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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 9
2011
* ATL at IND * DEN at OAK * NYJ at BUF TB at NO
* BAL at PIT * GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN * MIA at KC * SF at WAS Bye Week
* Updated * CLE at HOU * NYG at NE * STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

Prediction: NYG 20, NE 27

Update: Wes Welker has been listed as questionable with a neck injury but there has been nothing from the Pats suggesting that he won't play this week. Hakeem Nicks is doubtful on the injury report and is now not expected to play Ahmad Bradshaw is doubtful to play and is removed from the projections.

The Giants are on a two game winning streak though that needed them to squeak past the Dolphins. At 5-2, they remain two games in the lead of the NFC East with a 2-1 road record. The Patriots are 5-2 as well but come off a loss in Pittsburgh and a troubling lack of points in the last two games. No matter, welcome to Foxboro and leave your hopes at the door.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @WAS 14-28 10 @SF -
2 STL 28-16 11 PHI -
3 @PHI 29-16 12 @NO -
4 @ARI 31-27 13 GB -
5 SEA 25-36 14 @DAL -
6 BUF 27-24 15 WAS -
7 Bye - 16 @NYJ -
8 MIA 20-17 17 DAL -
9 @NE - - - -
Giants Report | Statistics | Roster
NY GIANTS at NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning - - 290,2
RB Brandon Jacobs 60 20 -
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 60 30 -
TE Jake Ballard - 40 -
WR Victor Cruz - 100,1 -
WR Hakeem Nicks - 80,1 -
WR Mario Manningham - 70,1 -
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Giants nearly got caught trying to mail in a game when the Dolphins visited but from here on out, the schedule is brutal. In addition to the NFC East matchups, the Giants get to face @NE, @SF, @NO, GB and @NYJ. The easy part of the schedule was over last week and now the Giants are going to have be much better than the three points wins of late have suggested that they are. The Giants lead the division because they have not yet had all the toughest matchups.

QUARTERBACK: If there was ever a week to start Eli Manning, this is it. Manning has been good for nice yardage and multiple scores in almost all games and now faces the #32 defense against quarterbacks. Only one quarterback has fallen short of 300 yards when playing the Patriots. All have at least one score and most have two touchdowns. Even in the lower scoring games of the last two weeks, Tony Romo passed for 317 yards and a score while Big Ben ended with 365 yards and two touchdowns.

No need to over think it - Manning gets a yardage bonanza and at least one score.

RUNNING BACKS: Ahmad Bradshaw is nursing a sore foot but played through it against the Dolphins and it is an aggravation of a previous problem with his foot. He'll likely be rested some this week but the assumption is that he will play and I will update as needed. Brandon Jacobs is reaching the final stages of the death of his career in New York and is just accepting that the four carries against the Dolphins is just the way it is. Jacobs had been out for three weeks before finally playing and according to reports he is just accepting his role and looking forward to a "really fast car" that gets delivered to him this week.

At home, the Pats have only allowed two rushing touchdowns and no runner has gained more than 83 yards. Most teams use their running backs as receivers with big success against the Pats but the Giants are less likely to post a lot of yardage through the air.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Hakeem Nicks injured his right hamstring but an MRI came back negative and he remains day-to-day. He is expected to be available for this sure to be productive game. Nicks has been churning out 70+ yard games but has not scored since week five. Victor Cruz has been the more productive receiver in recent games and has four touchdowns to only three for Nicks. Mario Manningham finally scored fir the first time this year in the Miami game but just spits out 50 yard games every week.

The Patriots secondary has been torched every week and is bottom ranked against both quarterbacks and wideouts. Figure both Nicks and Cruz as must starts this week and even Manningham may end up above his normal 50 yard mark. Nicks' healthy is still in question but if he proves relatively healthy, he should shine this week.

TIGHT ENDS: The Patriots have been good against the position but mostly because the wideouts do well and they have not faced a lot of receiving tight ends. Jake Ballard has been a real factor in the passing game for the last three weeks with games of 72, 81 and 55 yards both all three were at home. He should post decent stats here as well but not as big as home games.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 7 10 4 19 27 9
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 32 27 32 7 16 10


New England Patriots
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @MIA 38-24 10 @NYJ -
2 SD 35-21 11 KC -
3 @BUF 31-34 12 @PHI -
4 @OAK 31-19 13 IND -
5 NYJ 30-21 14 @WAS -
6 DAL 20-16 15 @DEN -
7 Bye - 16 MIA -
8 @PIT 17-25 17 BUF -
9 NYG - - - -
Patriots Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ENGLAND vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady - - 300,2
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis 80,1 - -
TE Rob Gronkowski - 70 -
TE Aaron Hernandez - 30,1 -
WR Chad Ochocinco - 20 -
WR Deion Branch - 50 -
WR Wes Welker - 100,1 -
PK S. Gostkowski 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Patriots need to get back on track because for the last two weeks, the powerhouse offense has been sputtering like they bought gas on sale at the Dollar Store. Brady has maintain decent stats but after a record setting stretch of 30+ point games, only coming up with 20 and 17 these last two weeks makes them look very out of sorts. And next week is a big game in New York against the Jets that could detract from their focus here as well.

QUARTERBACK:Tom Brady remains a stud for fantasy owners but he only came up with 198 yards and two scores in Pittsburgh. He has 18 touchdowns on the season though and four games over 300 yards. The Giants have a good secondary statistically, but mostly thanks to playing STl, PHI, ARI, SEA and MIA. The only reason why Brady falls short of 300 yards and two+ scores is because the running effort takes over. And that is possible.

RUNNING BACKS: Last week was the rude awakening for BenJarvus Green-Ellis owners who not only saw him gain just nine yards on five carries, but Kevin Faulk showed up for the first time this year and had six runs for 32 yards and five catches for 20 yards. The ratio was due to the Pats being behind and using their pass formations that do not rely on Green-Ellis.

Now that there are five possibilities for running backs, I will only project for BGE and that should apply to this game since the Giants have allowed over 100 rush yards and a score to nearly every primary runner they have faced. He'll always be a risk to rely on, but this week should be a setup for a good showing by BGE unless Belichick changes his mind.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Wes Welker has really been hit with these last two weeks of close games. After posting astronomic stats every week, he ended with only 45 yards on six carries against the Cowboys and then 39 yards on six receptions in Pittsburgh. Deion Branch scored last week and that makes three of the last four games with a touchdown but he has been averaging just 48 yards per game in that time. No other wideout matters here and Taylor Price may be taking over for Chad Ochocinco but that fails to produce fantasy significance.

The Giants have not played many decent offenses yet but when the went against the Bills, they did allow two scores to the position. Branch is a better bet for some yardage and Welker should bounce back here at home against the Giants.

TIGHT ENDS: The dynamic duo are still positing big stats and Aaron Hernandez has scored in all but one start this year. Rob Gronkowski has not scored since week three but has been really turning in the yards in these last two tough matchups. He's averaging 80 yards per game. Both players should be started this week and disregard the high ranking of the Giants that was created against teams rarely use the position. In the season opener, Fred Davis recorded 105 yards on five grabs. No worries here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NE 3 22 3 1 13 26
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 12 24 25 2 7 14

WEEK 9
2011
ATL at IND DEN at OAK NYJ at BUF TB at NO
BAL at PIT GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN MIA at KC SF at WAS Bye Week
  CLE at HOU NYG at NE STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

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