The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 6
2011
BUF at NYG * HOU at BAL NO at TB * MIA at NYJ (mon)
CAR at ATL * IND at CIN * PHI at WAS ARI, DEN
CLE at OAK JAC at PIT SF at DET KC, SD
*Updated * DAL at NE * MIN at CHI STL at GB SEA, TEN

Prediction: STL 13, GB 27

Players to Watch: Austin Pettis

The Rams come off their bye rested but still bring a winless record to face the unbeaten Packers on the road. The biggest fear here is that the Packers try to mail this win in and shortcut what should be nice games from many of the players.

St. Louis Rams
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 13-31 10 @CLE -
2 @NYG 16-28 11 SEA -
3 BAL 7-37 12 ARI -
4 WAS 10-17 13 @SF -
5 Bye - 14 @SEA -
6 @GB - 15 CIN -
7 @DAL - 16 @PIT -
8 NO - 17 SF -
9 @ARI -      
Rams Report | Statistics | Roster
ST. LOUIS at GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford - - 240,1
RB Steven Jackson 40 20 -
TE Lance Kendricks - 30 -
WR Mike Sims-Walker - 50 -
WR Austin Pettis - 40 -
WR Brandon Gibson - 50 -
WR Danario Alexander - 50,1 -
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Hopefully the rest will help the offense that has never scored more than one touchdown per game or the porous defense that has struggled despite starting out with three home games with just one road trip. Now it gets worse for a bit with five more road games in the next six weeks with the only homestand being the Saints. The latter half of the season is far easier but the way it is going means Bradford could be getting a shiny new receiver from the NFL draft with a very high draft pick.

QUARTERBACK: He's hardly been anywhere near his 2010 standard and Sam Bradford is learning the new Josh Daniels offense without any spark in production so far. Three of four games only produced less than 190 passing yards and Bradford only has three touchdowns on the season against four interceptions. In fairness, Bradford has opened against a brutal schedule. In reality, that is not going to stop anytime soon heading to Green Bay and then Dallas before hosting the Saints.

Word to the wise - check out his schedule. No NFC West games until the second half of the season. We may see a very different Bradford starting in November.

The Packers secondary has been weaker this year but have faced some of the better quarterbacks along the way. Bradford has been locked in with one score per effort and it is doubtful the Rams can run in Green Bay. No reason to expect a turnaround this week.

RUNNING BACKS: The rest has been good for Steven Jackson who struggled with his quadriceps injury since literally his first play of the season. That long romp was his only score and while he came back in week two (4-23) and week three (17-45) he was not completely healthy ad did not play well. The tougher schedule has been a detriment to Jackson as well and it is not getting any better in the next three weeks.

The Packers defense has only allowed one rushing score and that was on the road to Atlanta. This is a top rush defense and should stop Jackson. His best hope is to get more passes thrown to him.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There's been a whole lot of nothing going on here with minimal reason to expect it to get better soon. Mike Sims-Walker had one decent game in New York where he had 92 yards and Danario Alexander also turned in 122 yards and a touchdown in that game. Otherwise, no receiver has gained more than 55 yards in any game and only Brandon Gibson has a touchdown. On the Rams, one touchdown makes you tied for the team scoring lead. Danny Amendola was placed on injured reserve, so the cavalry is not coming. The rookie Austin Pettis will take over the slot role from now on while Greg Salas fades into the background.

The Packers secondary can be burned but there is precious little consistency here and even less big number production. The entire season has only seen this unit come up with two touchdowns. It is likely that the one score ends up here if only in meaningless trash time but to which player is a coin flip. None of these are more than marginal plays to cover a bye week with low expectations. Alexander has his one good game and score in the only other road game. That's about as close to any clue as you can get from this squad and it is mighty thin.

TIGHT ENDS: The rookie Lance Kendricks has plenty of promise but not much production yet. His best game is only 33 yards on four catches and he still has yet to score. The Packers have allowed three tight ends to score on them already but it's optimistic to hope Kendricks gets his first touchdown on the road in Green Bay.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 30 32 20 28 28 26
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 29 5 29 23 11 11


Green Bay Packers
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NO 42-34 10 MIN -
2 @CAR 30-23 11 TB -
3 @CHI 27-17 12 @DET -
4 DEN 49-23 13 @NYG -
5 @ATL 25-14 14 OAK -
6 STL - 15 @KC -
7 @MIN - 16 CHI -
8 Bye - 17 DET -
9 @SD -      
Packers Report | Statistics | Roster
GREEN BAY vs Rams Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 20 - 320,2
RB Ryan Grant 40 10 -
RB James Starks 50 20 -
TE Jermichael Finley - 60 -
WR Greg Jennings - 90,1 -
WR Jordy Nelson - 70,1 -
WR James Jones - 40 -
PK Mason Crosby 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Packers fell behind 14-0 last week in Atlanta but then reeled off 25 unanswered points to take the game with relative ease. The natural question to ask now is who can beat them? Can this team go undefeated? That schedule is looking easier with every passing week and the Packers are looking better if not the same. 16-0? Let me be the first to say if it doesn't happen it will be because of a big upset.

I like a defensive score.

QUARTERBACK: Aaron Rodgers is racing towards another monster season with nary a bad game. He has always passed for at least two scores and has a total of 14 over five games played. He has never passed for less than 297 yards and his current average is 344 yards per game. Throw in a couple of rushing scores and we wonder why we did not draft him last summer.

The limiting factor here will be how much the Packers care. They know they can beat an 0-4 visiting team. They have probably already played their toughest games of the year. Rodgers is an automatic start anyway and can post monster stats but this game smacks of a "take it easy" game. The Rams have never scored more than one touchdown in a game. Why strain yourself?

RUNNING BACKS: The split between Ryan Grant and James Starks is killing their respective fantasy value as shown last week when they combined for only 85 total combined yards. Starks remains the slightly better bet but only marginally so. The Rams defense have allowed three scores to runners so far and decent rushing yardage but it will get split here and prevent either from being a barely moderate play. John Kuhn could step in and steal a touchdown anyway.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is likely the most dangerous unit in the entire league. The only guaranteed weekly star has been Greg Jennings with a score in four of five games and always decent to good yardage. Jordy Nelson has three touchdowns and has been solid but quieter in the last two road games. James Jones had a career best 140 yards and a score on the Falcons and even scored the previous week but rarely has any appreciable yardage. Randall Cobb is starting to make some waves as the #4 in the group.

The Rams secondary is nothing special but again this week it depends on how motivated the Packers are to post points. The two passing scores are most likely to end up here with Jennings and Nelson who is bigger when at home. But there is a chance for a disappointment as well since the Packers will not need them all to play well in order to win.

TIGHT ENDS: Jermichael Finley continues to be worthy of around 60 yards in most games but he still has only scored in the one Bears game so far. Rodgers has not hooked up with him in the red zone as expected this year but at least Finley is worth around 5 or 6 catches per week.

The Rams have given up little to tight ends this year but that is not saying much. Teams have been successful with pretty much whatever they choose to use against them.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 1 22 1 10 7 4
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 22 29 26 1 16 32

WEEK 6
2011
BUF at NYG HOU at BAL NO at TB MIA at NYJ (mon)
CAR at ATL IND at CIN PHI at WAS ARI, DEN
CLE at OAK JAC at PIT SF at DET KC, SD
  DAL at NE MIN at CHI STL at GB SEA, TEN

a d v e r t i s e m e n t