The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Upon Further Review: Week 3
David Dorey & John Tuvey
September 23, 2011
 

In order to help our members better use the starting information that The Huddle provides, the intent of this page is to discuss perceived differences between The Start Bench List and Predictions and Projections. The players below were identified by multiple members. The two reports are written by two different people so differences are always possible, but at least this page should help you make up your mind about these players on your roster.

CEDRIC BENSON (VS SFO) - PROJECTION:  80+10 YDS + 1 TD SBL RATING:  B

TUVEY: I thought I was the resident Benson apologist, but clearly he has fans in all the far corners of the Huddle empire. This was one of the toughest calls I made this week; ultimately an underrated 49ers run defense that has gone 24 games without surrendering a 100-yard game tipped me towards the benching. When the inbox began to fill with calls for clarification on Benson, I thought there might be some home-road trend or something like that I was missing. There’s not. This just feels like one of those typical 20-carry, 65-yard games from Benson that don’t do much fantasy good. And with a suspension looming, what’s to stop Cincy from taking a peek at like without Ced and test-driving Brian Leonard or Bernard Scott? In DMD’s defense, the suspension came down well after he made his projections, but now that it’s hanging over his head it’s even tougher to pull the trigger on starting him.

DOREY: This is odd since I jumped off the CedBen Bandwagon a while back and now I have to justify him. First off, I think rather than see what they have in Brian Leonard or Bernard Scott (which they already know), the Bengals might as well ride Benson hard since he may be taking a month-long hiatus with his looming suspension. He had a big game in Cleveland of 125 yards and one score thanks to a 39-yard run. He was a disappointment in Denver with 59 rush yards but he only had 16 carries. Let's put it in easy terms - if you would not play Benson at home against the visiting 49ers, then you would never start him. This is as easy as it will be all year and the 49ers rush defense has profited from playing SEA and DAL - neither team has a running game.

CONSENSUS:  A big difference perhaps, but again - if you would not start Benson here you must not want to ever start him. He's not going to do much as a receiver but stands a good shot at decent stats if only from a high volume of carries. Consider this favorable and your last chance to use him for a while.

DENARIUS MOORE (VS NYJ) - PROJECTION:  70 YDS + 1 TD, SBL RATING: B

TUVEY: I like what Moore brings to the table. I think he’s exactly the kind of receiver the Raiders have been searching for, and I think he has a bright future in this league. I also think Oakland doesn’t have another receiver worthy of blanketing with the game’s top cover corner so the rookie will draw Darrelle Revis. And I think that makes him an incredibly risky fantasy play.

DOREY: In my world of hard number projections, I have to put numbers somewhere no matter how much confidence I may have in that individual. I do like Moore but he is going to be very hard to rely on because this is the Raiders. They do not throw well and do not throw often if they can get away with it. For now that makes Moore a big risk I will admit.

CONSENSUS:  Bad venue, great defense and no track record - Moore is too risky to rely on if you have nearly any other option.

DARREN SPROLES (VS HOU) - PROJECTION:  20+60 YDS + 1 TD, SBL RATING:  S3

TUVEY: Not sure what the discrepancy is here; Sproles is a valuable fantasy player in PPR leagues, as he’s the third-most targeted back in the league. DMD thinks he’s going to score, I think he belongs in most starting lineups… why are we debating this again?

DOREY: I am guessing that people think 80 yards and a TD is higher than an S3? Bottom line, Sproles is the leading receiver for the Saints after two games and that is with five more targets and receptions than any other player. In a reception point league, you have stumbled into a gold mine that has seven or more catches every week.

CONSENSUS:  The touchdown is always iffy but Sproles is a must start in a reception points league and a relatively decent play even if there are no reception points. Consider him a decent RB2 this week and maybe every week.

