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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

* ARI at BAL * DET at DEN * MIN at CAR * SD at KC (mon)
* CIN at SEA IND at TEN * NE at PIT Bye Week
* CLE at SF * JAC at HOU * NO at STL ATL, CHI, GB
* Updated DAL at PHI * MIA at NYG WAS at BUF NYJ, OAK, TB

Prediction: WAS 17, BUF 30

Players to Watch: Leonard Hankerson, Terrence Austin, Roy Helu

The Redskins have lost two in a row since their bye and at 3-3 still are in contention in the NFC East. The Bills are 4-2 coming off their loss to the Giants before their bye. The only team the Skins have beaten on the road has been the 0-6 Rams. The Bills are 3-0 at home.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NYG 28-14 10 @MIA -
2 ARI 22-21 11 DAL -
3 @DAL 16-18 12 @SEA -
4 @STL 17-10 13 NYJ -
5 Bye - 14 NE -
6 PHI 13-20 15 @NYG -
7 @CAR 20-33 16 MIN -
8 @BUF - 17 @PHI -
9 SF -      
Redskins Report | Statistics | Roster
WASHINGTON at BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB John Beck 10,1 - 250,1
RB Ryan Torain 50 10 -
RB Roy Helu 30 20 -
TE Fred Davis - 90,1 -
WR Anthony Armstrong - 20 -
WR Jabbar Gaffney - 70 -
PK Graham Gano 1 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Skins are struggling and the injuries are starting to mount. Tim Hightower has torn his ACL and Santana Moss needs surgery on his fractured hand. Chris Cooley also needs surgery on his balky knee and even Rex Grossman is in the hospital with pneumonia. Even London Fletcher pulled a hamstring against the Panthers.The offense was already challenged to score points each week, the recent losses only make that worse.

QUARTERBACK: HC MIke Shanahan finally named John Beck as the starter last week but the results were fairly similar to what Grossman had done. Beck passed for 279 yards and one touchdown with one lost fumble and an interception but he did rush in a score as well. He'll be going against the Bills this week and while they have been very soft to opposing quarterbacks, the Skins come in without any proven wideouts. Santana Moss will be gone for the next month or two and with him goes the best wide receiver.

The matchup is very good in fantasy terms, but the Skins are going to try to run on the Bills first and then have to hope for trash time to get any appreciable stats from Beck. On the plus side, the Bills have already allowed two rushing touchdowns by quarterbacks.

RUNNING BACKS: Now that Tim Hightower has torn his ACL and is lost for the season, it should help make the backfield less murky every week. Ryan Torain will be taking over as the feature back until his next injury and Roy Helu will be assuming the third down role at least until Shanahan changes his mind and calls up some unknown practice player for giggles.

That is not to say there is not still risk - Shanahan could elect to give the full load to either back and alternate that weekly. But at least the backfield is down to two backs - for now - and the Skins will want to rely on the run as much as they can with Cooley and Moss out.

The Bills are about average against the run though most teams elect to pass against them since that is the weaker part of their defense and opponents have typically been behind in the score when playing against them. The touchdown I am crediting to Beck could end up here as well. But the workload will still have some split to it, making Torain and Helu marginal starters this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Santana Moss will be out for 5 to 7 weeks after undergoing surgery on his fractured left hand and in his place will be either Leonard Hankerson, Niles Paul or Terrence Austin. That's not exactly a good thing. Anthony Armstrong just returned after being out since week three with a hamstring strain. I am projecting just for Armstrong and Jabbar Gaffney until the situation clears up more but it may never have fantasy value on it anyway. Gaffney now becomes the #1 wideout and he gained 68 yards on four catches last week with Beck.

The Bills secondary has allowed numerous big games but who here is going to do that? Gaffney becomes a must start but otherwise this group lacks any real firepower.

TIGHT ENDS: If there is any good news on the Redskins roster, it is that Fred Davis is a star in the making and with Chris Cooley out of the way, Davis becomes the #1 target in the passing game. He has turned in games of 6-95 and 6-80 in the last two matchups and scored in Carolina. He is a must start tight end every week and the Bills have already allowed three scores to the position this season.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 15 23 28 7 18 14
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 30 26 25 21 10 1

Buffalo Bills
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @KC 41-7 10 @DAL -
2 OAK 38-35 11 @MIA -
3 NE 34-31 12 @NYJ -
4 @CIN 20-23 13 TEN -
5 PHI 31-24 14 @SD -
6 @NYG 24-27 15 MIA -
7 Bye - 16 DEN -
8 WAS - 17 @NE -
9 NYJ -      
Bills Report | Statistics | Roster
BUFFALO vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick - - 240,1
RB Fred Jackson 120,1 30 -
RB C.J. Spiller 20 10 -
TE Scott Chandler - 10 -
WR David Nelson - 40 -
WR Steve Johnson - 60,1 -
WR Naaman Roosevelt - 40 -
PK Rian Lindell 3 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: For the want of a field goal in the last two road games, the Bills might be 6-0. They come off their bye week healthy and with a with a powerful rushing game that has been good enough to decrease the need to pass. This offense has yet to score less than 31 points in a home game and has to take advantage of the easier matchups. Looming the coming week are the Jets but that should not take away from the focus this week since the Bills have been off on their bye.

I like a defensive score in this game.

QUARTERBACK: After a red-hot start to the year, Ryan Fitzpatrick has cooled significantly as a fantasy player. Through the first three games, he had nine touchdowns and as many as 369 passing yards. In the last three matchups, he only totaled three touchdowns and only one more than 200 yards. The success of the rushing game is a major culprit in why his stats have decreased but upcoming games won't likely be won by the run alone.

The Skins have been very good against the pass and allowed just five touchdowns in their six games played. The Bills are going to be able to run on the Skins as well and it is not likely that a shootout is going to happen here. Expect a moderate showing from Fitzpatrick which is his new norm.

RUNNING BACKS: Look no further than Fred Jackson for the magic running back of the year who comes, somewhat, out of nowhere to be a major difference maker for fantasy owners who may not have even drafted him as a starter. Jackson has scored in all but one game and had over 100 rushing yards in four of the six matchups. Throw in 20 to 85 receiving yards each week and Jackson is not only a gold mine, he is paying off big every single week without fail.

The Redskins have been weaker against the running backs and especially in a road game. Given the likelihood that this game is over by the fourth quarter, Jackson should get a nice volume of carries and score at least once. He's a must start anyway and at home has been a lock for a good game. He could have two scores but should end up with no less than one.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Naturally mirroring the success of Fitzpatrick, this unit started the season out strong. Steve Johnson scored once in each of the first three week and then just once since. David Nelson was a surprise with a score and at least 60 to 80 yards in each of those initial three games and then settled down to just one score and marginal yardage in games since. Donald Jones was lost and Naaman Roosevelt stepped in and led receivers versus the Giants with just one catch for 60 yards and a touchdown. This unit has potential, but if Jackson can win games, the Bills are happy to allow him to do it.

The Redskins secondary has been solid and only allowed two scores to this position. All these receivers should have something this week but not likely a big game unless Johnson or Roosevelt caught a long pass to pump up their box score. Expect just marginal numbers here with a score that could go anywhere.

TIGHT ENDS: The hot start for Scott Chandler has evaporated and while he has four touchdowns in the first three weeks, he has only had four catches for nine yards total and no scores over the last three games played. Fun while it lasted.

Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 6 5 9 23 12 5
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 12 14 12 12 28 15

ARI at BAL DET at DEN MIN at CAR SD at KC (mon)
CIN at SEA IND at TEN NE at PIT Bye Week

a d v e r t i s e m e n t