The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 7
2011
ATL at DET HOU at TEN * SD at NYJ BAL at JAC (mon)
CHI at TB * IND at NO * SEA at CLE Bye Week
DEN at MIA * KC at OAK * STL at DAL BUF, CIN, NE
*UPDATED GB at MIN * PIT at ARI WAS at CAR NYG, PHI, SF

Prediction: CHI 20, TB 17

Players to Watch: None

The Bears come off a fun-filled stomping of the visiting Vikings but remain three games short of first place in the NFC North with a 3-3 record that includes 0-2 in previous road games. The Buccaneers upset the Saints last week in part from being embarrassed the previous week when the 49ers beat them 48-3. This game is played in London which usually means it does not follow the team trends too much and is usually lower scoring.

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ATL 30-12 10 DET -
2 @NO 13-30 11 SD -
3 GB 17-27 12 @OAK -
4 CAR 34-29 13 KC -
5 @DET 13-24 14 @DEN -
6 MIN 39-10 15 SEA -
7 @TB - 16 @GB -
8 Bye - 17 @MIN -
9 @PHI -      
Bears Report | Statistics | Roster
CHICAGO at TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler - - 230,1
RB Matt Forte 90,1 40 -
WR Dane Sanzenbacher - 30,1 -
WR Roy Williams - 40 -
WR Devin Hester - 60 -
WR Johnny Knox - 40 -
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: Nice win over the Vikings felt good but the Bears are in a bad division this year with the Lions and Packers both racking up the wins. This week will be a big test since the two previous road trips resulted in losses to the Lions and Saints. The bottom line here is that the Bears cannot afford more than a couple of losses if they are to have any chance of reaching the playoffs this season.

QUARTERBACK: Jay Cutler looked sharp against the weak Vikings and was only sacked once (but hit many times). But more germane is that Cutler has never passed for more than two scores in any game and on the road has never had more than one touchdown or gained more than 250 yards. He's also been more likely to get sacked in road efforts which matches up with the Buccaneers. The Bucs have been softer in allowing passing yardage but have allowed only ten scores over six games played.

Important as well is that the home version of the Buccaneers are really good against the run and that means more passing. Cutler should end up with at least one score and decent yardage but could easily see high yards and two scores depending on how well Forte is stopped.

RUNNING BACKS: There is no denying that Matt Forte has been a total yards beast this year and he is good for at least 100 yards every week and as much 200 yards in a weak matchup. But much comes from his role as a receiver and he has scored only one since the season opener and that was in a home game.

The Buccaneers have been weaker against the run but only when they are on the road. At home - different animal. On the road they have allowed 5.9 yards per carry and two rushing touchdowns per game. At home it was just 3.0 yards per carry and only one touchdown over four games played there. Expect Forte to be the centerpiece of the offense and to have success against the Buccaneers.

WIDE RECEIVERS: No changes here other than Roy Williams was noted for having a big game because he caught three passes for 50 yards against the 49ers. There have only been a total of four touchdowns thrown to the team wideouts and three of those ended up with Dane Sanzenbacher who almost never has much more than the one touchdown catch. The undrafted rookie is also likely to be replaced whenever Earl Bennett is able to return. This unit has yardage each week but no player ever has a big game. None of them are consistent enough to merit any fantasy consideration.

I am giving Sanzenbacher the score more as a placeholder though he does have three of the four wideout touchdowns and his best two games were on the road.

TIGHT ENDS: Kellen Davis left Sunday's game after aggravating his previously injured elbow and did not return. He may still play this week and if he can be healthy, he stands a good shot to score against a defense that has already allowed five touchdowns to the position but Davis never gains more than around 30 yards in any game and usually much less. No need to project for him.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 23 11 20 24 7 4
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 20 19 22 29 22 8


Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DET 20-27 10 HOU -
2 @MIN 24-20 11 @GB -
3 ATL 16-13 12 @TEN -
4 IND 24-17 13 CAR -
5 @SF 3-48 14 @JAC -
6 NO 26-20 15 DAL -
7 CHI - 16 @CAR -
8 Bye - 17 @ATL -
9 @NO -      
Buccaneers Report | Statistics | Roster
TAMPA BAY vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Josh Freeman - - 230,1
RB Earnest Graham 80,1 30 -
TE Kellen Winslow Jr. - 40 -
WR Preston Parker - 50,1 -
WR Mike Williams - 40 -
WR Arrelious Benn - 50 -
PK Conner Barth 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: Quite the turnaround when the Buccaneers went from losing by 45 points to beating the Saints. And it happened without LeGarrette Blount. But if for only one week, the Bucs played like it was 2010. Josh Freeman had about twice the game from his 2011 norm and Earnest Graham carved up the Saints defense. This is a team that does play far better at home and especially the defense. With only a bye on the other side, a win this week keeps the Bucs tied for first place in the NFC South with a win over the Saints.

QUARTERBACK: Make no mistake - Josh Freeman was a big bust this year when he had only passed for three touchdowns over his first five games against six interceptions and rarely more than 250 yards. When the Saints marched in, he threw for 303 yards and two scores with no turnovers or sacks. it is unlikely that he suddenly has seen the light, but it is encouraging and another home game will help him stay in the right direction.

Freeman should be able to throw for at least one score this week and possibly two. The Bears secondary allowed over 270 passing yards in four games.

RUNNING BACKS: LeGarrette Blount remains out with a sore knee but Earnest Graham did a great job subbing against the Saints when he rushed for 109 yards on 17 carries and added 22 yards on two receptions. Kregg Lumpkin only had two carries so whatever will happen here, will almost entirely end up with Graham again this week. Graham is a great receiver and as a dual threat should remain good for moderate yardage in total or better.

The Bears on the road gave up a monster game to Jahvid Best recently and even the Saints had over 100 rushing yards on them. I like Graham for one rushing score here though it would be easier to explain why not than why it will happen. The thinking is that the Bears will be a bit happier with themselves after the blowout over the Vikings and on the road more likely to let down a little this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This band of receivers combine for decent yardage each week and they may be getting slightly better. Arrelious Benn comes off a season best game of 83 yards and a score on the Saints and Preston Parker also scored but rarely has much yardage. Parker has scored once in both of the last home games but never had more than 70 yards. Mike Williams was the big dog last year but he's just a dog now with no touchdowns since the season opener and around 50 yards in most games. There is nothing big going on here with any individual player but together they produce decent stats even if it remains light on any scoring.

The Bears secondary has only allowed three touchdowns this year to a wide receiver and all three came in the two previous road games. Have to like Parker again this week since he's more like previous scorers of Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem.

TIGHT ENDS: Just expect around 40 or 50 yards per week and never any score from Kellen Winslow Jr. and go on about your life. He does it every weekend so far. There are a handful of points - never much more or less.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TB 18 20 21 22 15 19
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 23 16 13 32 20 12

WEEK 7
2011
ATL at DET HOU at TEN SD at NYJ BAL at JAC (mon)
CHI at TB IND at NO SEA at CLE Bye Week
DEN at MIA KC at OAK STL at DAL BUF, CIN, NE
  GB at MIN PIT at ARI WAS at CAR NYG, PHI, SF

a d v e r t i s e m e n t