The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 4
2011
* ATL at SEA * DET at DAL * NO at JAC * SF at PHI
BUF at CIN * MIA at SD * NYG at ARI * TEN at CLE
CAR at CHI MIN at KC NYJ at BAL * WAS at STL
* UPDATED * DEN at GB * NE at OAK PIT at HOU * IND at TB (mon)

Prediction: PIT 16, HOU 23

Players to Watch: Antonio Brown, Owen Daniels

The Steelers squeaked past the reeling Colts and head to Houston where the Texans return home after being reminded in New Orleans that there are better teams. In two road games this year, the Steelers have only scored a total of two offensive touchdowns. This week should be a defensive matchup or else the Steelers get flushed away early.

Pittsburgh Steelers
Homefield: Heinz Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @BAL 7-35 10 @CIN -
2 SEA 24-0 11 Bye -
3 @IND 23-20 12 @KC -
4 @HOU - 13 CIN -
5 TEN - 14 CLE -
6 JAC - 15 @SF -
7 @ARI - 16 STL -
8 NE - 17 @CLE -
9 BAL -      
Steelers Report | Statistics | Roster
PITTSBURGH at HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger - - 300,1
RB Rashard Mendenhall 50 10 -
TE Heath Miller - 30 -
WR Antonio Brown - 60 -
WR Hines Ward - 40 -
WR Emmanuel Sanders - 30 -
WR Mike Wallace - 120,1 -
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Steelers should place Mike Wallace in a monitored, padded room between games because if anything happens to him there may be no points coming out of Pittsburgh. The rushing game is mediocre at best and with significant injuries across the offensive line, that is not going to improve anytime soon. Even Big Ben has been sacked nine times already though that is really no different than any year as much as he holds onto the ball. The Steelers are bringing in free agents and trying to fix the line but for some reason no decent blockers are just working at 7-11 and waiting for the Steelers to call.

QUARTERBACK: On the plus side, Ben Roethlisberger passed for 280 to 364 yards in the first three games. Then again, he only had one touchdown in each and has four interceptions. Take away what Mike Wallace adds and Big Ben would be more like "throw the rookie into the fire" sort of ineffective. But Wallace is there and with that, the chance for more of the same.

The Texans have allowed at least one passing score every game and have not faced any good quarterbacks other than Drew Brees who just burned them with 370 yards and three touchdowns. Big Ben remains a moderate play that just seems disappointing every week.

RUNNING BACKS: The problem is an offensive line that loses players faster than they can be adequately replaced. Rashard Mendenhall has rushed the ball 49 times this year but only gained 148 yards for a 3.0 yard average. He has just one touchdown and never more than 66 rushing yards in any game. Since he is rarely used as a receiver, he has been a major disappointment and unable to take advantage of good matchups. He has an easier schedule than almost any running back that gets easier in the second half of the year so he will pay dividends later on if you are still in the playoff race in your league. But not much help currently.

The Texans have been at least average against the run and better when at home. Expect yet another disappointing game from Mendenhall who cannot often get past the line of scrimmage let alone down field.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Mike Wallace is second only to Wes Welker with 377 yards and two scores on the season and that comes with no game less than 107 yards. He has been the only weapon that works for the Steelers and the beauty of it is that so far - he always works. There has been only one other score by a wideout when Emmanuel Sanders got a touchdown in the season opener. This is all about Wallace and no other receiver has mattered other than Antonio Brown who has quietly turned in efforts of 4-67 and 4-75 these last two games. For a team that needs someone to do more and help Wallace, Brown is starting to string decent weeks together.

Fortunately that should continue since the Texans have allowed four touchdowns which includes one to every opponents #1 wideout. But while there will be some success by the others, it is not enough to warrant fantasy consideration.

TIGHT ENDS: Heath Miller had done nearly nothing in the first two games but came up with 71 yards on five catches in Indianapolis. That is still too unreliable to consider for even adding to your roster yet.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PIT 19 24 6 24 23 25
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 15 15 22 15 2 6


Houston Texans
Homefield: Reliant Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 34-7 10 @TB -
2 @MIA 23-13 11 Bye -
3 @NO 33-40 12 @JAC -
4 PIT - 13 ATL -
5 OAK - 14 @CIN -
6 @BAL - 15 CAR -
7 @TEN - 16 @IND -
8 JAC - 17 TEN -
9 CLE -      
Texans Report | Statistics | Roster
HOUSTON vs PIT Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Schaub - - 230,1
RB Arian Foster 90,1 20 -
TE Owen Daniels - 50,1 -
WR Andre' Johnson - 80 -
WR Kevin Walter - 40 -
WR Jacoby Jones - 20 -
PK Neil Rackers 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Texans nearly won in New Orleans before a late rally put the Saints ahead with less than two minutes to play. That game was needed to judge this team since beating the now 0-3 Colts was not as impressive as it seemed and beating the 0-3 Dolphins was not shocking either. This week will truly be a defining game as well against a still formidable Steelers team that has sputtered in some games. The offense is hitting on all cylinders this year and the defense has been better.

QUARTERBACK: These last two road games have produced stats more like the old Matt Schaub who had no rushing game prior to 2010. He passed for 230 yards and two scores in Miami and then ended with 373 yards and three scores at New Orleans. It has been mostly Andre Johnson but not exclusively. This week is a bigger chore facing the Steelers pass defense that is ranked #1 against both quarterbacks and wide receivers. Joe Flacco had three scores and 224 yards on the Steelers but Tarvaris Jackson and Curtis Painter did not fare well. And that was to be expected. Schaub is not a great start this week but should post a score or two.

RUNNING BACKS: Ben Tate tweaked his ankle last week but is expected to be fine. He currently ranks 5th in the NFL with 301 rushing yards on the season in only three games and scored once. But Arian Foster is slated to return this week from his hamstring strain that has robbed him of almost all three games so far. Foster could do better than expected against the Steelers who have been softer against the run this year. Foster faces a defense that has allowed two rushing scores and no less than 86 rushing yards to opposing running backs on the road. It is a small risk given Foster's health concerns but after three weeks, most any production would be a welcome sight for his fantasy owners.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The Andre' Johnson show is alive and well and attended by all other wide receivers since they are not that busy making plays themselves. Kevin Walter returned to the lineup last week and scored for the first time but only had 35 yards on three catches. No other wideout has managed more than 48 yards in a game. Johnson, quite the contrary, has posted no less than 93 yards in every game and scored twice. He's had exactly seven receptions in every game.

The Steelers have allowed just one receiving score to a wide receiver (Boldin) and very minimal yardage to all. Johnson is a must start each week anyway but none of the others remotely interesting this game.

TIGHT ENDS: Schaub has been increasing his use of Owen Daniels who has scored in each of the last two games and comes off a five catch, 76 yard effort in New Orleans. That's high for a player who had been knocking round 20 yards per game the first two weeks but it would be a big help to the offense if he would step up into a more prominent role, especially since the other wideouts have been less than impressive. This should be a decent spot for him to matter and will say a lot about where he falls in the game plan.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 15 3 15 15 1 7
Preventing Fantasy Points PIT 1 19 1 13 5 30

WEEK 4
2011
ATL at SEA DET at DAL NO at JAC SF at PHI
BUF at CIN MIA at SD NYG at ARI TEN at CLE
CAR at CHI MIN at KC NYJ at BAL WAS at STL
  DEN at GB NE at OAK PIT at HOU IND at TB (mon)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t