and dropped his other two passes. Greg Salas will figure in more but there is huge risk in relying on any of these wideouts. Chances are one will do pretty well but no telling which one at this point. Sims-Walker has a big chance here to start his career out well in St. Louis. But he has to show up.

TIGHT ENDS: Lance Kendricks was the red hot rookie in camp and in preseason games where he hooked up with scores in almost every game with Bradford. But against the Eagles, Kendricks had several bad drops including a probable touchdown. He ended with only one catch for 18 yards on five passing targets. Too early to rely on the rookie who will get better.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 32 5 25 23 16 22
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 19 14 24 23 7 24

 

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @WAS 14-28 10 @SF -
2 STL - 11 PHI -
3 @PHI - 12 @NO -
4 @ARI - 13 GB -
5 SEA - 14 @DAL -
6 BUF - 15 WAS -
7 Bye - 16 @NYJ -
8 MIA - 17 DAL -
9 @NE - - - -
Giants Report | Statistics | Roster
NY GIANTS vs STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning - - 230,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 50,1 - -
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 100,1 10 -
WR Victor Cruz - 30 -
WR Hakeem Nicks - 40 -
WR Mario Manningham - 80,1 -
PK Lawrence Tynes 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The problems of the preseason have now manifested into a slow start to the regular season and the Giants have to play in Philly after this game. Starting out in Washington goes against a good defense but the Giants still have not scored via the pass. This week has to be a win against an opponent who was stripped of important starters thanks to injury. Time for the G-Men to climb back to .500 before heading to Philly.

QUARTERBACK: Eli Manning has just not been sharp. Against the Skins he completed 18 of 32 passes for 268 yards but no scores and one interception. He was also sacked four times. This week should make him look better against a defense that allowed two passing scores to Vick and the Rams are on the road with an offense that is mostly on the sidelines in ace bandages. The Giants will likely run much more than pass in this game and that means Manning stays around mediocre in passing again this week.

RUNNING BACKS: The opener did not go well for the rushing game with Ahmad Bradshaw only gaining 44 yards on 13 carries but scoring once. Brandon Jacobs only ran six times for 29 yards. The Skins kept the ball most of the time and then forced Manning to throw more last week. This should be a far better experience for Bradshaw and even Jacobs owners against a defense that just gave up 122 yards and a score on 15 carries to LeSean McCoy who also scored on a reception.

This is a nice place to get the ground game going and chew up the clock. If the Giants can deal with an injury-decimated Rams squad, there will be plenty of carries to go around.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Hakeem Nicks was the lone good player last week and turned in 122 yards on seven receptions. But he suffered what has been termed a bone bruise after x-rays were negative on his knee. Barring negative practice reports, Hicks appears to be okay to play this week. Mario Manningham had just 49 yards on four catches last week and both of these wideouts are a little risky since the Giants will likely not need them to win the game. Nicks is a must start if healthy though. Manningham may just repeat last week.

TIGHT ENDS: Travis Beckum missed last week with a hamstring injury and was replaced by Jake Ballard who caught two passes for 59 yards but the undrafted Ohio State rookie is not worth starting or owning. No reason to project for the position this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 20 21 19 19 29 20
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 26 27 19 4 18 28

WEEK 2
2011
ARI at WAS CLE at IND JAC at NYJ SD at NE
BAL at TEN DAL at SF KC at DET SEA at PIT
CHI at NO GB at CAR OAK at BUF TB at MIN
  CIN at DEN HOU at MIA PHI at ATL STL at NYG (mon)

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