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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 3
2011
ARI at SEA * DET at MIN * KC at SD NYJ at OAK
* ATL at TB GB at CHI MIA at CLE * PIT at IND
* BAL at STL * HOU at NO NE at BUF * SF at CIN
* UPDATED DEN at TEN JAC at CAR * NYG at PHI * WAS at DAL (mon)

Prediction: WAS 20 , DAL 23

Players to Watch: Roy Helu, Jesse Holley

Update: Felix Jones has been limited in practice on Friday but is expected to play in this Monday night game. He will share more with DeMarco Murray though since Jones is not 100% and has not been very spectacular anyway. I am adding Murray in but mostly to drain production from Jones. Dez Bryant has been able to have some limited practice and they are optimistic that he will be okay on Monday to play. The extra practice on Saturday should help decide where he is at. Tony Romo is also a possible to play though he has not practiced. Miles Austin is not expected to play. So both Romo and Bryant are still risks to not play that will not be certain until Monday so if you have no other options in that game, hoping they both play will be a risk.

The Cowboys mounted a comeback in San Francisco while losing players along the way and return to Dallas for their first home game. The Skins are 2-0 after beating the Giants and squeaking past the Cardinals but now head out on their first road game of the year. This game teeters on how many players the Cowboys can get back from injury but is slanted towards the home team.

The Skins lost 30-33 in Dallas last year.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NYG 28-14 10 @MIA -
2 ARI 22-21 11 DAL -
3 @DAL - 12 @SEA -
4 @STL - 13 NYJ -
5 Bye - 14 NE -
6 PHI - 15 @NYG -
7 @CAR - 16 MIN -
8 @BUF - 17 @PHI -
9 SF -      
Redskins Report | Statistics | Roster
WASHINGTON at DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Rex Grossman - - 300,2
RB Tim Hightower 40 10 -
RB Roy Helu 20 20 -
TE Fred Davis - 70,1 -
WR Santana Moss - 90,1 -
WR Anthony Armstrong - 30 -
WR Jabbar Gaffney - 80 -
PK Graham Gano 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Cardinals were much more feisty than expected last week but the Skins managed to get past them and take the win. The always desired big rushing game has not materialized quite yet but Rex Grossman is doing his share to keep the Skins winning and this week gets to face an injury depleted secondary with a chance of a shootout.

QUARTERBACK: The Skins took their time in the summer to name a starting quarterback but the early returns are that they got it right. Rex Grossman has passed for two scores and around 300 yards in each of his first two games though he tossed two interceptions against the Cardinals. This should make it three straight good games. Grossman is going to have to deal with a much more aggressive Dallas defense though.

Grossman passed for 322 yards and four touchdowns in Dallas last year.

RUNNING BACKS: Tim Hightower faced his old team and gained 96 yards on 20 carries and had only one catch. The previous week he turned in 25 carries and three receptions while Roy Helu only had one run. . What is troublesome is that this will be his first road game of the year and HC Mike Shanahan said that he used Roy Helu more against the Cardinals because Hightower got tired though his workload was less on Sunday. Helu rushed ten times for 74 yards and added three catches for 38 yards. He looked better than Hightower.

This makes Helu an interesting player to watch this week. The ratios may return of course but Helu looked sharp and Shanahan even said so. For now that makes Hightower a bigger risk to rely on. And it is too early to expect Helu to make a shift into being the more heavily used back. It may just be the start of Shanahanigans and the never-ending guessing game.

Ryan Torain was the starter but only rushed for 53 yards on 11 carries in Dallas last season.

The Cowboys have been topnotch against the run so far. In total after two games, they have only allowed 95 yards on 36 carries in total and that was in road games. Downgrade expectations for Hightower this week as he is on the road, against the Cowboys and may share more with Roy Helu.

WIDE RECEIVERS: While there have been no big performances yet, each wideout has already scored once. Santana Moss has been the better receiver with at least five catches and 60 yards in both games so far. He stands to benefit the most from the injured Dallas secondary. Jabbar Gaffney has settled into a nice role as well though with at least 54 yards in each game. Those two receivers get the most targets in each game. Anthony Armstrong has only been around for a couple of catches each week and is a nonfactor though he scored in the opener.

Moss caught eight passes for 72 yards and one touchdown in this meeting last year while Anthony Armstrong had 100 yards on five receptions as the #2 that year.

