The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 4
2011
* ATL at SEA * DET at DAL * NO at JAC * SF at PHI
BUF at CIN * MIA at SD * NYG at ARI * TEN at CLE
CAR at CHI MIN at KC NYJ at BAL * WAS at STL
* UPDATED * DEN at GB * NE at OAK PIT at HOU * IND at TB (mon)

Prediction: MIN 17, KC 20

Players to Watch: Dexter McCluster, Jonathan Baldwin

The Vikes are slightly favored to win this assumedly because Adrian Peterson is the only star player in the entire game but the good thing is that someone has to win here. Both teams are 0-3 with the Vikes losing every game by a touchdown or less and the Chiefs getting blown out twice and then battling the Chargers nearly even. But the Chiefs have shown recent life so this may not be easy to call.

Minnesota Vikings
Homefield: Metrodome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SD 17-24 10 @GB -
2 TB 20-24 11 OAK -
3 DET 23-26 12 @ATL -
4 @KC - 13 DEN -
5 ARI - 14 @DET -
6 @CHI - 15 NO -
7 GB - 16 @WAS -
8 @CAR - 17 CHI -
9 Bye -      
Vikings Report | Statistics | Roster
MINNESOTA at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb 10 - 180,1
RB Adrian Peterson 100,1 30 -
TE Vishante Shiancoe - 20 -
WR Bernard Berrian - 10 -
WR Michael Jenkins - 40 -
WR Percy Harvin 30 50,1 -
PK Ryan Longwell 1 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Vikings have Adrian Peterson and that is about the only thing preventing them from being a leader in the race for the worst record in the league for 2011 - though they are still in the running. The defense has yet to allow less than 24 points per game and the passing game varies from poor to "is that they just cannot throw at all?". There are not a lot of easy games on the schedule this season but this should be one of them. Then again, this is only the second road game this year.

QUARTERBACK: The Vikings are adamant that they are not thinking of changing quarterbacks (yet) and that Donovan McNabb is the guy to lead them. But he has only passed for two scored and never more than 228 yards. To his credit, he has only one interception and no fumbles lost but then again - he just is not moving the offense. There is no reliable fantasy value here at all.

The Chiefs had allowed four touchdowns per opposing quarterback but then held Rivers to none last week. Expecting more than one score and marginal yardage from McNabb has so far been a pipe dream though. His only road game was when he passed for 39 yards in San Diego in the opener.

RUNNING BACKS: The fact that Adrian Peterson remains a viable fantasy stud speaks to how good he is. He has been good for around 100 yards or more each week and scored three times, He's even adding two or more catches each week. He is a must start regardless of venue.

The Chargers have allowed five touchdowns to opposing running backs already and twice opponents have managed 100 rushing yards or so. Plug him in and get a good game with a chance of a great one every week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is a sad set of wideouts but how much is them or McNabb could be argued. Percy Harvin is the only player here worth a fantasy start and even he is not above a bad game. Oddly Michael Jenkins left the Falcons as a small-time contributor and while that has mostly just continued here, that still makes him look like the start of the receivers. He has the only touchdown catch by a wide receiver this year and the team high 88 yards in a game. Bernard Berrian likely never has to wash his game uniform because according to the box score he is never on the field. This is a sad group but eventually someone may step up enough to matter.

The Chargers are below average against wide receivers but relying on any of these is a huge risk. I am crediting Harvin with the touchdown but as a placeholder more than a certainty.

TIGHT ENDS: Vishante Shiancoe did have a touchdown last Sunday on his only catch in the game. That leaves him with four receptions for 36 yards on the entire season. No fantasy value here. He might catch the touchdown this week as well but there would be almost no yardage attached.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 29 9 29 22 12 18
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 24 31 21 29 31 25


Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 7-41 10 DEN -
2 @DET 3-48 11 @NE -
3 @SD 17-20 12 PIT -
4 MIN - 13 @CHI -
5 @IND - 14 @NYJ -
6 Bye - 15 GB -
7 @OAK - 16 OAK -
8 SD - 17 @DEN -
9 MIA -      
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY at SD Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel - - 220,1
RB Dexter McCluster 50 40 -
RB Thomas Jones 40 - -
TE Leonard Pope - 20 -
WR Jonathan Baldwin - 20 -
WR Steve Breaston - 30 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 80,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: At least the Chargers game was close. Tantalizingly so after 34 and 45 point blowouts. By this point the Chiefs are looking at the schedule to see where they might get any wins. This week may be as easy as it gets along with hosting the Broncos in week ten. Ryan Succop is only 2 of 5 on field goals this year and could have tied the score against the Chargers. The team will hold onto him for now but much more errant kicks and he'll be gone. This week is a nice set-up for a decent game since they come back from a two week road trek, have adjusted to losing Jamaal Charles and face the visiting Vikes.

I like a defensive score in this game.

QUARTERBACK: The Chiefs still have not passed for more than 200 yards in a game but at least Matt Cassel had two scores in San Diego and his 176 yards here was tops for the year so far. Like McNabb, Cassel has been a major disappointment this year and is struggling with the new offense.

The Vikes have allowed no less than 243 yards and one score to an opposing quarterback this year. Granted - Cassel is bound to create a new low but at least this is a softer secondary than what Cassel has been facing. He's not worth a fantasy start but should have his best game of the year here. That is not saying much though.

RUNNING BACKS: Chances are that Thomas Jones will be better in a home game. His first game as a starter only ended with 31 yards on 14 carries against the Chargers and he has no role as a receiver. He's as good as it gets in a primary runner but over-the-hill and with the "lost step". Dexter McCluster evoked some optimism when he ran nine times for 45 yards and added five catches for 17 yards. He'll never be a fulltime back at his size but could carve himself out a role that would border fantasy relevance. He was fast and shifty and deserves a better look this week against a defense that not only has allowed five touchdowns to running backs, but three different backs had over 50 yards receiving against them.

It is still early to consider McCluster as a start, but if you were really in a bind this week he at least has some upside.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There is a good chance that Jonathan Baldwin gets to play this week though he is unpracticed and raw. Still, the rookie with the hot head and poor "pick your battles" skills could make his first NFL catch this week and the Chiefs desperately need someone else to step up and help Dwayne Bowe. Worth watching with low expectations.

Bowe scored last week for the first time that any wideout on the team found the endzone this year. He's maintained at least some fantasy value these last two weeks but no other receiver has done anything. Steve Breaston had 55 yards last week but otherwise every other wideout performance has been less than 27 yards this year outside of Bowe.

The Vikings have been generally good against the pass but allowed three scores so far. Bowe is still worth a start this week but no other Chiefs wideout is.

TIGHT ENDS: Leonard Pope scored last week for the first time but he has yet to gain more than 34 yards in any game. The Vikings are soft against the position as well but Pope is not worth owning yet. This home game should be a nice spot to see if he will build on his three catches last week or not.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 31 20 30 23 31 28
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 23 28 14 22 25 3

WEEK 4
2011
ATL at SEA DET at DAL NO at JAC SF at PHI
BUF at CIN MIA at SD NYG at ARI TEN at CLE
CAR at CHI MIN at KC NYJ at BAL WAS at STL
  DEN at GB NE at OAK PIT at HOU IND at TB (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t