The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 5
2011
*ARI at MIN *NO at CAR *SD at DEN CHI at DET (mon)
CIN at JAC *NYJ at NE *SEA at NYG BYE
GB at ATL OAK at HOU *TB at SF BAL, CLE, DAL
*UPDATED KC at IND PHI at BUF *TEN at PIT MIA, STL, WAS

Prediction: OAK 20, HOU 24

Players to Watch: Jacoby Jones, James Casey

The 2-2 Raiders hit the road to Houston where the 3-1 Texans are tied with the Titans for first place in the AFC South. This game should be all about the run with two of the best in the business and since Andre Johnson is injured, there may be even less passing anyway.

The Texans won 31-24 in Oakland last year.

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @DEN 23-20 10 @SD -
2 @BUF 35-38 11 @MIN -
3 NYJ 34-24 12 CHI -
4 NE 19-31 13 @MIA -
5 @HOU - 14 @GB -
6 CLE - 15 DET -
7 KC - 16 @KC -
8 Bye - 17 SD -
9 DEN -      
Raiders Report | Statistics | Roster
OAKLAND at HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell 10 - 210,1
RB Darren McFadden 60,1 70 -
TE Kevin Boss - 30 -
WR Jacoby Ford - 40 -
WR Denarius Moore 20 40,1 -
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey - 30 -
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Raiders were bulldozed by the Patriots last week but that was the first time they were not neck-and-neck in a game or winning it. The entire question surrounding the Raiders fortunes remains can anyone stop Darren McFadden? Until the passing offense finds some consistency, it will be hard for the Raiders to rely so heavily on one player and catastrophic should be become injured.

QUARTERBACK: For some reason Jason Campbell loved the AFC East secondaries where he has twice posted 300+ yard efforts this season. Granted most of it against the Pats came in trash time but it was better than when he faced decent defenses that held him twice to 160 yards or less in a game. Campbell has been wildly inconsistent this year but at least has four passing touchdowns on the season. He's never been more than average really, he just occasionally has a good game.

Bruce Gradkowski passed for 278 yards and two touchdowns on the Texans last season.

The two other visitors to Houston this year never had more than about 200 yards and one score via the pass and both IND and PIT can arguably still be considered better passing teams. No reason to expect more from Campbell who does turn in a rushing score fairly often to help his fantasy value.

RUNNING BACKS: Darren McFadden still has not turned in less than 120 total yards in a game and has four touchdowns on the year. Michael Bush injured his ankle last week and is not certain to play here and that would only serve to make McFadden even better since Bush has scored once in each of the last three games. McFadden getting all the goal line work would be huge.

McFadden only gained 47 yards on 12 runs against the Texans but added 82 yards on six catches.

The Texans have been very good against the run and in Houston has held both opponents to under 100 rushing yards. The only question with McFadden is whether his yardage is rushing or receiving. Expect more receiving and receptions this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There is little fantasy value here you can rely on though on occasion one player will have a good game. Darrius Heyward-Bey managed to gain 115 yards on four catches last Sunday but has been nearly invisible in all other games. Jacoby Ford continues his role as the fastest, highest upside receiver that has never really done anything. Denarius Moore is the interesting one because he has only been used extensively in one game where he had 115 yards and a score in Buffalo but has logged a touchdown in each of the more recent games. One was a 23-yard end around run and the other a quick catch in the end zone during trash time at the very end of the whooping by the Patriots. Few yards the last two weeks but a touchdown in each.

There is just little worth relying on here and yet the Texans are only average against the pass. I am awarding a score to Moore since he is the only wideout to actually experience a touchdown but consider it with little confidence. It could well end up with McFadden and render the rest of the team worthless. Like most weeks.