Have to assume that both Gaffney and Moss are decent starts this week since the rushing game should be marginal at best and the Cowboys are missing cornerbacks.

TIGHT ENDS: Chris Cooley had two targets last week and yet no catches for the first time as a Redskin. He is a nonfactor because of his knee and I am no longer projecting for him until he shows up as more than an occasional look for Grossman. Fred Davis has done well in relief, totaling 105 yards in week one and then 86 yards and a score on the Cardinals.

Cooley scored once and had 62 yards on five catches in Dallas last season.

Davis is a good start this week against a secondary that has already given up a score to a tight end in each game so far.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 12 15 14 5 22 8
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 21 6 12 28 19 20


Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ 24-27 10 BUF -
2 @SF 27-24 11 @WAS -
3 WAS - 12 MIA -
4 DET - 13 @ARI -
5 Bye - 14 NYG -
6 @NE - 15 @TB -
7 STL - 16 PHI -
8 @PHI - 17 @NYG -
9 SEA -      
Cowboys Report | Statistics | Roster
DALLAS vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo - - 270,2
RB Felix Jones 30 20 -
RB DeMarco Murray 30 20 -
TE Jason Witten - 100,1 -
WR Kevin Ogletree - 40,1 -
WR Dez Bryant - 40 -
WR Jesse Holley - 30 -
WR Dwayne Harris - 20 -
PK Dan Bailey 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys pulled out the win last week instead of giving it away like in the opener. Tony Romo has gone from goat to hero in one week (if only for one week) but the Cowboys lost a lot of players in the process. Tony Romo has a punctured lung and fractured rib, Felix Jones has a separated shoulder and Miles Austin re-injured his hamstring strain. It looks like all will be available this week except for Austin but that could change.

QUARTERBACK: After being denounced in the media, Tony Romo put aside the pain and re-entered the game to engineer two scoring drives to win the game. He now has back-to-back efforts of around 350 yards and two scores and that doesn't take into account Jon Kitna who passed for 87 yards and a score as well. Not bad for someone who has a fractured rib and collapsed lung. The challenge this week is that Romo may be without both starting wideouts.

Kitna was the starter in this matchup last year and he passed for 305 yards and two scores.

The Skins have allowed 250+ passing yards in their two games so far and this is their first road game.

RUNNING BACKS: There is nothing impressive about the rushing game so far. Felix Jones separated his shoulder against the 49ers but on the season so far he only has 69 yards on 26 carries for a 2.7 YPC. DeMarco Murray is no better with 21 yards on six carries last week. Jones is expected to play but has been a disappointment after an encouraging preseason. This will be his first home game which should help though no running back gained more than 39 yards when the Skins visited last season.

With both starting wideouts potentially out, Jones could figure in more as a receiver this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Miles Austin is out with his hamstring again and may not show up until after the week five bye. Dez Bryant remains out with his strained quadriceps and does not look good to make it back for Sunday. That would mean that Jesse Holley would step up and replace Austin after catching three passes for 96 yards last week including the 77-yard catch that set up the game winning field goal in overtime. Holley's claim to fame is that he won Michael Irvin's reality show in 2010 that awarded a spot on the Cowboys roster. The 27-year old had never caught an NFL pass until last Sunday.

Kevin Ogletree replaced Bryant last week and had two catches for 50 yards. The Cowboys would likely call up Dwayne Harris as the #3 this week though Harris also has no NFL catches yet.

This is not ideal obviously and the Skins secondary has been victimized already by Hakeem Nicks (7-122) and Larry Fitzgerald (7-133) though they already had catches in the NFL before playing the Skins.

TIGHT ENDS: This would be a great week to start using Martellus Bennett in two tight end sets but he has been out with a high ankle sprain. Jason Witten has been on fire this year with two games over 100 yards and at least six catches in each. With the wideouts injured, no doubt that Romo will be looking for him even more though the defense may make that hard. Witten usually does well against the Skins though.

Kitna passed for ten completions for 140 yards and a score to Witten when the Skins visited last year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 3 28 1 8 15 16
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 12 10 18 18 1 12

WEEK 3
2011
ARI at SEA DET at MIN KC at SD NYJ at OAK
ATL at TB GB at CHI MIA at CLE PIT at IND
BAL at STL HOU at NO NE at BUF SF at CIN
  DEN at TEN JAC at CAR NYG at PHI WAS at DAL (mon)

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