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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 8
2011
* ARI at BAL * DET at DEN * MIN at CAR * SD at KC (mon)
* CIN at SEA IND at TEN * NE at PIT Bye Week
* CLE at SF * JAC at HOU * NO at STL ATL, CHI, GB
* Updated DAL at PHI * MIA at NYG WAS at BUF NYJ, OAK, TB

Prediction: IND 13, TEN 23

Update: Joseph Addai is listed as questionable this week but was able to have a full practice on Friday and is expected to play. He remains a risk as we saw last week when he only played for one quarter before aggravating his hamstring again.

This game is a bit different than we would have thought even just a week ago let alone last summer. The Colts come off their worst defeat in franchise history and one of the worst beatdowns in the history of the NFL. At 0-7 the season is long over and there is not even pride to play for since they left that in the gutters of Bourbon Street. The Titans are 3-3 but remain home after getting pummeled by the Texans 7-41. Wow. These two teams lost their most recent game by a combined 14-103. Gotta be a record.

The Colts swept the Titans last season, winning 30-28 in Tennessee and later 23-20 at home. Can't imagine that happening again this year.

Indianapolis Colts
Homefield: Lucas Oil Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 7-34 10 JAC -
2 CLE 19-27 11 Bye -
3 PIT 20-23 12 CAR -
4 @TB 17-24 13 @NE -
5 KC 24-28 14 @BAL -
6 @CIN 17-27 15 TEN -
7 @NO 7-62 16 HOU -
8 @TEN - 17 @JAC -
9 ATL -      
Colts Report | Statistics | Roster
INDIANAPOLIS at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Curtis Painter 10 - 170
RB Delone Carter 20,1 10 -
RB Joseph Addai 60 20 -
TE Dallas Clark - 20 -
WR Reggie Wayne - 50 -
WR Austin Collie - 20 -
WR Pierre Garcon - 40 -
PK Adam Vinatieri 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: A bad season did a nosedive into the toilet bowl with that loss in New Orleans. Natural questions are being asked about how safe HC Jim Caldwell's job is. Curtis Painter is getting worse every game and teams are delighting in bombing the previously dominant Colts. This is a team that is bursting at the seams and one look at Peyton Manning's face on the sideline says the problems run deep right now.

QUARTERBACK: Curtis Painter seemed effective at first tossing scores to Pierre Garcon while defenses had no game film on him. Those turned in a 188 yard effort in Cincy with one score and then on Sunday night, Painter only completed 13 of 29 passes for 93 yards. He may have paid off those first two weeks but his outlook is bleak now.

The Titans secondary is nothing special and allowed 11 touchdowns this year but Painter has been beyond bad. Expecting any score here is a big risk. The Titans will be in a mode to beat someone, anyone after last week.

RUNNING BACKS: Joseph Addai played last week for two carries and two catches but re-aggravated his hamstring and was taken out of the game. He later said he could have returned but the game was so far out of hand there was no sense. Delone Carter had a great game rushing for 89 yards and a score on just ten carries but then again, why run the ball when you are down by 57 points? It meant nothing.

I'll assume that Addai can play this week with help from Carter and that Donald Brown fades into the background where he belongs. The Titans are weak against the run and the Colts should have at least marginal success rushing the ball. If a touchdown happens, it most likely comes on a run but all these backs carry more risk than reward. Addai might hurt his hammy again or Brown could show up and do something.

WIDE RECEIVERS:The Pierre Garcon revival is over now that he only had 52 and 31 yards in the most recent two games without a score. Reggie Wayne sits on the bench these days looking like he not only ran over his own dog, but that his Dad is making him bury it too. Wayne has not scored since the season opener and tops out at around 60 yards in road games. Austin Collie is the lucky one because he runs no risk of more concussions because he rarely has any catches any more.

The Titans are very good against the position and the Colts are bad. And yes, Wayne is a very marginal play at best.

