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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 9
2011
* ATL at IND * DEN at OAK * NYJ at BUF TB at NO
* BAL at PIT * GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN * MIA at KC * SF at WAS Bye Week
* Updated * CLE at HOU * NYG at NE * STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

Prediction: CIN 23, TEN 17

Update: Jermaine Gresham is lokely to miss this game because of his hamstring and has been removed from the projections.

The Bengals show up sporting a 5-2 record that includes a 3-1 road mark. The Bengals are only a half game out of the lead in the AFC North and are on a four game winning streak. The Titans rise to 4-3 thanks to their freebie against the Colts last week and are 3-1 at home. These teams are somewhat similar and it will come down to which defense shows up the most. So far that would be the Bengals who have held all opponents to 24 points or less this year.

Cincinnati Bengals
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 27-17 10 PIT -
2 @DEN 22-24 11 @BAL -
3 SF 8-13 12 CLE -
4 BUF 23-20 13 @PIT -
5 @JAC 30-20 14 HOU -
6 IND 27-17 15 @STL -
7 Bye - 16 ARI -
8 @SEA 34-12 17 BAL -
9 @TEN -      
Bengals Report | Statistics | Roster
CINCINNATI at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Andy Dalton - - 180,2
RB Cedric Benson 70 - -
TE Jermaine Gresham - 20,1 -
WR A.J. Green - 70,1 -
WR Jerome Simpson - 50,1 -
WR Andre Caldwell - 30 -
PK Mike Nugent 3 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Bengals are not only on a four game winning streak where they held opponents to less than 20 points, but they beat the BIlls, and won in both Jacksonville and Seattle. This team may be manned by rookies offensively but they are performing well beyond expectations and the defense is what has quietly made the difference.

QUARTERBACK: Andy Dalton has been overshadowed by Cam Newton but the Red Rifle has been most impressive for a rookie quarterback on a rebuilding team. He has thrown for two touchdowns in each of his road games so far but decreased down to some sub-200 efforts because the team did not need him to throw in order to win.

The TItans have been only average against the pass and faced mostly weaker passing teams. Dalton's new standard on the road is a fit here.

RUNNING BACKS: Cedric Benson sat out last week to appease the NFL and returns still looking for any game as good as the season opener. Benson has only scored once since the Cleveland game and rushed for over 65 yards just once since the opener. On the road this week, he faces a Titans defense that has been weaker than most when opponents can have enough carries.

There is an outside chance for a score here but only moderate rushing yards are bankable.

WIDE RECEIVERS: A.J. Green has been the best rookie wideout by far this year and has scored five times in just seven games played. he has topped 90 yards three times including two road matchups. Jerome Simpson Has been mostly quiet other than when the Colts showed up but finally scored his first touchdown this year on his only catch in Seattle last week. These wideouts face a statistically great secondary that has only given up three touchdowns - all to the Steelers. But it also has not faced much in the way of top passing teams either.

Cortland Finnegan naturally will match on Green but he's not unbeatable. Green remains a worthy start this week.

TIGHT ENDS: Jermaine Gresham ended up as a scratch last week when his hamstring would not relax in pregame warmups. I will assume that he can play this week and update as needed., Gresham has tended to have his worst games when on the road though he scored in Jacksonville. Tight ends are the bigger weakness here and a good chance for a touchdown.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 21 29 11 18 8 6
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 13 28 9 28 13 5


Tennessee Titans
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @JAC 14-16 10 @CAR -
2 BAL 26-13 11 @ATL -
3 DEN 17-14 12 TB -
4 @CLE 31-13 13 @BUF -
5 @PIT 17-38 14 NO -
6 Bye - 15 @IND -
7 HOU 7-41 16 JAC -
8 IND 27-10 17 @HOU -
9 CIN -      
Titans Report | Statistics | Roster
TENNESSEE vs CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck - - 230,1
RB Chris Johnson 30 10 -
RB Javon Ringer 40,1 10 -
TE Jared Cook - 40 -
WR Lavelle Hawkins - 30 -
WR Nate Washington - 60 -
WR Damian Williams - 60,1 -
PK Rob Bironas 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: Beating the Colts ended a bad two game slide when the Steelers and Texans both whooped up on them. The Titans have been inconsistent this year but they have shown even less progress after starting the year out with wins over the Ravens and Browns. The rushing game is the subject of every NFL analyst and the passing effort has dropped to a very average production.

QUARTERBACK: After passing for eight touchdowns in his first four games, Matt Hasselbeck has settled down to a pedestrian one score and moderate yardage in each of the last three weeks. He'll be facing a very good secondary this week that has only allowed six passing touchdowns all year and rarely much above 200 yards. If Hasselbeck passes the low 200's and scores more than once it will be a big success.

RUNNING BACKS: HC Mike Munchak continues to assert that Chris Johnson remains the starter but he did admit that Javon Ringer would play a role ongoing and that "the hot hand" will see more work. This was already evident when the Titans were closing out the Colts game and Johnson was standing on the sidelines. It was the last straw to fantasy fans and Titans loyalists who expected far more than 14 carries for 34 yards at home against the worst rushing defense. There is no more waiting for Johnson to show up again - he is just a bust and a bum after getting paid. If the booing from the stands and literally every corner in the sports world calling him out was not enough - it is just not there for him to use anymore. He is young and supposedly healthy. He just lost his heart on the way to the bank.

This now effectively becomes a committee backfield that has only scored twice all year anyway. Ringer is the stronger hold of the two but split carries ensures neither runner will carry much fantasy significance.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The stats here have been meager since Kenny Britt left but Nate Washington has been the better bet for a decent game. He comes off the Colts game where he ran in a score on his only rush of the year and caught a second score though he only ended with four receptions for 34 yards. He generally has around 60 yards in every game. Damian Williams is inconsistent but has scored twice and gained over 60 yards in two of the last three games.

The Bengals are going to force the Titans to pas and most of it should end up here. The Bengals have allowed four wideouts to gain over 100 yards and they always tend to be the non-primary receiver. So consider Williams a better risk for a score than Washington this week.

TIGHT ENDS: Jared Cook has been a bigger factor in road games so far but this will be one of the tougher defenses that the Titans have faced. The chance for a score is not that great but Cook should end up with at least some moderate yardage this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 17 23 12 17 25 24
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 5 9 7 14 4 6

WEEK 9
2011
ATL at IND DEN at OAK NYJ at BUF TB at NO
BAL at PIT GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN MIA at KC SF at WAS Bye Week
  CLE at HOU NYG at NE STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

a d v e r t i s e m e n t