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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey  

Sortable Player Projections | Game Predictions Summary | Projections by Team

WEEK 9
2011
* ATL at IND * DEN at OAK * NYJ at BUF TB at NO
* BAL at PIT * GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN * MIA at KC * SF at WAS Bye Week
* Updated * CLE at HOU * NYG at NE * STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

Prediction: SEA 10, DAL 30

The Seahawks are on a two game slide and at 2-5 cannot even compete in the NFC West (at least probably not). They bring their 1-3 road mark to Dallas where the Cowboys are only 3-4 and coming off a thrashing in Philly that set back the offense and defense from all apparent progress. Bottom line, Seahawks are showing up in Dallas at the wrong time and the Cowboys would love to once again beat up on a weaker visitor.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @SF 17-33 10 BAL -
2 @PIT 0-24 11 @STL -
3 ARI 13-10 12 WAS -
4 ATL 28-30 13 PHI -
5 @NYG 36-25 14 STL -
6 Bye - 15 @CHI -
7 @CLE 3-6 16 SF -
8 CIN 12-34 17 @ARI -
9 @DAL -      
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE at DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Tarvaris Jackson - - 190,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 50 10 -
WR Sidney Rice - 40 -
WR Mike Williams - 20 -
WR Doug Baldwin - 60,1 -
WR Ben Obamanu - 50 -
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Seahawks are a model of inconsistency, managing to win in New York against the Giants and yet sandwiching that effort between getting shutout in Pittsburgh and losing 3-6 in Cleveland. The passing game should get a bump up with Tarvaris Jackson back but this team has been either feast or famine on the scoreboard and on the road, there's been a lot more famine.

QUARTERBACK: After three starts and one touchdown, it looks like Charlie Whitehurst has run his course and that Tarvaris Jackson will be back under center. Jackson entered the Bengals loss and threw for 323 yards and no scores which was easily more than Whitehurst produced in three weeks. But Jackson on the road has been no warrior with three games that never exceeded 200 yards and that posted only three touchdowns total.

The Cowboys have only allowed a total of three passing scores in Dallas over three games and the yardage has remained below 250. That should match up with Jackson's normal road trip.

RUNNING BACKS: The Seahawks welcomed back Marshawn Lynch last week and while he scored for his third straight game he only gained 24 yards on 16 carries. On the season he has gained 263 yards on 74 carries for an average of 3.6 yards per carry. He is the best runner for the Seahawks by far but that only points to the reason why they are ranked 31st for running backs.

The Cowboys at home have been outstanding against the run and were ranked #1 against the position until LeSean McCoy ruined that in Philly. Consider Lynch as nothing more than some moderate yardage and likely no score this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Sidney Rice comes off his second 100 yard effort but he only has one score on the year. And all that happened at home. On the road, Rice has yet to gain more than 38 yards. Doug Baldwin has been the #3 wideout and while he has turned in four games with more than 70 yards he also has three efforts that had no more than 23 yards including being blanked in Cleveland. Mike Williams could be back this week but he's lost ground to Baldwin and has been a nonfactor this year anyway. Ben Obamanu comes off his first 100 yard game but had no catches the previous week. Adding Jackson back into the mix will help but these wideout remain very inconsistent and have only scored five times this year as a group.

I like the one passing score to end up here since the tight ends do not matter much and have never scored this year. I'll credit Baldwin with the touchdown since he's slightly more likely taking deep balls down the middle.

TIGHT ENDS: No touchdowns this year and rarely more than 15 yards means no fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 22 31 10 29 32 23
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 16 5 10 32 21 22


Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ 24-27 10 BUF -
2 @SF 27-24 11 @WAS -
3 WAS 18-16 12 MIA -
4 DET 30-34 13 @ARI -
5 Bye - 14 NYG -
6 @NE 16-20 15 @TB -
7 STL 34-7 16 PHI -
8 @PHI 7-34 17 @NYG -
9 SEA -      
Cowboys Report | Statistics | Roster
DALLAS vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo - - 280,2
RB DeMarco Murray 70,1 - -
TE Jason Witten - 60,1 -
WR Laurent Robinson - 50 -
WR Dez Bryant - 90,1 -
WR Miles Austin - 60 -
PK Dan Bailey 3 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys have been a big yo yo this year with rarely the same thing happening twice in a row. They lost the opener 24-27 and then won the next week 27-24. They beat the Rams 34-7 and then got waxed in Philly 7-34. The only good thing about this game is that it is at home and should be a pendulum swing back to winning. The loss in Philly was tough to watch because it undid much of the recent good but at least the visiting Seahawks should make it look all okay for one more week.

QUARTERBACK: At least Tony Romo did not lose the game last week - they all lost it pretty equally. Romo is back at home where most games end up with higher yardage and two scores though the surprise game by DeMarco Murray left Romo with only 166 yards that week.

That should not be the case because instead of facing the league's worst rushing defense, the Seahawks have been very good against the run. The last decent road quarterback to face them was Eli Manning who posted 420 yards and three scores in the upset loss. Romo should end up with healthy yardage this week with two scores at least but it could end up as a big game. The Cowboys would like to beat up on someone else.

RUNNING BACKS: DeMarco Murray dropped back to only 74 yards last week but that was on eight carries in a game that the Cowboys had no reason to run the ball in anyway. This week will be a better gauge of how good Murray is and 253 yards is pretty unlikely against a defense that has been solid against runners. The only tailback better than 76 yards was when Montario Hardesty gained 99 but that required 33 carries.

Felix Jones remains day-to-day with his ankle so it will be later in the week before his availability is known Jones will factor in when healthy since this is a committee backfield ideally but Jones is all but certain to fall back to a more supporting role. Aside from one run against the Redskins, Jones has not been a very effective runner.

If Murray gets pretty much the full load without Jones playing, they he'll likely post at least moderate yardage and he's a good shot for a touchdown here as well.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Miles Austin is still in a funk since returning in week six and has only five catches for 43 yards from the last two games combined. He has not scored since week two. Dez Bryant has been better with a score in each of the last two home games but his yardage has not been that significant aside from the 90 yards he posted on the Rams. The only player of note against the Eagles last Sunday ended up Laurent Robinson with 103 yards on five catches and his first touchdown as a Cowboy. This unit is good, but nothing like the great group that was expected or that started the season so red hot.

The Seahawks secondary has given up two scores to wideouts when they visit the last couple of games but the problem here is that the scores could end up with any of the three wideouts or with Jason Witten. Austin may be due but he has been undeniably cold lately. Best bet is that Bryant and Witten end up with scores but they could end up elsewhere.

TIGHT ENDS: Like the rest of the team, Jason Witten had a down game in Philly but had scored in three straight prior to that game and been a factor in yardage as well. He's a safe enough play every week and should be a bit better here because the run is not as likely to be a successful this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 10 18 8 5 5 19
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 11 3 15 12 27 32

WEEK 9
2011
ATL at IND DEN at OAK NYJ at BUF TB at NO
BAL at PIT GB at SD SEA at DAL CHI at PHI (mon)
CIN at TEN MIA at KC SF at WAS Bye Week
  CLE at HOU NYG at NE STL at ARI CAR, DET, JAC, MIN

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