The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 3
2011
ARI at SEA * DET at MIN * KC at SD NYJ at OAK
* ATL at TB GB at CHI MIA at CLE * PIT at IND
* BAL at STL * HOU at NO NE at BUF * SF at CIN
* UPDATED DEN at TEN JAC at CAR * NYG at PHI * WAS at DAL (mon)

Prediction: DET 27, MIN 17

Players to Watch: Brandon Pettigrew

Update: Brandon Pettigrew has been limited all week and is questionable to play. I am lowering his projections and he is not a safe play even if active.

Here is a sign that the times they are a'changing. The Lions are 2-0 and looking great while the Vikings are 0-2 and devolved into little more than ten guys watching Adrian Peterson trying to make his own holes. The Lions are favored by 3.5 points in a road game. That has to hurt the purple faithful.

The Vikings won 24-10 when they hosted the Lions last year thought they lost in Detroit 13-20 in the season finale.

Detroit Lions
Homefield: Ford Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TB 27-20 10 @CHI -
2 KC 48-3 11 CAR -
3 @MIN - 12 GB -
4 @DAL - 13 @NO -
5 CHI - 14 MIN -
6 SF - 15 @OAK -
7 ATL - 16 SD -
8 @DEN - 17 @GB -
9 Bye -      
Lions Report | Statistics | Roster
DETROIT at MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford - - 280,2
RB

Jahvid Best

50,1 60,1 -
TE Brandon Pettigrew - 20 -
WR Calvin Johnson - 80,1 -
WR Titus Young - 30 -
WR Nate Burleson - 60 -
PK Jason Hanson 2FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Lions finally have their offense clicking and the defense is showing up like never before thanks to spending those early picks each year on defensive linemen. The win over the Chiefs last week set a franchise record for the regular season with a 45 point differential but that is just a reality now - the Lions are becoming a team. No longer one or two decent players but a team that can all contribute. Kind of weird to see finally.

QUARTERBACK: It is only two games, but Matthew Stafford already has passed for seven touchdowns and 599 yards in just two weeks. He has not been sacked yet and is playing above expectations that were already high. This week he faces a Vikings team that have allowed 335 yards to the Chargers and 243 yards to the Buccaneers. Can it be that the Lions are more like the Chargers? Just one surprise after another.

The Lions passed for 237 yards and one score in Minnesota last year using Shaun Hill as the starter.

RUNNING BACKS: Jahvid Best comes off one of his better efforts when he gained 123 total yards and two scores on the Chiefs. He had 114 total yards in Tampa Bay as well. This is evolving into a passing offense and Best is being limited to around 20 carries per week but he adds at least 40 yards as a receiver in every game so far. In a reception point league, Best remains a decent start. He faces the same defense that has allowed five touchdowns to running backs this year including two as receptions for Mike Tolbert.

The Lions totaled only 15 carries for 36 yards at Minnesota last year. Expect a much better showing this time.

WIDE RECEIVERS: While Calvin Johnson has not gained more than 88 yards in his first two games, he had scored twice in each and remains the most targeted receiver. Nate Burleson is making the #2 spot have some fantasy value finally with Nate Burleson turning in at least five catches per game with never less than 60 yards. Like Nate Washington for the Titans, Burleson is becoming a decent WR3 in reception point leagues. With Johnson to attract the most attention, Burleson could make this pay off all year if Stafford remains healthy. Even the rookie Titus Young had a big game when he totaled five receptions for 89 yards against the Chiefs though he was blanked in his first game.

No wideout scored in Minny last year though that was with Shaun Hill as the quarterback. Johnson ended with six catches for 56 yards. So far the Vikes have been good against the deeper throws and limited Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams. But Johnson is a must start each week anyway and can both score and catch all over the field. In the end zone, he is nearly unstoppable. Burleson may not have as good a showing here but it depends on how the Vikes roll the defense. The Lions are becoming a top notch passing team and have the players to get the job done.

TIGHT ENDS:Brandon Pettigrew has been a bit of a disappointment this year but mostly because the Lions are throwing better and to more players. Pettigrew was held to just one catch against the Chiefs while Tony Scheffler scored each week on his only catches. Scheffler has no volume of receptions to merit a fantasy start but Pettigrew has take a step backwards so far. He's worth a watch because he should have been better than this and the offense may be growing in a another direction that does not include him as much.

Tony Scheffler caught seven passed for 60 yards and a score in this matchup last year. Pettigrew turned in 44 yards on six catches.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 4 6 6 9 2 7
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 18 32 5 15 11 7


Minnesota Vikings
Homefield: Metrodome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SD 17-24 10 @GB -
2 TB 20-24 11 OAK -
3 DET - 12 @ATL -
4 @KC - 13 DEN -
5 ARI - 14 @DET -
6 @CHI - 15 NO -
7 GB - 16 @WAS -
8 @CAR - 17 CHI -
9 Bye -      
Vikings Report | Statistics | Roster
MINNESOTA vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb - - 200,1
RB Adrian Peterson 80,1 20 -
TE Vishante Shiancoe - 30 -
WR Bernard Berrian - 50 -
WR Michael Jenkins - 40 -
WR Percy Harvin - 50,1 -
PK Ryan Longwell 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: Both games were lost by one touchdown but that cloaks the problems with the offense that so far has been all about Adrian Peterson and little else. Sadly that is not enough to win games. There has been precious little passing success so far in the new offense installed by Bill Musgrave but this is a rebuilding year and assumedly Christian Ponder takes over next season. Chances are the Vikes are going to get a very nice draft pick to use next April as well.

QUARTERBACK: It was better than the 39 yards in the opener, but Donovan McNabb only had 228 yards against the Buccaneers and no touchdowns. Peterson ran well enough to keep the team in the game as he will do in most home games but McNabb is not connecting well with his receivers and so far has no deep ball at all.

The Vikes had Brett Favre passing for only 201 yards and one score when the Lions visited last year.

RUNNING BACKS :Adrian Peterson remains the elite in his position and comes off a 120 yard, 2 touchdown effort over the Buccaneers. Peterson had a monster game when the Lions last came to Minny. He scored twice on his 23 runs for 160 yards. He even had 30 yards on five receptions. But the Lions have been hoarding defensive linemen for just this reason.

So far no runner has gained more than 40 rushing yards on the Lions but Peterson will break that. How far above that is bound to be less than years past and if the Lions can get an early lead, Peterson may even look mortal this week. Still - always a must play each week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Percy Harvin has the only performance with more than 30 receiving yards and that was only once just last week when he had seven catches for 76 yards on the Buccaneers. No other wideout has had more than 30 yards in a game or have any shred of fantasy value. The Lions secondary still is not the greatest, but neither are these wideouts.

Harvin caught six passes for 62 yards and one score on the visiting Lions last year.

TIGHT ENDS: Vishante Shiancoe is up to three catches for 28 yards in a game this year but that still sorely lags what you want for fantasy consideration.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 30 9 27 31 23 15
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 2 5 6 7 9 9

WEEK 3
2011
ARI at SEA DET at MIN KC at SD NYJ at OAK
ATL at TB GB at CHI MIA at CLE PIT at IND
BAL at STL HOU at NO NE at BUF SF at CIN
  DEN at TEN JAC at CAR NYG at PHI WAS at DAL (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t