MARK INGRAM (VS HOU) - PROJECTION:  50 YDS, SBL RATING:  S3

TUVEY: I’m not ready to bail on Ingram just yet. It was obvious from the failed goal line play in the season opener that the Saints trust him implicitly, and he’s still the lead dog in New Orleans’ RBBC. Yes, he’s sharing, but don’t forget this is an offense that made stars out of lesser talents like Chris Ivory; there’s enough here for Ingram to warrant fantasy consideration.

DOREY: Going to agree and seems like 50 yards and S3 kind of does. I am the biggest Ingram fan and own him on almost all my teams but 50 yards is in line with what he has done so far (40 yards and 51 yards). I firmly believe he has upside and could have a nice game here but they are not throwing to him and the Saints have not ended up near the goal line enough or had blowouts against teams with weak rush defenses.

CONSENSUS:  Have to rely on something like the 50 yards since that is exactly what he has done so far. He has upside to be sure and if you had two RB's with S3 and 50 yards, Ingram would be a good pick. But for now you cannot expect more than his moderate rushing totals.

DAVID NELSON (VS NEP) - PROJECTION:  80 YDS + 1 TD, SBL RATING:  S3

TUVEY: Maybe S3 is a little soft, as this is likely to be a shootout and Nelson definitely belongs in fantasy lineups (which, after all, is what the S3 implies). But he’s still the slot guy as opposed to a starter, and Steve Johnson is still Ryan Fitzpatrick’s go-to guy so I didn’t feel as if Nelson qualified for “solid” starter status. Again, I have no issue with him being in starting lineups, but depending on your league size and roster there may be safer options.

DOREY: I like the shootout to happen and the Pats have been horrible in the secondary - hallelujah! The Bills offense goes through the wide receivers and Nelson in particular. So far Nelson is the lead receiver in Buffalo with 14 catches for 149 yards and one touchdown. Even Stevie Johnson only has 12 receptions for 162 yards and two scores. Nelson should be a big factor in this sure to be shootout.

CONSENSUS:  Nelson is more of an S2 by compromise. Since most of you just picked him up this week, he should be a nice spot start for you in this matchup. It is highly likely the Patriots are going to score 35+ points and force the Bills to throw, throw and throw.

FRED DAVIS (@ DAL) - PROJECTION:  70 YDS + 1 TD, SBL RATING:  S3

TUVEY: Not that I don’t like Davis, as the S3 suggests. I just see Chris Cooley still involved in that offense and getting healthier by the week and feel a little squeamish turning over a starting fantasy spot to a guy sharing looks—especially with a dozen other quality tight ends who have the gig to themselves populating the player pool

DOREY: I don't see Cooley getting any healthier - his knee is a chronic condition. Cooley had no passes thrown to him last week while Davis ended with six receptions for 86 yards and one score against the Cardinals. Now on the road against a weakened Dallas secondary, the Skins will need him again. He is averaging 95 yards per game so far so 70 yards already says he is going to do a bit less this week. But Davis is becoming a big part of the offense and that is independent of Chris Cooley.

CONSENSUS:  Davis has two big games and now hits the road where the Skins will need him more. Consider Davis as good a start has he has been the last two weeks. Davis is not who the Cowboys will try to limit.

Start Bench List Ratings:
S1: Start 'em Tier One (Stud / Great matchup) U: Upside player (Possible sleeper)
S2: Start 'em Tier Two (Solid matchup) X: Unclear situation / Could go either way
S3: Start 'em Tier Three (Borderline / Barely) B: Bench 'em (Bad Matchup / Too much risk)
Predictions and Projections:
The projections are what is mostly likely to occur given everything that has recently happened added to the current team dynamics. They consider total rushing and passing yardage and scores and then distribute them between the most active starting players based on how the track record of the offense and the opposing defense along with variables like injuries, depth chart changes, venue, weather and so on.


FREE EMAIL UPDATES
Our FREE email updates are packed with the player news and fantasy analysis you need!

 Email Address
a d v e r t i s e m e n t