TIGHT ENDS: Never any touchdowns and rarely any yards though Kevin Boss had a freakish 78 yards on four catches against the visiting Patriots. That was double his first three weeks production.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 18 1 19 30 12 21
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 9 11 18 6 1 2


Houston Texans
Homefield: Reliant Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 34-7 10 @TB -
2 @MIA 23-13 11 Bye -
3 @NO 33-40 12 @JAC -
4 PIT 17-10 13 ATL -
5 OAK - 14 @CIN -
6 @BAL - 15 CAR -
7 @TEN - 16 @IND -
8 JAC - 17 TEN -
9 CLE -      
Texans Report | Statistics | Roster
HOUSTON vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Schaub - - 180,1
RB Arian Foster 120,2 30 -
TE Owen Daniels - 50,1 -
WR Bryant Johnson - 20 -
WR Kevin Walter - 30 -
WR Jacoby Jones - 40 -
PK Neil Rackers 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: Beating the Steelers lends a stamp of legitimacy to the 3-1 Texans even if they were on the road and decimated by injury. This week will be one of the softest games left on the schedule and the next week in Baltimore should be rough so the Texans need to pick up this winnable game. Losing Andre Johnson is going to be tough to get past but at least the rushing game is as dominating as ever.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Schaub continues to throw at least one score in every game but against the Steelers only managed 138 yards - part from missing Andre Johnson and part from a successful rushing effort. And both of those could be in play this week. The Raiders secondary has allowed plenty of yards and surprisingly the least effective opponent has been Tom Brady with two scores because they were running for big gains and two touchdowns anyway. Without Johnson, the passing attack becomes rather average since no players have stepped up in the past when Johnson was out. Schaub could still have a decent showing this week but they are at home and facing the #31 defense against running backs. That means more Foster and less Schaub.

Schaub passed for 192 yards and two touchdowns in Houston last year.

RUNNING BACKS: Arian Foster may be all alone this week with Derrick Ward still out with a high ankle sprain and Ben Tate nursing a sore groin that forced him out of the Pittsburgh game.

Foster gained 133 yards and a score on 17 runs in Oakland last year and added another touchdown on his three catches for 56 yards. Even Derrick Ward gained 78 yard and a touchdown in that game.

No need to over think Foster versus the #31 defense against running backs. This should be one of the better games of the year for Foster.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The loss of Andre' Johnson means Jacoby Jones once again gets to be a starter for at least three weeks at current projection for Johnson's hamstring strain. Jones subbed for Johnson three times last season and had games of 1-12 (@OAK), 5-115 (@DEN) and 5-70 (JAC) in the season finale. It is not like Jones is anything different standing on the left side instead of the slot. He'll get more yards and catches but that doesn't mean it is going to merit a fantasy start. The Texans will use Bryant Johnson as the #3 receiver for now and Kevin Walter remains a fantasy waste with no catches last week. In the next two games, the trio will have at least marginally more production without Johnson there to dominate the passing scheme but that's not likely to mean much @BAL or @TEN before Johnson is due to get back. Let someone else grab them in free agency since they won't need them this week and won't be able to find them in the next two games.

Johnson would have scored in this one but none of the three are worth a fantasy start.

TIGHT ENDS: Have to love how Owen Daniels has become the end zone target. He has scored once in each of the last three games and had decent yardage in each . Against the Steelers he ended with 69 yards on five catches. He had 76 yards on five receptions in New Orleans. A consistent tight end? Like gold.

This also deserves to mention James Casey who had 126 yards on five catches and one score in New Orleans but then only had one catch for eight yards last week. He is listed as a tight end in some leagues and as a running back in others. He is a fullback, H-back type that was heavily into the Saints game plan but has done nothing else in other games. Worth watching this week to see if he may have some value in the two tough road games coming up when the Texans will be challenged to run much.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 20 3 25 11 3 10
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 26 31 23 5 13 7

WEEK 5
2011
ARI at MIN NO at CAR SD at DEN CHI at DET (mon)
CIN at JAC NYJ at NE SEA at NYG BYE
GB at ATL OAK at HOU TB at SF BAL, CLE, DAL
  KC at IND PHI at BUF TEN at PIT MIA, STL, WAS

a d v e r t i s e m e n t