TIGHT ENDS: Just when Dallas Clark seemed to be back with 53 yards and a score on the Bengals, he not only posts a big fat zero on the Saints, he never even had a pass thrown to him. None. Good night sweet prince, it was fun while it lasted.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 30 29 18 25 26 27
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 13 28 5 29 21 6


Tennessee Titans
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @JAC 14-16 10 @CAR -
2 BAL 26-13 11 @ATL -
3 DEN 17-14 12 TB -
4 @CLE 31-13 13 @BUF -
5 @PIT 17-38 14 NO -
6 Bye - 15 @IND -
7 HOU 7-41 16 JAC -
8 IND - 17 @HOU -
9 CIN -      
Titans Report | Statistics | Roster
TENNESSEE vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck - - 250,2
RB Chris Johnson 80 10 -
TE Jared Cook - 20 -
WR Lavelle Hawkins - 30 -
WR Nate Washington - 90,1 -
WR Damian Williams - 60,1 -
PK Rob Bironas 3 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Titans looked like a contender back when they were 3-1 but the Steelers and the Texans have both pimp slapped that notion out of them. The rushing game is still hidden in Chris Johnson's vault and the defense has crumbled in recent weeks. This week should be a win - a catastrophe if it is a loss - but that success may be short-lived with a tougher slate of games ahead. The world waits on Chris Johnson who has gone from star employee to the owner's worthless son with no signs of turning around.

QUARTERBACK: Disregarding what happened last week (and the Titans really want to do just that), Matt Hasselbeck has been more than solid with 12 touchdowns on the season against only six interceptions and healthy yardage even after Kenny Britt was lost for the year. His two previous home games were both over 300 yards but last week was a ridiculous 104 yards in a classic trap game. This week should be a nice bounce back.

The Colts secondary is in shambles after allowing ten touchdowns over just the last three matchups and very healthy yardage for all opponents. With a rushing game that sputters still, expect Hasselbeck to come out throwing and have success.

RUNNING BACKS: By now it is beyond explanation. Chris Johnson had 100 yards against the Browns and then 51 yards on 14 carries and a score in Pittsburgh. He looked like he might be turning a small corner and giving some fuel to the speculation that missing offseason meant he had to be rusty for the first month - his "preseason". But against the visiting Texans who had just allowed 160 total yards to Ray Rice, Johnson turned in 18 yards on ten carries.

He did add six receptions for 27 yards but most teams do not pay $60 million to a third down back. He now gets booed at home and rightfully so. He insists that he is 100% healthy and that he is not to blame for his inability to run the ball. He said " Basically, if you are watching the game and you really can’t tell what is going on with the run game then I would say you really don’t know football," Johnson said. "I wouldn’t say I am the issue." 

So he is willing to throw everyone else under the bus. No accountability. No remorse. No fire. No hunger. He is leaning towards being the biggest "I got paid" bust in the history of the game. This week he faces the Colts #32 defense against running backs. It will never get any better than whatever happens here. This will be as good as it gets. CJ2K would lay down 150 yards and one or two scores on this defense. CJ$55M is a wildcard that has disappointed much more than met expectations. You have to start him this week because he is mostly untradable for now. And again - this is as good as it gets whatever that may mean.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This should be a better game for both the starters since the Colts are only 30th against the wide receivers and would be worse but most teams just run on them anyway. Nate Washington has been solid at 60 yards or more in all but the most recent blunder with the Texans and is overdue for a touchdown catch. Damian Williams scored in two straight games but left last week because of a potential concussion but he is expected to be okay this week and play. Updates as warranted.

This week will be as good as it gets for these wideouts who will want to have a nice showing after the disaster last week. Consider both moderate plays to cover bye weeks and both have a decent shot at a touchdown. The Colts have allowed eight touchdowns to the position in just the last four games.

TIGHT ENDS: Hasselbeck has not used the position too much though Jared Cook has scored twice including just last week. Craig Stevens also has a score as does Daniel Graham but none are consist or carry much yardage. Too risky to use this week and the Colts have been decent against the position anyway.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 18 31 13 10 25 21
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 26 32 30 11 29 25

WEEK 8
2011
ARI at BAL DET at DEN MIN at CAR SD at KC (mon)
CIN at SEA IND at TEN NE at PIT Bye Week
CLE at SF JAC at HOU NO at STL ATL, CHI, GB
  DAL at PHI MIA at NYG WAS at BUF NYJ, OAK, TB

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