The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 9
2011
* ATL at IND * DEN at OAK * NYJ at BUF TB at NO
* BAL at PIT * GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN * MIA at KC * SF at WAS Bye Week
* Updated * CLE at HOU * NYG at NE * STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

Prediction: MIA 6, KC 24

Players to Watch: Jonathan Baldwin

Update: Daniel Thomas has been limited in practices and is now a game time decision because of his hamstring. Check the inactives if you must use him.

Early in the season this looked like a battle of the bottom feeders. But the Chiefs have vastly improved from their rocky start. The Dolphins merely redefine heartbreak every week lately. The Fins will win a game, probably, but no sense on pretending it will be easy to see coming. Lately the only question is how big of a lead will the Fins give up by the end of the game.

Miami Dolphins
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NE 24-38 10 WAS -
2 HOU 13-23 11 BUF -
3 @CLE 16-17 12 @DAL -
4 @SD 16-26 13 OAK -
5 Bye - 14 PHI -
6 @NYJ 6-24 15 @BUF -
7 DEN 15-18 16 @NE -
8 @NYG 17-20 17 NYJ -
9 @KC -      
Dolphins Report | Statistics | Roster
MIAMI at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Moore - - 180
RB Reggie Bush 40 10 -
RB Daniel Thomas 40 10 -
WR Brandon Marshall - 60 -
WR Brian Hartline - 30 -
WR Davone Bess - 40 -
PK Dan Carpenter 2 FG XP -
Pregame Notes: The team says that there will be no coaching changes this week so Tony Sparano gets another reprieve from the inevitable. The Fins are still fighting though and jumping out to leads that they cannot maintain and they are, realistically, going against teams that are trying to mail it in against the winless franchise. The Fins may catch someone napping eventually but it'll have to be one of those quirky games with scores from returns and fumbles and such.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Moore can take comfort in knowing the Fins do not have anyone else on the roster any better. And that is the extent of his comfort. Moore has only passed for one touchdown over three starts and that came in the only home game. Moore has actually declined each week and only managed 138 yards in New York against the Giants. He did score once as a runner just to ensure that the actual runners would have no fantasy value.

The Chiefs just held Philip RIvers to no scores for the second time this year. Moore is not worth a fantasy start this week.

RUNNING BACKS: Daniel Thomas was a surprise scratch last week when he was downgraded on Saturday. His hamstring has been an issue for several weeks now but apparently had a setback on the weekend. I will assume that he can play this week but will update as needed.

In his place, Reggie Bush turned in his most productive game in the last five years when he gained 103 yards on 15 runs and had four catches for 17 yards against the Giants softer rushing defense. Steve Slaton was the surprise goal line back who actually scored but he will return to the bench if Thomas plays. It is pretty clear that Lex Hilliard has fallen from favor when they let Slaton be a goal line back.

The Chiefs have been very good against the run at home and the Fins only have two rushing touchdowns by a back this year. Expect moderate to good yardage for Thomas depending on his health.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Since Matt Moore took over, there have been no scores thrown to a wideout and aside from Brandon Marshall's 109 yard game against the Jets, no wideout has gained more than 61 yards in these three weeks. Marshall remains worth a start since he is still getting ten or more targets in games and clearly as the most talent. But no other wideout has any consistency or real fantasy value.

TIGHT ENDS:Anthony Fasano caught a touchdown at home in the Denver game but has never had more than one catch in a game since the season opener - if even that happens.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 26 13 20 31 14 32
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 17 25 20 15 20 12


Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 7-41 10 DEN -
2 @DET 3-48 11 @NE -
3 @SD 17-20 12 PIT -
4 MIN 22-17 13 @CHI -
5 @IND 28-24 14 @NYJ -
6 Bye - 15 GB -
7 @OAK 28-0 16 OAK -
8 SD 23-20 17 @DEN -
9 MIA -      
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel - - 260,2
RB Dexter McCluster 20 20 -
RB Thomas Jones 30 - -
RB Jackie Battle 70 - -
WR Jonathan Baldwin - 70,1 -
WR Steve Breaston - 50 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 80,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: Maybe it took a fluky play to prompt the win over the Chargers but the scoreboard is all that matters and the Chiefs are genuinely playing better. The running game has adjusted to Jamaal Charles being gone, the defensive is at least opportunistic if not solid and now the rookie Jonathan Baldwin has finally showed up. This game is a gimmee of sorts but a very tough schedule remains to be played including @NE, PIT, @CHI, @NYJ and GB. Might want to think about trading away your Chiefs before it all starts to happen in week 11.

I like a defensive score in this game.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Cassel has passed for around 260 yards and one touchdown in each of the last two home games and now that the rookie Baldwin has his breakout game, the secondary has more to worry about than just Dwayne Bowe. Adding another receiver into the mix is important since it helps make up for the lack of a receiving tight end this season.

The Dolphins are a treat for any quarterback since they come with nearly a guarantee of two touchdowns and they almost never intercept a pass - just two all year and none since week three. Cassel won't have a monster game here but it should be better than most.

RUNNING BACKS: The rushing effort still gets split up between Thomas Jones, Dexter McCluster and Jackie Battle but at least Battle is getting enough carries to matter. He rushed for 70 yards and one score on the Chargers. After three games as the primary back, he is averaging 18 carries for 88 yards per game. For a midseason waiver wire find, that's not too bad.

The Dolphins are actually very good against the run - it is their one strength. They have only allowed two rushing touchdowns and with the three way split of the Chiefs, it means only Battle has a chance to offer much fantasy value. The Chiefs only have one rushing touchdown all year so even the Dolphins may not be enough to see them score their second.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The buzz off the Monday night win was the emergence of the rookie Jonathan Baldwin who ended with five catches for 82 yards and one touchdown in only his second game. Baldwin displayed the skills that made him a first round pick in catching several tough passes and out-jumping the secondary for his touchdown. Dwayne Bowe settled for 62 yards on four receptions for his worst game since the opener. The Chiefs just got better though Steve Breaston just lost some of his workload since they will rotate as the #2 and both play in three-man sets.

The Dolphins biggest weakness is their secondary against any wide receivers. They have given up ten scores to the position and should provide a reason to start all three wideouts for the Chiefs. Bowe is overdue for a score and you have to like Baldwin matching up against an even weaker secondary this game.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 28 14 16 32 23 11
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 29 8 19 29 25 25

WEEK 9
2011
ATL at IND DEN at OAK NYJ at BUF TB at NO
BAL at PIT GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN MIA at KC SF at WAS Bye Week
  CLE at HOU NYG at NE STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

a d v e r t i s e m e n t