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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 3
2011
ARI at SEA * DET at MIN * KC at SD NYJ at OAK
* ATL at TB GB at CHI MIA at CLE * PIT at IND
* BAL at STL * HOU at NO NE at BUF * SF at CIN
* UPDATED DEN at TEN JAC at CAR * NYG at PHI * WAS at DAL (mon)

Prediction: NYJ 20, OAK 19

Players to Watch: Shonn Greene, Jason Campbell, Denarius Moore

The Jets are 2-0 after opening with two home games and now hit the road for the first time. The Raiders are 1-1 after their two opening games on the road and head home for the first time. Both efforts against the Broncos and Bills ended with a three point difference for the Raiders. This game could be closer than you might think since the Raiders are finally home and the Jets are finally on the road.

New York Jets
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 27-24 10 NE -
2 JAC 32-3 11 @DEN -
3 @OAK - 12 BUF -
4 @BAL - 13 @WAS -
5 @NE - 14 KC -
6 MIA - 15 @PHI -
7 SD - 16 NYG -
8 Bye - 17 @MIA -
9 @BUF -      
Jets Report | Statistics | Roster
NY JETS at OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Sanchez - - 250,2
RB Shonn Greene 50 10 -
RB LaDainian Tomlinson 20 30 -
TE Dustin Keller - 70,1 -
WR Plaxico Burress - 40 -
WR Derrick Mason - 20 -
WR Santonio Holmes - 60,1 -
PK Nick Folk 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Jets are 2-0 thanks to the Cowboys collapse but hit the meat of the schedule that will determine just how good they really are. Three straight road games that go to Oakland, Baltimore and then New England. The Jets have a brutal schedule this year and it starts now.

QUARTERBACK: Mark Sanchez has started his season well with two touchdowns in each of his first two games and as many as 335 passing yards in a game. Of course he was at home and facing two weak secondaries (JAX and DAL). Sanchez has also thrown three interceptions and lost a fumble over those two games and the rushing effort by the Jets has been very disappointing. This road game will define better what to expect from the Jets and if they have a chance with those games in BAL and NE coming up.

The Raiders have averaged two touchdowns and about 280 passing yards in their first two games.

RUNNING BACKS: There is no sugar coating it. The Jets backfield has been very disappointing and that was with two home games. Shonn Greene has only gained 75 yards on 26 carries over the first two weeks and that is just a 3.0 YPC. He scored once against the Jaguars but is not a factor as a receiver. Greene is going to be in some very hostile stadiums coming up and just does not appear up to the challenge.

Unfortunately, neither does LaDainian Tomlinson who has run even worse. But Tomlinson at least can act as a receiver. Fred Jackson just ripped the Raiders up for 117 rushing yards and two scores but so far, nothing that Greene has done suggests that is even possible. Losing the center Nick Mangold for a few weeks is not going to help.

Watch Greene this week. If he doesn't end up with decent numbers you can safely bench him for the near future at the least. They may end up trying Tomlinson more though that likely won't be any better.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Derrick Mason has been little used so far and has topped out at only 19 yards in a game. Plaxico Burress opened the year with a score and 72 yards against the Cowboys but then had no catches last week. The only productive and consistent receiver remains Santonio Holmes who opened with 70 yards on the Cowboys and then scored once last week on his three catches for 42 yards. Nothing big is happening here despite the apparent talent level. The Jets have faced two weak secondaries and still have not done much damage with the wide receivers.

Holmes has been hampered with a sore knee and quad but is not missing any game time.

The Raiders no longer have Nnamdi Asomugha so passing is easier but there is no reason to expect more than a moderate showing from Holmes while the others are not worth fantasy consideration.

TIGHT ENDS: The surprise has been that Dustin Keller has become the lead receiver for the Jets. They acquire all the veteran talent in wideouts and then opt to use Keller the most. He has already caught 11 passes for 162 yards this year and scored in each game. He is the most consistent player for the Jets and becoming a must start tight end.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 13 26 24 2 5 3
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 24 25 21 11 21 18


Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @DEN 23-20 10 @SD -
2 @BUF 35-38 11 @MIN -
3 NYJ - 12 CHI -
4 NE - 13 @MIA -
5 @HOU - 14 @GB -
6 CLE - 15 DET -
7 KC - 16 @KC -
8 Bye - 17 SD -
9 DEN -      
Raiders Report | Statistics | Roster
OAKLAND vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell - - 190,1
RB Darren McFadden 90,1 40 -
WR Derek Hagen - 40 -
WR Denarius Moore - 70,1 -
WR Chaz Schilens - 20 -
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Raiders appear intent on once again playing every game down to the wire and too often losing them. The passing game came to life last week if only for the one day while Darren McFadden continues to be the engine for the offense. The Raiders are back at home finally but open there with games against the Jets and Patriots. The real Jason Campbell is about to make an appearance for the next two weeks.

QUARTERBACK: In Denver, Jason Campbell did little more than hand off to Darren McFadden but in Buffalo he turned 33 passes into 23 completions for 323 yards and two scores for an impressive outing. So with two very different performances, this week will answer just how good Campbell really is. He goes against the Jets who were shredded for 342 yards by Tony Romo but then held the Jaguars to only 111 passing yards.

Bottom line - Campbell is not an attractive start this week. But worth watching to see how he does.

RUNNING BACKS: The Bills held Darren McFadden to only 72 yards on 20 carries but he added seven catches for 71 yards and a score after only catching one pass in the season opener. McFadden generally runs better at home too but he goes against a Jets defense that has allowed only one rushing score and no more than 88 yards to any runner and that was back in New York.

McFadden is a must start anyway and a dual threat when they will use him as such. He gets his yardage no matter how it comes and is always a good chance to score in a home game.

WIDE RECEIVERS: With all the starters injured, the Raiders went with their "second team" and the results were good. Chaz Schilens (1-9) is a complete nonfactor but the hot rookie this summer of Denarius Moore had a break out game with five receptions for 146 yards and one touchdown while Derek Hagen turned in 61 yards on his five catches. This was against the Bills though and not the Jets with their better corners. HC Hue Jackson said that he will use Moore in a bigger role ongoing and why not - so far he is the only wide receiver who has really done much. and that has been only one game.

I am assuming that Jacoby Ford remains out with his hamstring issue as well as Darrius Heyward-Bey who sprained his knee.

TIGHT ENDS: Brandon Meyers has only had two catches for up to 16 yards and has no fantasy value. Kevin Boss has been out with a sore knee. No fantasy value here so far.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 11 2 22 32 13 18
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 6 8 9 16 5 17

WEEK 3
2011
ARI at SEA DET at MIN KC at SD NYJ at OAK
ATL at TB GB at CHI MIA at CLE PIT at IND
BAL at STL HOU at NO NE at BUF SF at CIN
  DEN at TEN JAC at CAR NYG at PHI WAS at DAL (mon)

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